Imperial College London
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Jarmo Kikstra

Faculty of Natural Sciences, Centre for Environmental Policy

Research Postgraduate
 
 
 
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Contact

 

j.kikstra20

 
 
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Location

 

Weeks BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Byers:2020:10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-20564,
author = {Byers, EA and Riahi, K and Kriegler, E and Krey, V and Schaeffer, R and van, Vuuren D and Gidden, M and Huppmann, D and Kikstra, J and Lamboll, R and Meinshausen, M and Nicholls, Z and Rogelj, J},
doi = {10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-20564},
title = {Systematic scenario process to support analysis of long-term emissions scenarios and transformation pathways for the IPCC WG3 6th Assessment Report},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-20564},
year = {2020}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - <jats:p>        &lt;p&gt;The assessment of long-term greenhouse gas emissions scenarios and societal transformation pathways is a key component of the IPCC Working Group 3 (WG3) on the Mitigation of Climate Change. A large scientific community, typically using integrated assessment models and econometric frameworks, supports this assessment in understanding both near-term actions and long-term policy responses and goals related to mitigating global warming. WG3 must systematically assess hundreds of scenarios from the literature to gain an in-depth understanding of long-term emissions pathways, across all sectors, leading to various levels of global warming. Systematic assessment and understanding the climate outcomes of each emissions scenario, requires coordinated processes which have developed over consecutive IPCC assessments. Here, we give an overview of the processes involved in the systematic assessment of long-term mitigation pathways as used in recent IPCC Assessments&lt;sup&gt;1&lt;/sup&gt; and being further developed for the IPCC 6&lt;sup&gt;th&lt;/sup&gt; Assessment Report (AR6). The presentation will explain how modelling teams can submit scenarios to AR6 and invite feedback to the process.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Following discussions amongst IPCC Lead Authors to define the scope of scenarios desired and variables requested, a call for scenarios to support AR6 was launched in September 2019. Modelling teams have registered and submitted scenarios through Autumn 2019 using a new and secure online submission portal, from which authorised Lead Authors can interrogate the scenarios interactively.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;This analysis is underpinned by the open-source software pyam, a Python package specifically designed for analysis and visualisation of integrated assessment scenarios&lt;sup&gt;2&
AU  - Byers,EA
AU  - Riahi,K
AU  - Kriegler,E
AU  - Krey,V
AU  - Schaeffer,R
AU  - van,Vuuren D
AU  - Gidden,M
AU  - Huppmann,D
AU  - Kikstra,J
AU  - Lamboll,R
AU  - Meinshausen,M
AU  - Nicholls,Z
AU  - Rogelj,J
DO  - 10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-20564
PY  - 2020///
TI  - Systematic scenario process to support analysis of long-term emissions scenarios and transformation pathways for the IPCC WG3 6th Assessment Report
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-20564
ER  -
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