Imperial College London


Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

MRC Research Fellow



+44 (0)20 7594 3946patrick.walker06




UG12Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus





My research involves using mathematical models in order to better understand the likely impact of interventions upon malaria transmission and associated burden of disease. In particular my work has focused upon establishing the optimal packages of interventions to achieve various malaria elimination milestones across the wide range of transmission settings that exist across Africa. I also recently conducted a modelling analysis looking at the indirect impact of the Ebola epidemic in West Africa upon malaria morbidity and mortality. 

I hold an MRC Population Health Scientist Fellowship in which my research focuses upon developing modelling tools which use epidemiological data in order to capture the impact of interventions upon transmission and to assess the incremental progress towards local elimination within a particular setting.

I also have a stong research focus looking at the effects of malaria during pregnancy. Working alongside the Malaria in Pregnancy Consortium this research involves attempting to better understand how these depend upon malaria transmission within the general population and to assess the effectiveness of different preventative strategies.

Before focusing my research on malaria, I completed my PhD, “Quantifying the effects of measures to control highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 in poultry in Southeast Asia”, under the supervision of Professor Azra Ghani and Dr Simon Cauchemez.



Goncalves BP, Walker PG, Cairns M, et al., 2017, Pregnant Women: An Overlooked Asset to Plasmodium falciparum Malaria Elimination Campaigns?, Trends in Parasitology, Vol:33, ISSN:1471-4922, Pages:510-518

Walker PGT, Floyd J, ter Kuile F, et al., 2017, Estimated impact on birth weight of scaling up intermittent preventive treatment of malaria in pregnancy given sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance in Africa: A mathematical model, Plos Medicine, Vol:14, ISSN:1549-1676

Winskill P, Walker PGT, Griffin JT, et al., 2017, Modelling the cost-effectiveness of introducing the RTS,S malaria vaccine relative to scaling up other malaria interventions in sub-Saharan Africa, Bmj Global Health, Vol:2, ISSN:2059-7908

Ghani AC, Walker PG, 2016, Provision of malaria treatment for Ebola case contacts, Lancet Infectious Diseases, Vol:16, ISSN:1473-3099, Pages:391-392

Walker PGT, Griffin JT, Ferguson NM, et al., 2016, Estimating the most efficient allocation of interventions to achieve reductions in Plasmodium falciparum malaria burden and transmission in Africa: a modelling study, Lancet Global Health, Vol:4, ISSN:2214-109X, Pages:E474-E484

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