Imperial College London
Alternate

Emeritus ProfessorAndrewEvans

Faculty of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering

Emeritus Professor
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.evans Website

 
 
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Assistant

 

Ms Maya Mistry +44 (0)20 7594 6100

 
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Location

 

406Skempton BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@techreport{Evans:2014,
author = {Evans, AW},
booktitle = {Fatal train accidents on Britain's main line railways: end of 2013 analysis},
title = {Fatal train accidents on Britain's main line railways: end of 2013 analysis},
url = {https://imperialcollegelondon.box.com/s/ypx84lgrj54kkcbev7ztkxad07673jr6},
year = {2014}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - RPRT
AB  - This paper updates the author’s previous statistical analyses of fatal train accidents on running lines of the national railway system of Great Britain to the end of 2013, based on fatal accident data over the 47-year period 1967 to 2013. There were no fatal train collisions, derailments or overruns in 2013 for the sixth consecutive calendar year. That continuing good performance contributes to a further reduction in the estimated mean frequency of such accidents from 0.34 per year in 2012 to 0.31 in 2013 .The estimated mean number of fatalities per year in such accidents fell from 1.36 in 2012 to 1.22 in 2013. On the other hand, there were three accidental fatal collisions between trains and road vehicles in 2013, causing four car occupant fatalities. That performance leads to an estimated frequency of 2.23 such accidents per year in 2013, compared with 2.27 in 2012, with 3.12 fatalities per year in 2013 compared with 3.18 in 2012. The long-term rate of reduction in the accident rate per train-kilometre is estimated to be 6.9% per year for train collisions, derailments and overruns, and 3.3% per year for collisions between trains and road motor vehicles. The paper examines the evolution of the estimates since 2001, and makes comparisons with results of the Safety Risk Model (SRM) of the Rail Safety and Standards Board. Both sources estimate long term reductions in mean fatalities per year in train collisions, derailments and overruns, but the SRM has consistently estimated somewhat more fatalities per year than this paper.
AU  - Evans,AW
PY  - 2014///
TI  - Fatal train accidents on Britain's main line railways: end of 2013 analysis
T1  - Fatal train accidents on Britain's main line railways: end of 2013 analysis
UR  - https://imperialcollegelondon.box.com/s/ypx84lgrj54kkcbev7ztkxad07673jr6
ER  -
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