Imperial College London

Emeritus ProfessorAndrewEvans

Faculty of EngineeringDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering

Emeritus Professor
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.evans Website

 
 
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Assistant

 

Ms Maya Mistry +44 (0)20 7594 6100

 
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Location

 

406Skempton BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@techreport{Evans:2018,
author = {Evans, AW},
title = {Fatal train accidents on Britain's main line railways: end of 2017 analysis},
url = {https://imperialcollegelondon.box.com/s/p7p47gtsymqivkzv2wzbd899qn8oli9h},
year = {2018}
}

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - RPRT
AB - This paper updates the author’s previous statistical analyses of fatal train accidents on running lines of the national railway system of Great Britain to the end of 2017, based on fatal accident data over the 51-year period 1967 to 2017. There were no fatal train collisions, derailments or overruns in 2017 for the tenth consecutive calendar year. That continuing good performance contributes to a further reduction in the estimated mean frequency of such accidents from 0.22 per year in 2016 to 0.20 in 2017. The estimated mean number of fatalities per year in such accidents fell from 0.89 in 2016 to 0.81 in 2017. There were two accidental fatal collisions between trains and road motor vehicles in 2017, each with one fatality. This was a poorer performance than the zero such accidents in 2015 and 2016, but it was in line with previous years. The estimated frequency of such accidents was 1.77 per year in 2017, compared with 1.80in 2016, with 2.45 fatalities per year in 2017 compared with 2.51 in 2016. The long-term rate of reduction in the accident rate per train-kilometre is estimated to be 7.2% per year for train collisions, derailments and overruns, and 3.6% per year for collisions between trains and road motor vehicles. The paper examines the evolution of these estimates since 2001, and makes comparisons with results of the Safety Risk Model (SRM) of the Rail Safety and Standards Board. Both sources estimate long term reductions in mean fatalities per year in train collisions, derailments and overruns, but the SRM has consistently estimated more fatalities per year than this paper.
AU - Evans,AW
PY - 2018///
TI - Fatal train accidents on Britain's main line railways: end of 2017 analysis
UR - https://imperialcollegelondon.box.com/s/p7p47gtsymqivkzv2wzbd899qn8oli9h
ER -