Publications
466 results found
Kock RA, Orynbayev M, Robinson S, et al., 2018, Saigas on the brink: Multidisciplinary analysis of the factors influencing mass mortality events, SCIENCE ADVANCES, Vol: 4, ISSN: 2375-2548
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- Citations: 76
Beauchamp E, Woodhouse E, Clements T, et al., 2018, "Living a good life": conceptualizations of well-being in a conservation context in Cambodia, ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY, Vol: 23, ISSN: 1708-3087
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- Citations: 23
Biggs D, Holden MH, Braczkowski A, et al., 2017, Breaking the deadlock on ivory, SCIENCE, Vol: 358, Pages: 1378-1381, ISSN: 0036-8075
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- Citations: 49
Milner-Gulland EJ, Shea K, 2017, Embracing uncertainty in applied ecology, JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY, Vol: 54, Pages: 2063-2068, ISSN: 0021-8901
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- Citations: 78
Nash KL, Cvitanovic C, Fulton EA, et al., 2017, Planetary boundaries for a blue planet, NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, Vol: 1, Pages: 1625-1634, ISSN: 2397-334X
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- Citations: 93
Redpath SM, Linnell JDC, Festa-Bianchet M, et al., 2017, Don't forget to look down - collaborative approaches to predator conservation, BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS, Vol: 92, Pages: 2157-2163, ISSN: 1464-7931
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- Citations: 109
Olmedo A, Sharif V, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2017, Evaluating the Design of Behavior Change Interventions: A Case Study of Rhino Horn in Vietnam, CONSERVATION LETTERS, Vol: 11, ISSN: 1755-263X
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- Citations: 45
Hargreaves-Allen VA, Mourato S, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2017, Drivers of coral reef marine protected area performance, PLOS ONE, Vol: 12, ISSN: 1932-6203
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- Citations: 22
Pooley S, Barua M, Beinart W, et al., 2017, An interdisciplinary review of current and future approaches to improving human-predator relations, CONSERVATION BIOLOGY, Vol: 31, Pages: 513-523, ISSN: 0888-8892
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- Citations: 164
Davies TK, Mees CC, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2017, Use of a counterfactual approach to evaluate the effect of area closures on fishing location in a tropical tuna fishery, PLOS ONE, Vol: 12, ISSN: 1932-6203
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- Citations: 8
Cui S, Milner-Gulland EJ, Singh NJ, et al., 2017, Historical range, extirpation and prospects for reintroduction of saigas in China, SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, Vol: 7, ISSN: 2045-2322
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- Citations: 10
Melin A, Grace OM, Duckworth GD, et al., 2017, Social and Ecological Characteristics of an Expanding Natural Resource Industry: <i>Aloe</i> Harvesting in South Africa, ECONOMIC BOTANY, Vol: 71, Pages: 58-74, ISSN: 0013-0001
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- Citations: 7
Robinson S, Kerven C, Behnke R, et al., 2017, Pastoralists as Optimal Foragers? Reoccupation and Site Selection in the Deserts of Post-Soviet Kazakhstan, HUMAN ECOLOGY, Vol: 45, Pages: 5-21, ISSN: 0300-7839
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- Citations: 13
Burgass MJ, Halpern BS, Nicholson E, et al., 2017, Navigating uncertainty in environmental composite indicators, Ecological Indicators, Vol: 75, Pages: 268-278, ISSN: 1470-160X
Composite indicators (CIs) are increasingly used to measure and track environmental systems. However, they have faced criticism for not accounting for uncertainties and their often arbitrary nature. This review highlights methodological challenges and uncertainties involved in creating CIs and provides advice on how to improve future CI development in practice. Linguistic and epistemic uncertainties enter CIs at different stages of development and may be amplified or reduced based on subjective decisions during construction. Lack of transparency about why decisions were made can risk impeding proper review and iterative development. Research on uncertainty in CIs currently focuses on how different construction decisions affect the overall results and is explored using sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. Much less attention is given to uncertainties arising from the theoretical framework underpinning the CI, and the sub-indicator selection process. This often lacks systematic rigour, repeatability and clarity. We recommend use of systems modelling as well as systematic elicitation and engagement during CI development in order to address these issues. Composite indicators make trends in complex environmental systems accessible to wider stakeholder groups, including policy makers. Without proper discussion and exposure of uncertainty, however, they risk misleading their users through false certainty or misleading interpretations. This review offers guidance for future environmental CI construction and users of existing CIs, hence supporting their iterative development and effective use in policy-making.
