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• Journal article
  Lakeman-Fraser P, Ewers RM, 2014,

  Untangling interactions: do temperature and habitat fragmentation gradients simultaneously impact biotic relationships?

  , PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, Vol: 281, ISSN: 0962-8452
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  • Citations: 7
• Journal article
  Bradshaw CJA, Brook BW, Delean S, Fordham DA, Herrando-Perez S, Cassey P, Early R, Sekercioglu CH, Araujo MBet al., 2014,

  Predictors of contraction and expansion of area of occupancy for British birds

  , PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, Vol: 281, ISSN: 0962-8452
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  • Citations: 32
• Journal article
  Morfopoulos C, Sperlich D, Penuelas J, Filella I, Llusia J, Medlyn BE, Niinemets U, Possell M, Sun Z, Prentice ICet al., 2014,

  A model of plant isoprene emission based on available reducing power captures responses to atmospheric CO2

  , New Phytologist, Vol: 203, Pages: 125-139, ISSN: 0028-646X

  We present a unifying model for isoprene emission by photosynthesizing leaves based on the hypothesis that isoprene biosynthesis depends on a balance between the supply of photosynthetic reducing power and the demands of carbon fixation.We compared the predictions from our model, as well as from two other widely used models, with measurements of isoprene emission from leaves of Populus nigra and hybrid aspen (Populus tremula × P. tremuloides) in response to changes in leaf internal CO2 concentration (Ci) and photosynthetic photon flux density (PPFD) under diverse ambient CO2 concentrations (Ca).Our model reproduces the observed changes in isoprene emissions with Ci and PPFD, and also reproduces the tendency for the fraction of fixed carbon allocated to isoprene to increase with increasing PPFD. It also provides a simple mechanism for the previously unexplained decrease in the quantum efficiency of isoprene emission with increasing Ca.Experimental and modelled results support our hypothesis. Our model can reproduce the key features of the observations and has the potential to improve process‐based modelling of isoprene emissions by land vegetation at the ecosystem and global scales.

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• Journal article
  Peralta G, Frost CM, Rand TA, Didham RK, Tylianakis JMet al., 2014,

  Complementarity and redundancy of interactions enhance attack rates and spatial stability in host-parasitoid food webs

  , ECOLOGY, Vol: 95, Pages: 1888-1896, ISSN: 0012-9658
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  • Citations: 57
• Journal article
  Dani KGS, Jamie IM, Prentice IC, Atwell BJet al., 2014,

  Evolution of isoprene emission capacity in plants

  , TRENDS IN PLANT SCIENCE, Vol: 19, Pages: 439-446, ISSN: 1360-1385
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  • Citations: 36
• Journal article
  Alagador D, Cerdeira JO, Araujo MB, 2014,

  Shifting protected areas: scheduling spatial priorities under climate change

  , JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY, Vol: 51, Pages: 703-713, ISSN: 0021-8901
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  • Citations: 85
• Journal article
  Bull JW, Gordon A, Law EA, Suttle KB, Milner-Gulland EJet al., 2014,

  Importance of Baseline Specification in Evaluating Conservation Interventions and Achieving No Net Loss of Biodiversity

  , CONSERVATION BIOLOGY, Vol: 28, Pages: 799-809, ISSN: 0888-8892
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  • Citations: 89
• Journal article
  Hoshino E, Milner-Gulland EJ, Hillary RM, 2014,

  Why model assumptions matter for natural resource management: interactions between model structure and life histories in fishery models

  , JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY, Vol: 51, Pages: 632-641, ISSN: 0021-8901
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  • Citations: 8
• Journal article
  Dobrovolski R, Loyola R, da Fonseca GAB, Diniz-Filho JAF, Araujo MBet al., 2014,

  Globalizing Conservation Efforts to Save Species and Enhance Food Production

  , BIOSCIENCE, Vol: 64, Pages: 539-545, ISSN: 0006-3568
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  • Citations: 28
• Journal article
  Frost GS, Walton GE, Swann JR, Psichas A, Costabile A, Johnson LP, Sponheimer M, Gibson GR, Barraclough TGet al., 2014,

  Impacts of Plant-Based Foods in Ancestral Hominin Diets on the Metabolism and Function of Gut Microbiota In Vitro

  , mBio, Vol: 5, ISSN: 2161-2129
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• Journal article
  Garcia RA, Cabeza M, Rahbek C, Araujo MBet al., 2014,

