Imperial College London

MrAlphaForna

Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Research Postgraduate
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.forna16

 
 
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Location

 

Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus

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Summary

 

Summary

My research aims to understand the sub-national level trajectories of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) in West Africa, and the influence of health worker distribution during the epidemic. Furthermore, I will investigate factors that could be associated with the Pre/Post-Ebola clinical outcomes of survivors and if these also show sub-national variations. Hopefully, evidence generated from my project would be used to inform future outbreak policies and responses. Presently, I am using a machine learning (Boosted regression trees) model to impute the outcome (i.e. survival or death) of Ebola cases in the WHO line-list data collected during the West African Ebola outbreak in 2013-2015. The observed and imputed outcomes will improve the current estimates of the case fatality ratio. My Ph.D. is supervised by Professor Christl Donnelly, Dr. Pierre Nouvellet and Dr. Ilaria Dorigatti. I am funded by the Commonwealth Scholarship Commission, United Kingdom.

 

Publications

Journals

The Ebola Outbreak Epidemiology Team, Bhatia S, Cori A, et al., 2018, Outbreak of Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, April–May, 2018: an epidemiological study, The Lancet, Vol:392, ISSN:0140-6736, Pages:213-221

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