Imperial College London
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Dr Alexandre Koberle

Business School

Honorary Senior Research Fellow
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.koberle

 
 
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Location

 

Sherfield BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Köberle:2020:10.1007/s10584-020-02856-6,
author = {Köberle, AC and Rochedo, PRR and Lucena, AFP and Szklo, A and Schaeffer, R},
doi = {10.1007/s10584-020-02856-6},
journal = {Climatic Change},
pages = {1823--1842},
title = {Brazil’s emission trajectories in a well-below 2 °C world: the role of disruptive technologies versus land-based mitigation in an already low-emission energy system},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02856-6},
volume = {162},
year = {2020}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - The Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to the Paris Agreement (PA) submitted so far do not put the world on track to meet the targets of the Agreement and by 2020 countries should ratchet up ambition in the new round of NDCs. Brazil’s NDC to the PA received mixed reviews and has been rated as “medium” ambition. We use the Brazil Land Use and Energy System (BLUES) model to explore low-emission scenarios for Brazil for the 2010–2050 period that cost-effectively raise ambition to levels consistent with PA targets. Our results reinforce the fundamental role of the agriculture, forest, and land use (AFOLU) sectors and explore inter-sectoral linkages to power generation and transportation. We identify transportation as a prime candidate for decarbonization, leveraging Brazil’s already low-carbon electricity production and its high bioenergy production. Results indicate the most important mitigation measures are electrification of the light-duty vehicle (LDV) fleet for passenger transportation, biodiesel and biokerosene production via Fischer-Tropsch synthesis from lignocellulosic feedstock, and intensification of agricultural production. The use of carbon capture and storage (CCS) as well as netzero deforestation make significant contributions. We identify opportunities for Brazil, but synergies and trade-offs across sectors should be minded when designing climate policies.
AU  - Köberle,AC
AU  - Rochedo,PRR
AU  - Lucena,AFP
AU  - Szklo,A
AU  - Schaeffer,R
DO  - 10.1007/s10584-020-02856-6
EP  - 1842
PY  - 2020///
SN  - 0165-0009
SP  - 1823
TI  - Brazil’s emission trajectories in a well-below 2 °C world: the role of disruptive technologies versus land-based mitigation in an already low-emission energy system
T2  - Climatic Change
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02856-6
UR  - https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-020-02856-6
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/83328
VL  - 162
ER  -
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