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• Journal article
  Mann AG, Trotter CL, Balogun MA, Ramsay MEet al., 2008,

  Hepatitis C in ethnic minority populations in England

  , JOURNAL OF VIRAL HEPATITIS, Vol: 15, Pages: 421-426, ISSN: 1352-0504
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  • Citations: 21
• Journal article
  Hallett TB, Singh K, Smith JA, White RG, Abu-Raddad LJ, Garnett GPet al., 2008,

  Understanding the Impact of Male Circumcision Interventions on the Spread of HIV in Southern Africa

  , PLOS ONE, Vol: 3, ISSN: 1932-6203
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  • Citations: 104
• Journal article
  Dube S, Body M-C, Mugurungi O, Mahomva A, Chikhata F, Gregson Set al., 2008,

  Estimating vertically acquired HIV infections and the impact of the prevention of mother-to-child transmission program in Zimbabwe - Insights from decision analysis models

  , JAIDS-JOURNAL OF ACQUIRED IMMUNE DEFICIENCY SYNDROMES, Vol: 48, Pages: 72-81, ISSN: 1525-4135
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  • Citations: 19
• Journal article
  Parham PE, Singh BK, Ferguson NM, 2008,

  Analytic Approximation of Spatial Epidemic Models of Foot and Mouth Disease

  , THEOR POPUL BIOL, Vol: 73, Pages: 349-368, ISSN: 0040-5809

  The effect of spatial heterogeneity in epidemic models has improved with computational advances, yet far less progress has been made in developing analytical tools for understanding such systems. Here, we develop two classes of second-order moment closure methods for approximating the dynamics of a stochastic spatial model of the spread of foot and mouth disease. We consider the performance of such 'pseudo-spatial' models as a function of R-0, the locality in disease transmission, farm distribution and geographically-targeted control when an arbitrary number of spatial kernels are incorporated. One advantage of mapping complex spatial models onto simpler deterministic approximations lies in the ability to potentially obtain a better analytical understanding of disease dynamics and the effects of control. We exploit this tractability by deriving analytical results in the invasion stages of an FMD outbreak, highlighting key principles underlying epidemic spread on contact networks and the effect of spatial correlations. (C) 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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• Journal article
  Basanez M-G, Pion SDS, Boakes E, Filipe JAN, Churcher TS, Boussinesq Met al., 2008,

  Effect of single-dose ivermectin on <i>Onchocerca volvulus</i>:: a systematic review and meta-analysis

  , LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES, Vol: 8, Pages: 310-322, ISSN: 1473-3099
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  • Citations: 150
• Journal article
  Chen MI, Ghani AC, Edmunds J, 2008,

  Mind the gap: The role of time between sex with two consecutive partners on the transmission dynamics of gonorrhea

  , SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASES, Vol: 35, Pages: 435-444, ISSN: 0148-5717
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  • Citations: 46
• Journal article
  Nascimento FF, Bonvicino CR, de Oliveira MM, Schneider MPC, Seuánez HNet al., 2008,

  Population genetic studies of Alouatta belzebul from the Amazonian and Atlantic Forests.

  , Am J Primatol, Vol: 70, Pages: 423-431

  Cytochrome b DNA sequence data (ca. 1,140 bp) of 66 Alouatta belzebul from the Amazonian and the Atlantic Forests of Brazil were used for phylogenetic reconstructions and population studies. Our sample consisted of 60 specimens from the Amazonian Forest (captured in 1984 and 1998 in Pará-PA state) and six specimens from the Atlantic Forest (Paraíba-PB state). We found 32 haplotypes, 23 in PA-1984 (with 12 present in more than one individual), 11 in PA-1998 (with two present in more than one individual), and a single haplotype in the PB sample. Animals from PA-1984 and PA-1998 shared three haplotypes while animals from Pará and Paraíba did not share any haplotype. We found 57 variable sites, consisting of 53 transitions and four transversions, with most replacements occurring at third codon position (77.19%) and less frequently at first and second positions (10.53 and 12.28%, respectively). Genetic distance between all haplotypes varied between 0 and 1.2%. Nucleotide diversity estimates between PA-1984 haplotypes and PA-1998 haplotypes were the same (π=0.01), and haplotype diversity estimates were very similar (h=0.96 and 0.93 for PA-1984 and PA-1998, respectively). Maximum parsimony, median-joining, split decomposition, and TCS showed that PA and PB haplotypes had not drastically diverged and that subsequent radiation within these regions was not apparent. No temporal structure was found between PA-1984 and PA-1998. The sum of square deviation estimate for PA-1984 equaled 0.01 (P=0.23), in agreement with a hypothetical model of sudden expansion contrary to PA-1998 whose sum of square deviation estimate (0.40; P=0.04) was not compatible with this model, although the small sample size of PA-1998 as well as the smaller area of capture could have also accounted for this result. Fu's F(s) and R(2) statistical neutrality tests corroborated these propositions. Lack of drastic differentiation was attributable to the once existing connec

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• Journal article
  Kuh D, Mishra GD, Black S, Lawlor DA, Smith GD, Okell L, Wadsworth M, Hardy Ret al., 2008,

  Offspring birth weight, gestational age and maternal characteristics in relation to glucose status at age 53 years: evidence from a national birth cohort

  , DIABETIC MEDICINE, Vol: 25, Pages: 530-535, ISSN: 0742-3071
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  • Citations: 8
• Journal article
  Trotter CL, Stuart JM, George R, Miller Eet al., 2008,

  Increasing hospital admissions for pneumonia, England

  , EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES, Vol: 14, Pages: 727-733, ISSN: 1080-6040
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  • Citations: 205
• Journal article
  Abu-Raddad LJ, van der Ventel BIS, Ferguson NM, 2008,

  Interactions of multiple strain pathogen diseases in the presence of coinfection, cross immunity, and arbitrary strain diversity

  , PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS, Vol: 100, ISSN: 0031-9007
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  • Citations: 18

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