Milner-Gulland EJ, Nicholson E, Bunnefeld N, 2017, Synthesis: Moving Forward Together, DECISION-MAKING IN CONSERVATION AND NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT: MODELS FOR INTERDISCIPLINARY APPROACHES, Editors: Bunnefeld, Nicholson, MilnerGulland, Publisher: CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS, Pages: 213-233, ISBN: 978-1-107-46538-1
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- Citations: 1
Woodhouse E, Homewood KM, Beauchamp E, et al., 2017, Understanding Human Well-being for Conservation: A Locally Driven, Mixed Methods Approach, DECISION-MAKING IN CONSERVATION AND NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT: MODELS FOR INTERDISCIPLINARY APPROACHES, Editors: Bunnefeld, Nicholson, MilnerGulland, Publisher: CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS, Pages: 97-122, ISBN: 978-1-107-46538-1
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- Citations: 1
Bunnefeld N, Nicholson E, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2017, Decision-Making in Conservation and Natural Resource Management <i>Models for Interdisciplinary Approaches</i> Introduction, DECISION-MAKING IN CONSERVATION AND NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT: MODELS FOR INTERDISCIPLINARY APPROACHES, Editors: Bunnefeld, Nicholson, MilnerGulland, Publisher: CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS, Pages: 1-+, ISBN: 978-1-107-46538-1
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- Citations: 4
Nuno A, Bunnefeld N, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2017, Using Management Strategy Evaluation as a Framework for Improving Conservation under Uncertainty: The Case of the Serengeti Ecosystem, DECISION-MAKING IN CONSERVATION AND NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT: MODELS FOR INTERDISCIPLINARY APPROACHES, Editors: Bunnefeld, Nicholson, MilnerGulland, Publisher: CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS, Pages: 156-181, ISBN: 978-1-107-46538-1
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- Citations: 2
Travers H, Clements T, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2016, Predicting responses to conservation interventions through scenarios: A Cambodian case study, BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION, Vol: 204, Pages: 403-410, ISSN: 0006-3207
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- Citations: 21
Shepherd E, Milner-Gulland EJ, Knight AT, et al., 2016, Status and Trends in Global Ecosystem Services and Natural Capital: Assessing Progress Toward Aichi Biodiversity Target 14, Conservation Letters, Vol: 9, Pages: 429-437, ISSN: 1755-263X
The Convention on Biological Diversity uses six indicators to assess progress toward Aichi Biodiversity Target 14 (ecosystem services), leaving many elements of the target untracked. We identify 13 ecosystem services as directly essential for human well-being, and select a set of 21 datasets as indicators of the state of natural capital underpinning those services, the benefits derived from them, and distribution of access to those benefits. Analysis of these indicators supports previous conclusions that there is no overall progress toward Target 14. Sixty percent of our “benefit” indicators have positive trends, whereas 86% of our “state” indicators show a decline in natural capital. This suggests that well-being is increasing in the near-term despite environmental degradation, and that unsustainable use of natural capital may fuel human development. As regulating services such as “soil fertility” continue to decline, however, it seems unlikely that this trend can continue without future negative impacts on humanity.
Kamp J, Koshkin MA, Bragina TM, et al., 2016, Persistent and novel threats to the biodiversity of Kazakhstan's steppes and semi-deserts, BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION, Vol: 25, Pages: 2521-2541, ISSN: 0960-3115
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- Citations: 41
McNamara J, Rowcliffe M, Cowlishaw G, et al., 2016, Characterising Wildlife Trade Market Supply-Demand Dynamics., PLOS One, Vol: 11, ISSN: 1932-6203
The trade in wildlife products can represent an important source of income for poor people, but also threaten wildlife locally, regionally and internationally. Bushmeat provides livelihoods for hunters, traders and sellers, protein to rural and urban consumers, and has depleted the populations of many tropical forest species. Management interventions can be targeted towards the consumers or suppliers of wildlife products. There has been a general assumption in the bushmeat literature that the urban trade is driven by consumer demand with hunters simply fulfilling this demand. Using the urban bushmeat trade in the city of Kumasi, Ghana, as a case study, we use a range of datasets to explore the processes driving the urban bushmeat trade. We characterise the nature of supply and demand by explicitly considering three market attributes: resource condition, hunter behaviour, and consumer behaviour. Our results suggest that bushmeat resources around Kumasi are becoming increasingly depleted and are unable to meet demand, that hunters move in and out of the trade independently of price signals generated by the market, and that, for the Kumasi bushmeat system, consumption levels are driven not by consumer choice but by shortfalls in supply and consequent price responses. Together, these results indicate that supply-side processes dominate the urban bushmeat trade in Kumasi. This suggests that future management interventions should focus on changing hunter behaviour, although complementary interventions targeting consumer demand are also likely to be necessary in the long term. Our approach represents a structured and repeatable method to assessing market dynamics in information-poor systems. The findings serve as a caution against assuming that wildlife markets are demand driven, and highlight the value of characterising market dynamics to inform appropriate management.
