@techreport{Evans:2017, author = {Evans, AW}, title = {Fatal train accidents on Britain's main line railways: end of 2016 analysis}, url = {https://imperialcollegelondon.box.com/s/mc1lr2h2nrb4r5zyw9rfj9ulxs7g8lif}, year = {2017} }
TY - RPRT AB - This paper updates the author’s previous statistical analyses of fatal train accidents on running lines of the national railway system of Great Britain to the end of 2016, based on fatal accident data over the 50-year period 1967 to 2016. There were no fatal train collisions, derailments or overruns in 2016 for the ninth consecutive calendar year. That continuing good performance contributes to a further reduction in the estimated mean frequency of such accidents from 0.26 per year in 2015 to 0.22 in 2016. The estimated mean number of fatalities per year in such accidents fell from 1.01 in 2015 to 0.89 in 2016. There were no accidental fatal collisions between trains and road motor vehicles in 2016 for the second calendar year in succession. That leads to an estimated frequency of 1.80 such accidents per year in 2016, compared with 2.03 in 2015, with 2.51 fatalities per year in 2016 compared with 2.83 in 2015. The long-term rate of reduction in the accident rate per train-kilometre is estimated to be 7.2% per year for train collisions, derailments and overruns, and 3.6% per year for collisions between trains and road motor vehicles. The paper examines the evolution of these estimates since 2001, and makes comparisons with results of the Safety Risk Model (SRM) of the Rail Safety and Standards Board. Both sources estimate long term reductions in mean fatalities per year in train collisions, derailments and overruns, but the SRM has consistently estimated more fatalities per year than this paper AU - Evans,AW PY - 2017/// TI - Fatal train accidents on Britain's main line railways: end of 2016 analysis UR - https://imperialcollegelondon.box.com/s/mc1lr2h2nrb4r5zyw9rfj9ulxs7g8lif ER -