  Multiple Dimensions of Climate Change and Their Implications for Biodiversity

  , SCIENCE, Vol: 344, Pages: 486-+, ISSN: 0036-8075
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  • Citations: 358
• Journal article
  Goldson SL, Wratten SD, Ferguson CM, Gerard PJ, Barratt BIP, Hardwick S, McNeill MR, Phillips CB, Popay AJ, Tylianakis JM, Tomasetto Fet al., 2014,

  If and when successful classical biological control fails

  , BIOLOGICAL CONTROL, Vol: 72, Pages: 76-79, ISSN: 1049-9644
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  • Citations: 32
• Journal article
  Rapacciuolo G, Roy DB, Gillings S, Purvis Aet al., 2014,

  Temporal validation plots: quantifying how well correlative species distribution models predict species' range changes over time

  , METHODS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION, Vol: 5, Pages: 407-420, ISSN: 2041-210X
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  • Citations: 10
• Journal article
  Tylianakis JM, Coux C, 2014,

  Tipping points in ecological networks

  , TRENDS IN PLANT SCIENCE, Vol: 19, Pages: 281-283, ISSN: 1360-1385
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  • Citations: 17
• Journal article
  Pfeifer M, Lefebvre V, Gardner TA, Arroyo-Rodriguez V, Baeten L, Banks-Leite C, Barlow J, Betts MG, Brunet J, Cerezo A, Cisneros LM, Collard S, D'Cruze N, da Silva Motta C, Duguay S, Eggermont H, Eigenbrod F, Hadley AS, Hanson TR, Hawes JE, Scalley TH, Klingbeil BT, Kolb A, Kormann U, Kumar S, Lachat T, Lakeman Fraser P, Lantschner V, Laurance WF, Leal IR, Lens L, Marsh CJ, Medina-Rangel GF, Melles S, Mezger D, Oldekop JA, Overal WL, Owen C, Peres CA, Phalan B, Pidgeon AM, Pilia O, Possingham HP, Possingham ML, Raheem DC, Ribeiro DB, Ribeiro Neto JD, Robinson WD, Robinson R, Rytwinski T, Scherber C, Slade EM, Somarriba E, Stouffer PC, Struebig MJ, Tylianakis JM, Tscharntke T, Tyre AJ, Urbina-Cardona JN, Vasconcelos HL, Wearn O, Wells K, Willig MR, Wood E, Young RP, Bradley AV, Ewers RMet al., 2014,

  BIOFRAG - a new database for analyzing BIOdiversity responses to forest FRAGmentation

  , Ecology and Evolution, Vol: 4, Pages: 1524-1537, ISSN: 2045-7758
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• Journal article
  Zaehle S, Medlyn BE, De Kauwe MG, Walker AP, Dietze MC, Hickler T, Luo Y, Wang Y-P, El-Masri B, Thornton P, Jain A, Wang S, Warlind D, Weng E, Parton W, Iversen CM, Gallet-Budynek A, McCarthy H, Finzi AC, Hanson PJ, Prentice IC, Oren R, Norby RJet al., 2014,

  Evaluation of 11 terrestrial carbon-nitrogen cycle models against observations from two temperate Free-Air CO2 Enrichment studies

  , NEW PHYTOLOGIST, Vol: 202, Pages: 803-822, ISSN: 0028-646X
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  • Citations: 263
• Journal article
  Garcia RA, Araujo MB, Burgess ND, Foden WB, Gutsche A, Rahbek C, Cabeza Met al., 2014,

  Matching species traits to projected threats and opportunities from climate change

  , JOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY, Vol: 41, Pages: 724-735, ISSN: 0305-0270
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  • Citations: 56
• Journal article
  O'Loughlin SM, Magesa S, Mbogo C, Mosha F, Midega J, Lomas S, Burt Aet al., 2014,

  Genomic Analyses of Three Malaria Vectors Reveals Extensive Shared Polymorphism but Contrasting Population Histories

  , MOLECULAR BIOLOGY AND EVOLUTION, Vol: 31, Pages: 889-902, ISSN: 0737-4038
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  • Citations: 30
• Journal article
  Graham SL, Hunt JE, Millard P, McSeveny T, Tylianakis JM, Whitehead Det al., 2014,

  Effects of Soil Warming and Nitrogen Addition on Soil Respiration in a New Zealand Tussock Grassland

  , PLOS ONE, Vol: 9, ISSN: 1932-6203
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  • Citations: 35
• Journal article
  Davies TK, Mees CC, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2014,