Bladon AJ, Short KM, Mohammed EY, et al., 2016, Payments for ecosystem services in developing world fisheries, FISH AND FISHERIES, Vol: 17, Pages: 839-859, ISSN: 1467-2960
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- Citations: 45
Bush ER, Short RE, Milner-Gulland EJ, et al., 2016, Mosquito Net Use in an Artisanal East African Fishery, CONSERVATION LETTERS, Vol: 10, Pages: 451-459, ISSN: 1755-263X
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- Citations: 20
Linnell JD, Trouwborst A, Boitani L, et al., 2016, Border Security Fencing and Wildlife: The End of the Transboundary Paradigm in Eurasia?, PLOS Biology, Vol: 14, ISSN: 1545-7885
The ongoing refugee crisis in Europe has seen many countries rush to construct border security fencing to divert or control the flow of people. This follows a trend of border fence construction across Eurasia during the post-9/11 era. This development has gone largely unnoticed by conservation biologists during an era in which, ironically, transboundary cooperation has emerged as a conservation paradigm. These fences represent a major threat to wildlife because they can cause mortality, obstruct access to seasonally important resources, and reduce effective population size. We summarise the extent of the issue and propose concrete mitigation measures.
Larrosa C, Carrasco LR, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2016, Unintended Feedbacks: Challenges and Opportunities for Improving Conservation Effectiveness, Conservation Letters, Vol: 9, Pages: 316-326, ISSN: 1755-263X
Human reactions to conservation interventions can trigger unintended feedbacks resulting in poor conservation outcomes. Understanding unintended feedbacks is a necessary first step toward the diagnosis and solution of environmental problems, but existing anecdotal evidence cannot support decision-making. Using conservation examples, we present a conceptual framework and typology of unintended feedbacks based on a social-ecological systems (SES) approach. Three types of causal mechanisms for unintended feedbacks are distinguished: (1) flow unintended feedbacks when pre-existing feedbacks are enhanced or dampened; (2) deletion unintended feedbacks; and (3) addition unintended feedbacks when interventions, respectively, remove or add actors or links to the SES structure. Application of this typology can improve conservation outcomes by enabling the inclusion of complex relationships into planning and evaluation. We show how widely used tools for conservation planning could produce misleading recommendations, and discuss future work to mitigate the effect of unintended feedbacks in conservation practice. There is an urgent need to collect evidence in a structured way in order to understand the mechanisms by which human decision-making feeds through to conservation outcomes at different scales, thereby minimizing negative unintended feedbacks. The framework presented in this article can support the development of this evidence-base. Copyright
Kerven C, Robinson S, Behnke R, et al., 2016, A pastoral frontier: From chaos to capitalism and the re-colonisation of the Kazakh rangelands, JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS, Vol: 127, Pages: 106-119, ISSN: 0140-1963
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- Citations: 28
St John FAV, Brockington D, Bunnefeld N, et al., 2016, Research ethics: Assuring anonymity at the individual level may not be sufficient to protect research participants from harm, BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION, Vol: 196, Pages: 208-209, ISSN: 0006-3207
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- Citations: 34
Kerven C, Robinson S, Behnke R, et al., 2016, Horseflies, wolves and wells: biophysical and socio-economic factors influencing livestock distribution in Kazakhstan's rangelands, LAND USE POLICY, Vol: 52, Pages: 392-409, ISSN: 0264-8377
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- Citations: 20
Robinson S, Kerven C, Behnke R, et al., 2016, The changing role of bio-physical and socio-economic drivers in determining livestock distributions: A historical perspective from Kazakhstan, AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS, Vol: 143, Pages: 169-182, ISSN: 0308-521X
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- Citations: 16
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