Imperial College London
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ProfessorAzraGhani

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Chair in Infectious Disease Epidemiology
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 5764a.ghani Website

 
 
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Location

 

Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Sherrard-Smith:2020:10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y,
author = {Sherrard-Smith, E and Hogan, AB and Hamlet, A and Watson, OJ and Whittaker, C and Winskill, P and Ali, F and Mohammad, AB and Uhomoibhi, P and Maikore, I and Ogbulafor, N and Nikau, J and Kont, MD and Challenger, JD and Verity, R and Lambert, B and Cairns, M and Rao, B and Baguelin, M and Whittles, LK and Lees, JA and Bhatia, S and Knock, ES and Okell, L and Slater, HC and Ghani, AC and Walker, PGT and Okoko, OO and Churcher, TS},
doi = {10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y},
journal = {Nature Medicine},
pages = {1411--1416},
title = {The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa.},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y},
volume = {26},
year = {2020}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - The burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising1. In response, countries are implementing societal measures aimed at curtailing transmission of SARS-CoV-22,3. Despite these measures, the COVID-19 epidemic could still result in millions of deaths as local health facilities become overwhelmed4. Advances in malaria control this century have been largely due to distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs)5, with many SSA countries having planned campaigns for 2020. In the present study, we use COVID-19 and malaria transmission models to estimate the impact of disruption of malaria prevention activities and other core health services under four different COVID-19 epidemic scenarios. If activities are halted, the malaria burden in 2020 could be more than double that of 2019. In Nigeria alone, reducing case management for 6 months and delaying LLIN campaigns could result in 81,000 (44,000-119,000) additional deaths. Mitigating these negative impacts is achievable, and LLIN distributions in particular should be prioritized alongside access to antimalarial treatments to prevent substantial malaria epidemics.
AU  - Sherrard-Smith,E
AU  - Hogan,AB
AU  - Hamlet,A
AU  - Watson,OJ
AU  - Whittaker,C
AU  - Winskill,P
AU  - Ali,F
AU  - Mohammad,AB
AU  - Uhomoibhi,P
AU  - Maikore,I
AU  - Ogbulafor,N
AU  - Nikau,J
AU  - Kont,MD
AU  - Challenger,JD
AU  - Verity,R
AU  - Lambert,B
AU  - Cairns,M
AU  - Rao,B
AU  - Baguelin,M
AU  - Whittles,LK
AU  - Lees,JA
AU  - Bhatia,S
AU  - Knock,ES
AU  - Okell,L
AU  - Slater,HC
AU  - Ghani,AC
AU  - Walker,PGT
AU  - Okoko,OO
AU  - Churcher,TS
DO  - 10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
EP  - 1416
PY  - 2020///
SN  - 1078-8956
SP  - 1411
TI  - The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa.
T2  - Nature Medicine
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
UR  - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32770167
UR  - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1025-y
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/81652
VL  - 26
ER  -
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