Imperial College London

Jeff Eaton

Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Senior Lecturer in HIV Epidemiology







Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus






BibTex format

author = {Dwyer-Lindgren, L and Cork, MA and Sligar, A and Steuben, KM and Wilson, KF and Provost, NR and Mayala, BK and VanderHeide, JD and Collison, ML and Hall, JB and Biehl, MH and Carter, A and Frank, T and Douwes-Schultz, D and Burstein, R and Casey, DC and Deshpande, A and Earl, L and El, Bcheraoui C and Farag, TH and Henry, NJ and Kinyoki, D and Marczak, LB and Nixon, MR and Osgood-Zimmerman, A and Pigott, D and Reiner, RC and Ross, JM and Schaeffer, LE and Smith, DL and Davis, Weaver N and Wiens, KE and Eaton, JW and Justman, JE and Opio, A and Sartorius, B and Tanser, F and Wabiri, N and Piot, P and Murray, CJL and Hay, SI},
doi = {10.1038/s41586-019-1200-9},
journal = {Nature},
title = {Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017},
url = {},
year = {2019}

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

AB - HIV/AIDS is a leading cause of disease burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Existing evidence has demonstrated that there is substantial local variation in the prevalence of HIV; however, subnational variation has not been investigated at a high spatial resolution across the continent. Here we explore within-country variation at a 5 × 5-km resolution in sub-Saharan Africa by estimating the prevalence of HIV among adults (aged 15-49 years) and the corresponding number of people living with HIV from 2000 to 2017. Our analysis reveals substantial within-country variation in the prevalence of HIV throughout sub-Saharan Africa and local differences in both the direction and rate of change in HIV prevalence between 2000 and 2017, highlighting the degree to which important local differences are masked when examining trends at the country level. These fine-scale estimates of HIV prevalence across space and time provide an important tool for precisely targeting the interventions that are necessary to bringing HIV infections under control in sub-Saharan Africa.
AU - Dwyer-Lindgren,L
AU - Cork,MA
AU - Sligar,A
AU - Steuben,KM
AU - Wilson,KF
AU - Provost,NR
AU - Mayala,BK
AU - VanderHeide,JD
AU - Collison,ML
AU - Hall,JB
AU - Biehl,MH
AU - Carter,A
AU - Frank,T
AU - Douwes-Schultz,D
AU - Burstein,R
AU - Casey,DC
AU - Deshpande,A
AU - Earl,L
AU - El,Bcheraoui C
AU - Farag,TH
AU - Henry,NJ
AU - Kinyoki,D
AU - Marczak,LB
AU - Nixon,MR
AU - Osgood-Zimmerman,A
AU - Pigott,D
AU - Reiner,RC
AU - Ross,JM
AU - Schaeffer,LE
AU - Smith,DL
AU - Davis,Weaver N
AU - Wiens,KE
AU - Eaton,JW
AU - Justman,JE
AU - Opio,A
AU - Sartorius,B
AU - Tanser,F
AU - Wabiri,N
AU - Piot,P
AU - Murray,CJL
AU - Hay,SI
DO - 10.1038/s41586-019-1200-9
PY - 2019///
SN - 0028-0836
TI - Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017
T2 - Nature
UR -
UR -
UR -
ER -