Project information

The WHO Global Malaria Programme has coordinated the development of a Global Technical Strategy for Malaria (GTS) for the 2016-2025 period. The strategy document articulates the vision and goals for malaria over the next decade and brings together current policy recommendations in a comprehensive, evidence-based strategy for WHO Member States to use in developing their own strategies, wherever they are along the pathway to elimination.

As part of the process, the group worked with the WHO Global Malaria Programme to model potential scenarios for the 2016-2030 period worldwide. Using model outputs, we were able to evaluate the likelihood of achieving different goals, the tools and implementation levels required to reach these goals and the financial resources required to implement these strategies.

Further work, in close collaboration with the Global Fund as well as WHO-GMP, has built upon the modelling framework developed for the Global Technical Strategy. Initial modelling contributed towards informing the Global Fund investment case. Following a successful investment call in December 2015, the modelling project went on to aid assessment of the Global Fund allocation formula for country-level disbursements. Finally, the project focussed on strategy goals and targets advising on key performance indicators.

Recent publications

Winskill, P., Walker, P. G., Griffin, J. T., & Ghani, A. C. (2017). Modelling the cost-effectiveness of introducing the RTS,S malaria vaccine relative to scaling up other malaria interventions in sub-Saharan Africa. BMJ Global Health, 2(1), e000090. Publisher’s link.