Imperial College London
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Dr Alexandre Koberle

Business School

Honorary Senior Research Fellow
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.koberle

 
 
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Location

 

Sherfield BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Pereira:2021:10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783,
author = {Pereira, L and Kuiper, JJ and Selomane, O and Aguiar, APD and Asrar, GR and Bennett, EM and Biggs, R and Calvin, K and Hedden, S and Hsu, A and Jabbour, J and King, N and Köberle, AC and Lucas, P and Nel, J and Norström, AV and Peterson, G and Sitas, N and Trisos, C and van, Vuuren DP and Vervoort, J and Ward, J},
doi = {10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783},
journal = {Ecosystems and People},
pages = {191--204},
title = {Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783},
volume = {17},
year = {2021}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - Global Environmental Assessments (GEAs) are in a unique position to influence environmental decision-making in the context of sustainability challenges. To do this effectively, however, new methods are needed to respond to the needs of decision-makers for a more integrated, contextualized and goal-seeking evaluation of different policies, geared for action from global to local. While scenarios are an important tool for GEAs to link short-term decisions and medium and long-term consequences, these current information needs cannot be met only through deductive approaches focused on the global level. In this paper, we argue that a more diverse set of futures tools operating at multiple scales are needed to improve GEA scenario development and analysis to meet the information needs of policymakers and other stakeholders better. Based on the literature, we highlight four challenges that GEAs need to be able to address in order to contribute to global environmental decision-making about the future: 1. anticipate unpredictable future conditions; 2. be relevant at multiple scales, 3. include diverse actors, perspectives and contexts; and 4. leverage the imagination to inspire action. We present a toolbox of future-oriented approaches and methods that can be used to effectively address the four challenges currently faced by GEAs.
AU  - Pereira,L
AU  - Kuiper,JJ
AU  - Selomane,O
AU  - Aguiar,APD
AU  - Asrar,GR
AU  - Bennett,EM
AU  - Biggs,R
AU  - Calvin,K
AU  - Hedden,S
AU  - Hsu,A
AU  - Jabbour,J
AU  - King,N
AU  - Köberle,AC
AU  - Lucas,P
AU  - Nel,J
AU  - Norström,AV
AU  - Peterson,G
AU  - Sitas,N
AU  - Trisos,C
AU  - van,Vuuren DP
AU  - Vervoort,J
AU  - Ward,J
DO  - 10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783
EP  - 204
PY  - 2021///
SN  - 2639-5908
SP  - 191
TI  - Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments
T2  - Ecosystems and People
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783
UR  - https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/26395916.2021.1901783
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/88902
VL  - 17
ER  -
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