@article{Few:2017:10.3390/en10020158,
author = {Few, SPM and Gambhir, A and Napp, T and Hawkes, A and Mangeon, S and Bernie, D and Lowe, J},
doi = {10.3390/en10020158},
journal = {Energies},
title = {The impact of shale gas on the cost and feasibility of meeting climate targets - a global energy system model analysis and an exploration of uncertainties},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en10020158},
volume = {10},
year = {2017}
}

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TY  - JOUR
AB  - There exists considerable uncertainty over both shaleand conventional gas  resource  availability  and  extraction  costs,  as  well  as  the  fugitive  methane emissions  associated  with  shale  gas  extractionand  its  possible  role  in  mitigating climate  change. This  study uses  a  multi-region  energy  system  model,  TIAM (TIMES  Integrated  Assessment  Model),to consider  the  impact  of  a  range  of conventional   and   shale   gas cost and availability   assessments   on   mitigation scenariosaimed at achieving a limit to global warming of below 2°C in 2100, with a 50% likelihood. When adding shale gas to the global energy mix, the reduction to the  global  energy  system  cost  is  relatively  small  (up  to0.4%),  and  the  mitigation cost increases by 1-3% under all cost assumptions. The impact of a “dash for shale gas”, of unavailability of carbon capture and storage, of increased barriers to investment in low carbon technologies, and of higher than expectedleakage rates, are also considered;andare each found to have the potential to increase the cost and reduce feasibility of meeting globaltemperature goals. We concludethat the extraction  of  shale  gas  is  not  likely  to  significantly  reduce  the  effort  required  to mitigate  climate  change  under  globallycoordinatedaction,  but  could  increase required mitigation effort if not handled sufficiently carefully.
AU  - Few,SPM
AU  - Gambhir,A
AU  - Napp,T
AU  - Hawkes,A
AU  - Mangeon,S
AU  - Bernie,D
AU  - Lowe,J
DO  - 10.3390/en10020158
PY  - 2017///
SN  - 1996-1073
TI  - The impact of shale gas on the cost and feasibility of meeting climate targets - a global energy system model analysis and an exploration of uncertainties
T2  - Energies
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en10020158
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/44101
VL  - 10
ER  - 

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