Publications

Search or filter publications

Search publications Search

Filter by type:

Filter by publication type

• Book
• Book chapter
• Conference paper
• Journal article
• Other
• Patent
• Poster
• Report
• Scholarly edition
• Software
• Thesis dissertation
• Working paper

Filter by year:

Filter from 2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996199519941993199219911990198919881987198619851984198319821981198019791978197719761975197419731972 to Filter to 2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996199519941993199219911990198919881987198619851984198319821981198019791978197719761975197419731972

---

Search results

• Journal article
  Grassly NC, Garnett GP, 2005,

  The future of the HIV pandemic

  , BULLETIN OF THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, Vol: 83, Pages: 378-382, ISSN: 0042-9686
  • Author Web Link
  • Cite
  • Citations: 15
• Journal article
  Donnelly CA, Bartley LM, Ghani AC, Le Fevre AM, Kwong GP, Cowling BJ, van Sighem AL, de Wolf F, Rode RA, Anderson RMet al., 2005,

  Gender difference in HIV-1 RNA viral loads

  , HIV MEDICINE, Vol: 6, Pages: 170-178, ISSN: 1464-2662
  • Author Web Link
  • Cite
  • Citations: 44
• Journal article
  Watts H, Lopman B, Nyamukapa C, Gregson Set al., 2005,

  Rising incidence and prevalence of orphanhood in Manicaland, Zimbabwe, 1998 to 2003

  , AIDS, Vol: 19, Pages: 717-725, ISSN: 0269-9370
  • Author Web Link
  • Cite
  • Citations: 34
• Journal article
  Mason PR, Fiori PL, Cappuccinelli P, Rappelli P, Gregson Set al., 2005,

  Seroepidemiology of <i>Trichomonas vaginalis</i> in rural women in Zimbabwe and patterns of association with HIV infection

  , EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION, Vol: 133, Pages: 315-323, ISSN: 0950-2688
  • Author Web Link
  • Cite
  • Citations: 22
• Journal article
  Fuller SJ, Bull CM, Murray K, Spencer RJet al., 2005,

  Clustering of related individuals in a population of the Australian lizard, <i>Egernia frerei</i>

  , MOLECULAR ECOLOGY, Vol: 14, Pages: 1207-1213, ISSN: 0962-1083
  • Author Web Link
  • Cite
  • Citations: 20
• Journal article
  Abu-Raddad LJ, Ferguson NM, 2005,

  Characterizing the symmetric equilibrium of multi-strain host-pathogen systems in the presence of cross immunity

  , JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, Vol: 50, Pages: 531-558, ISSN: 0303-6812
  • Author Web Link
  • Cite
  • Citations: 24
• Journal article
  Clarke P, Ghani AC, 2005,

  Projections of the future course of the primary vCJD epidemic in the UK: inclusion of subclinical infection and the possibility of wider genetic susceptibility

  , JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE, Vol: 2, Pages: 19-31, ISSN: 1742-5689
  • Cite
  • Citations: 54
• Journal article
  Ferguson NM, 2005,

  Mathematical prediction in infection.

  , Medicine (Abingdon), Vol: 33, Pages: 1-2, ISSN: 1357-3039

  It is now increasingly common for infectious disease epidemics to be analysed with mathematical models. Modelling is possible because epidemics involve relatively simple processes occurring within large populations of individuals. Modelling aims to explain and predict trends in disease incidence, prevalence, morbidity or mortality. Models give important insight into the development of epidemics. Following disease establishment, epidemic growth is approximately exponential. The rate of growth in this phase is primarily determined by the basic reproduction number (R0), the number of secondary cases per primary case when the population is susceptible. R0 also determines the ease with which control policies can control epidemics. Once a significant proportion of the population has been infected, not all contacts of an infected individual will be with susceptible people. Infection can now continue only because new births replenish the susceptible population. Eventually, an endemic equilibrium is reached whereby every infected person infects one other individual on average. Heterogeneity in host susceptibility, infectiousness, human contact patterns and the genetic composition of pathogen populations introduces substantial additional complexity into the models required to model real diseases realistically. The contribution concludes with a brief review of the recent application of mathematical models to emerging human and animal epidemics, notably the spread of HIV in Africa, the variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease epidemic in the UK and its relationship to bovine spongiform encephalitis in cattle, the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic in UK livestock, bioterrorism threats such as smallpox, and the SARS epidemics in 2003.

  • Abstract
  • Author Web Link
  • Cite
• Journal article
  Johnston WT, Gettinby G, Cox DR, Donnelly CA, Bourne J, Clifton-Hadley R, Le Fevre AM, McInerney JP, Mitchell A, Morrison WI, Woodroffe Ret al., 2005,

  Herd-level risk factors associated with tuberculosis breakdowns among cattle herds in England before the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic

  , BIOLOGY LETTERS, Vol: 1, Pages: 53-56, ISSN: 1744-9561
  • Author Web Link
  • Cite
  • Citations: 71
• Journal article
  Vieira JC, Brackenboro L, Porter CH, Basáñez MG, Collins RCet al., 2005,

  Spatial and temporal variation in biting rates and parasite transmission potentials of onchocerciasis vectors in Ecuador

  , TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE, Vol: 99, Pages: 178-195, ISSN: 0035-9203
  • Cite
  • Citations: 15

This data is extracted from the Web of Science and reproduced under a licence from Thomson Reuters. You may not copy or re-distribute this data in whole or in part without the written consent of the Science business of Thomson Reuters.