  The past, present and future use of drifting fish aggregating devices (FADs) in the Indian Ocean

  , MARINE POLICY, Vol: 45, Pages: 163-170, ISSN: 0308-597X
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  • Citations: 52
• Journal article
  Rosa IMD, Ahmed SE, Ewers RM, 2014,

  The transparency, reliability and utility of tropical rainforest land-use and land-cover change models

  , Glob Change Biol, Pages: n/a-n/a, ISSN: 1365-2486
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• Journal article
  Metcalf JL, Prost S, Nogues-Bravo D, DeChaine EG, Anderson C, Batra P, Araujo MB, Cooper A, Guralnick RPet al., 2014,

  Integrating multiple lines of evidence into historical biogeography hypothesis testing: a Bison bison case study

  , PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, Vol: 281, ISSN: 0962-8452
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  • Citations: 28
• Journal article
  Knott EJ, Bunnefeld N, Huber D, Reljic S, Kerezi V, Milner-Gulland EJet al., 2014,

  The potential impacts of changes in bear hunting policy for hunting organisations in Croatia

  , EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE RESEARCH, Vol: 60, Pages: 85-97, ISSN: 1612-4642
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  • Citations: 18
• Journal article
  Edwards CTT, Bunnefeld N, Balme GA, Milner-Gulland EJet al., 2014,

  Data-poor management of African lion hunting using a relative index of abundance

  , PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, Vol: 111, Pages: 539-543, ISSN: 0027-8424
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  • Citations: 12
• Journal article
  Powney GD, Rapacciuolo G, Preston CD, Purvis A, Roy DBet al., 2014,

  A phylogenetically-informed trait-based analysis of range change in the vascular plant flora of Britain

  , BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION, Vol: 23, Pages: 171-185, ISSN: 0960-3115
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• Journal article
  Jones IL, Bull JW, Milner-Gulland EJ, Esipov AV, Suttle KBet al., 2014,

  Quantifying habitat impacts of natural gas infrastructure to facilitate biodiversity offsetting

  , ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION, Vol: 4, Pages: 79-90, ISSN: 2045-7758
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  • Citations: 23
• Journal article
  Woodhouse E, McGowan P, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2014,

  Fungal gold and firewood on the Tibetan plateau: examining access to diverse ecosystem provisioning services within a rural community

  , ORYX, Vol: 48, Pages: 30-38, ISSN: 0030-6053
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  • Citations: 15
• Journal article
  Nogues-Bravo D, Pulido F, Araujo MB, Diniz-Filho JAF, Garcia-Valdes R, Kollmann J, Svenning J-C, Valladares F, Zavala MAet al., 2014,

  Phenotypic correlates of potential range size and range filling in European trees

  , PERSPECTIVES IN PLANT ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS, Vol: 16, Pages: 219-227, ISSN: 1433-8319
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  • Citations: 27
• Journal article
  Araújo MB, Rozenfeld A, 2014,

  The geographic scaling of biotic interactions

  , Ecography, Vol: 37, Pages: 406-415, ISSN: 0906-7590

  A central tenet of ecology and biogeography is that the broad outlines of species ranges are determined by climate, whereas the effects of biotic interactions are manifested at local scales. While the first proposition is supported by ample evidence, the second is still a matter of controversy. To address this question, we develop a mathematical model that predicts the spatial overlap, i.e. co-occurrence, between pairs of species subject to all possible types of interactions. We then identify the scale of resolution in which predicted range overlaps are lost. We found that co-occurrence arising from positive interactions, such as mutualism (+/+) and commensalism (+/0), are manifested across scales. Negative interactions, such as competition (-/-) and amensalism (-/0), generate checkerboard patterns of co-occurrence that are discernible at finer resolutions but that are lost and increasing scales of resolution. Scale dependence in consumer-resource interactions (+/-) depends on the strength of positive dependencies between species. If the net positive effect is greater than the net negative effect, then interactions scale up similarly to positive interactions. Our results challenge the widely held view that climate alone is sufficient to characterize species distributions at broad scales, but also demonstrate that the spatial signature of competition is unlikely to be discernible beyond local and regional scales. © 2013 The Authors.

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  • Citations: 200
• Journal article
  Nuno A, Bunnefeld N, Milner-Gulland EJ, 2014,

  Managing social-ecological systems under uncertainty: implementation in the real world

  , ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY, Vol: 19, ISSN: 1708-3087
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  • Citations: 23

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