Quantitative assessment of container terminal operational recovery from natural disasters

Started: October 2014

Supervisor: Dr Panagiotis Angeloudis

Description of Research

The research objective is to better understand the dynamic operational response of container terminals to natural disasters and their recovery process. The study is based on a stochastic simulation of impact scenarios based on fault tree analyses and existing fragility and vulnerability curves. These scenarios are input into a dynamic network flow model which assesses the interdependent flows within the terminal. In conjunction with the fault trees and stochastic simulations of recovery scenarios, the analyses assess the evolution of the performance of the terminal with time, up to recovery. Th eperformance is assessed in terms of indices relevant to a variety of stackholders involved in container terminals operations (e.g., public authority, managers, disaster financing institutions).