Imperial College London

Dr Alexandra Hogan

Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Imperial College Research Fellow
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 3946a.hogan Website

 
 
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Location

 

Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Sherrard-Smith:2020:10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y,
author = {Sherrard-Smith, E and Hogan, AB and Hamlet, A and Watson, OJ and Whittaker, C and Winskill, P and Ali, F and Mohammad, AB and Uhomoibhi, P and Maikore, I and Ogbulafor, N and Nikau, J and Kont, MD and Challenger, JD and Verity, R and Lambert, B and Cairns, M and Rao, B and Baguelin, M and Whittles, LK and Lees, JA and Bhatia, S and Knock, ES and Okell, L and Slater, HC and Ghani, AC and Walker, PGT and Okoko, OO and Churcher, TS},
doi = {10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y},
journal = {Nature Medicine},
pages = {1411--1416},
title = {The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa.},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y},
volume = {26},
year = {2020}
}

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB - The burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising1. In response, countries are implementing societal measures aimed at curtailing transmission of SARS-CoV-22,3. Despite these measures, the COVID-19 epidemic could still result in millions of deaths as local health facilities become overwhelmed4. Advances in malaria control this century have been largely due to distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs)5, with many SSA countries having planned campaigns for 2020. In the present study, we use COVID-19 and malaria transmission models to estimate the impact of disruption of malaria prevention activities and other core health services under four different COVID-19 epidemic scenarios. If activities are halted, the malaria burden in 2020 could be more than double that of 2019. In Nigeria alone, reducing case management for 6 months and delaying LLIN campaigns could result in 81,000 (44,000-119,000) additional deaths. Mitigating these negative impacts is achievable, and LLIN distributions in particular should be prioritized alongside access to antimalarial treatments to prevent substantial malaria epidemics.
AU - Sherrard-Smith,E
AU - Hogan,AB
AU - Hamlet,A
AU - Watson,OJ
AU - Whittaker,C
AU - Winskill,P
AU - Ali,F
AU - Mohammad,AB
AU - Uhomoibhi,P
AU - Maikore,I
AU - Ogbulafor,N
AU - Nikau,J
AU - Kont,MD
AU - Challenger,JD
AU - Verity,R
AU - Lambert,B
AU - Cairns,M
AU - Rao,B
AU - Baguelin,M
AU - Whittles,LK
AU - Lees,JA
AU - Bhatia,S
AU - Knock,ES
AU - Okell,L
AU - Slater,HC
AU - Ghani,AC
AU - Walker,PGT
AU - Okoko,OO
AU - Churcher,TS
DO - 10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
EP - 1416
PY - 2020///
SN - 1078-8956
SP - 1411
TI - The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa.
T2 - Nature Medicine
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
UR - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32770167
UR - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1025-y
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/81652
VL - 26
ER -