Transport Demand and its Modelling

Module aims

  • To provide an understanding of the nature of travel demand and how to model it. This involves examination of the processes underlying travel demand, the modelling of transport demand using the four-stage travel demand model, the interaction of demand and network performance and the use of the 4-stage model in the evaluation and appraisal of transport policies and projects.

Learning outcomes

 On successfully completing this course unit, students will be able to:

  • Have an understanding of the concepts in transport planning and modelling, such as the concepts of generalised costs and the economic basis of travel demand modelling.
  • Understand and have gained experience in using the basic techniques of travel demand modelling including the calibration of trip generation, trip distribution and destination choice, time of day, mode choice, route choice and assignment models, and the implementation of these models to forecast travel demand.
  • Have acquired experience in the use of transport planning and engineering software, including tools for data manipulation, model calibration and implementation.
  • Appreciate the relationship between land use and transport and the context within which travel demand is generated.
  • Understand and be able to apply the travel demand models towards evaluation and economic appraisal.

Module syllabus

Week No.

Topic

Staff

2

Lectures 1-2: Introduction to transport planning and modelling

AS

3

Lectures 3-4: The concept of travel demand and its economic basis

AS

4

Lectures 5-6: Trip generation and related forecasting processes

Activity 1: Tutorial 1 – Trip generation

JP

JP

5

Lectures 7-8: Trip generation and destination choice

Activity 2: Tutorial 2 – Trip distribution

JP

JP

6

Lectures 9-10: Modal choice

Activity 3: Tutorial 3 – Mode choice

JP

JP

7

Lectures 11-12: Route choice and assignment

Activity 4: Tutorial 4 – Route choice

FG

FG

8

Lectures 13-14: Modelling the timing of travel

JP

9

Lectures 15-16: Evaluation and cost benefit analysis

AS

10

Lectures 17-18: Integrated Land Use Transport Models

Activity 5: Seminar 1 – Examples of practical applications of land use transport modelling

AS

David Simmonds, David Simmonds Consultancy

11

Lectures 19-20: Stated preference methods

Activity 6: Seminar 2 – Examples of practical applications of stated preference methods

AS

Charlene Rohr, RAND Europe

Teaching methods

A combination of lectures, tutorials and computer workshops will be used. A group design exercise also forms part of the module.

Assessments

Assignment Title

Date Set

Date Due

Return Date

Coursework Weighting

Set by

CW1: Calibration & Implementation of 4 Stage Travel Demand Models

Activity 3

6 December 2018, by 16:00 with cluster administrator

8 January 2019

100%

AS

Reading list

Core

Supplementary

Module leaders

Dr Aruna Sivakumar
Professor John Polak