Imperial College London

ProfessorAlmutVeraart

Faculty of Natural SciencesDepartment of Mathematics

Head of the Statistics Section, Professor of Statistics
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 8545a.veraart Website

 
 
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Location

 

551Huxley BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Noven:2018:10.21314/JEM.2018.179,
author = {Noven, R and Veraart, A and Gandy, A},
doi = {10.21314/JEM.2018.179},
journal = {Journal of Energy Markets},
pages = {1--24},
title = {A latent trawl process model for extreme values},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.21314/JEM.2018.179},
volume = {11},
year = {2018}
}

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB - This paper presents a new model for characterising temporaldependence in exceedancesabove a threshold. The model is based on the class of trawl processes, which are stationary,infinitely divisible stochastic processes. The model for extreme values is constructed byembedding a trawl process in a hierarchical framework, which ensures that the marginaldistribution is generalised Pareto, as expected from classical extreme value theory. Wealso consider a modified version of this model that works witha wider class of generalisedPareto distributions, and has the advantage of separating marginal and temporal depen-dence properties. The model is illustrated by applicationsto environmental time series,and it is shown that the model offers considerable flexibilityin capturing the dependencestructure of extreme value data
AU - Noven,R
AU - Veraart,A
AU - Gandy,A
DO - 10.21314/JEM.2018.179
EP - 24
PY - 2018///
SN - 1756-3607
SP - 1
TI - A latent trawl process model for extreme values
T2 - Journal of Energy Markets
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.21314/JEM.2018.179
UR - http://arxiv.org/abs/1511.08190
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/63333
VL - 11
ER -