Imperial College London
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Dr Alexandre Koberle

Business School

Honorary Senior Research Fellow
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.koberle

 
 
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Location

 

Sherfield BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Gambhir:2023:10.1038/s41467-023-40673-4,
author = {Gambhir, A and Mittal, S and Lamboll, R and Grant, N and bernie, D and gohar, L and Hawkes, A and Koberle, A and Rogelj, J and lowe, J},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-023-40673-4},
journal = {Nature Communications},
pages = {1--13},
title = {Adjusting 1.5 degree C climate change mitigation pathways in light of adverse new information},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40673-4},
volume = {14},
year = {2023}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - Understanding how 1.5oC pathways could adjust in light of new adverse information, such as a reduced 1.5 o C carbon budget, or slower-than-expected low-carbon technology deployment, is critical for planning resilient pathways. We use an integrated assessment model to explore potential pathway adjustments starting in 2025 and 2030, following the arrival of new information. The 1.5 oC target remains achievable in the model, in light of some adverse information, provided a broad portfolio of technologies and measures is still available. If multiple pieces of adverse information arrive simultaneously, average annual emissions reductions near 3 GtCO 2/yr for the first five years followingthe pathway adjustment, compared to 2 GtCO 2 /yr in 2020 when the Covid-19 pandemic began. Moreover, in these scenarios of multiple simultaneous adverse information, by 2050 mitigation costs are 4-5 times as high as a no adverse information scenario, highlighting the criticality of developing a wide range of mitigation options, including energy demand reduction options.
AU  - Gambhir,A
AU  - Mittal,S
AU  - Lamboll,R
AU  - Grant,N
AU  - bernie,D
AU  - gohar,L
AU  - Hawkes,A
AU  - Koberle,A
AU  - Rogelj,J
AU  - lowe,J
DO  - 10.1038/s41467-023-40673-4
EP  - 13
PY  - 2023///
SN  - 2041-1723
SP  - 1
TI  - Adjusting 1.5 degree C climate change mitigation pathways in light of adverse new information
T2  - Nature Communications
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40673-4
UR  - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-40673-4
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/106092
VL  - 14
ER  -
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