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@article{Gohari:2017:10.1007/s11269-017-1575-z,
author = {Gohari, A and Mirchi, A and Madani, K},
doi = {10.1007/s11269-017-1575-z},
journal = {Water Resources Management},
pages = {1413--1434},
title = {System Dynamics Evaluation of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Water Resources Management in Central Iran},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1575-z},
volume = {31},
year = {2017}
}

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TY  - JOUR
AB  - The Zayandeh-Rud River basin, Iran, is projected to face spatiotemporally heterogeneoustemperature increase and precipitation reduction that will decrease water supply bymid-century. With projected increase (0.70–1.03 °C) in spring temperature and reduction (6–55%) in winter precipitation, the upper Zayandeh-Rud sub-basin, the main source of renewablewater supply, will likely become warmer and drier. In the lower sub-basin, 1.1–1.5 °Cincrease in temperature and 11–31% decrease in annual precipitation are likely. A systemdynamics model was used to analyze adaptation strategies taking into account feedbacksbetween water resources development and biophysical and socioeconomic sub-systems.Results suggest that infrastructural improvements, rigorous water demand management (e.g.,replacing high water demand crops such as rice, corn, and alfalfa), and ecosystem-basedregulatory prioritization, complemented by supply augmentation can temporarily alleviatewater stress in a basin that is essentially governed by the Limits to Growth archetype
AU  - Gohari,A
AU  - Mirchi,A
AU  - Madani,K
DO  - 10.1007/s11269-017-1575-z
EP  - 1434
PY  - 2017///
SN  - 0920-4741
SP  - 1413
TI  - System Dynamics Evaluation of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Water Resources Management in Central Iran
T2  - Water Resources Management
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1575-z
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/51896
VL  - 31
ER  -

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Kaveh Madani, PhD, F.AGU, F.EWRI

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