Imperial College London

MrAlphaForna

Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Research Postgraduate
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.forna16

 
 
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Location

 

Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus

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Summary

 

Summary

My research aims to understand the sub-national level trajectories of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) in West Africa, and the influence of health worker distribution during the epidemic. Furthermore, I will investigate factors that could be associated with the Pre/Post-Ebola clinical outcomes of survivors and if these also show sub-national variations. Hopefully, evidence generated from my project would be used to inform future outbreak policies and responses. Presently, I am using a machine learning (Boosted regression trees) model to impute the outcome (i.e. survival or death) of Ebola cases in the WHO line-list data collected during the West African Ebola outbreak in 2013-2015. The observed and imputed outcomes will improve the current estimates of the case fatality ratio. My Ph.D. is supervised by Professor Christl Donnelly, Dr. Pierre Nouvellet and Dr. Ilaria Dorigatti. I am funded by the Commonwealth Scholarship Commission, United Kingdom.

 

Publications

Journals

Ahuka-Mundeke S, Ahmed YA, Allarangar Y, et al., 2018, Outbreak of Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, April-May, 2018: an epidemiological study, Lancet, Vol:392, ISSN:0140-6736, Pages:213-221

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