@article{Cooper:2016:10.1049/iet-rpg.2015.0127,
author = {Cooper, SJG and Hammond, GP and McManus, MC and Pudjianto, D},
doi = {10.1049/iet-rpg.2015.0127},
journal = {IET Renewable Power Generation},
pages = {380--387},
title = {Detailed simulation of electrical demands due to nationwide adoption of heat pumps, taking account of renewable generation and mitigation},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1049/iet-rpg.2015.0127},
volume = {10},
year = {2016}
}

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TY  - JOUR
AB  - This study quantifies the increase in the peak power demand, net of non-dispatchable generation, that may be required by widespread adoption of heat pumps. Electrification of heating could reduce emissions but also cause a challenging increase in peak power demand. This study expands on previous studies by quantifying the increase in greater detail; considering a wider range of scenarios, the characteristics of heat pumps and the interaction between wind generation and demand side management (DSM). A model was developed with dynamic simulations of individual heat pumps and dwellings. The increase in peak net-demand is highly sensitive to assumptions regarding the heat pumps, their installation, building fabric and the characteristics of the grid. If 80% of dwellings in the UK use heat pumps, peak net-demand could increase by around 100% (54 GW) but this increase could be mitigated to 30% (16 GW) by favourable conditions. DSM could reduce this increase to 20%, or 15% if used with extensive thermal storage. If 60% of dwellings use heat pumps, the increase in peak net-demand could be as low as 5.5 GW. High-performance heat pumps, appropriate installation and better insulated dwellings could make the increase in peak net-demand due to the electrification of heating more manageable.
AU  - Cooper,SJG
AU  - Hammond,GP
AU  - McManus,MC
AU  - Pudjianto,D
DO  - 10.1049/iet-rpg.2015.0127
EP  - 387
PY  - 2016///
SN  - 1752-1416
SP  - 380
TI  - Detailed simulation of electrical demands due to nationwide adoption of heat pumps, taking account of renewable generation and mitigation
T2  - IET Renewable Power Generation
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1049/iet-rpg.2015.0127
UR  - http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000371789100011&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/43522
VL  - 10
ER  - 

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