Imperial College London
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Dr Alexandre Koberle

Business School

Honorary Senior Research Fellow
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.koberle

 
 
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Location

 

Sherfield BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Koberle:2015:10.1016/j.energy.2015.05.145,
author = {Koberle, AC and Gernaat, DEHJ and van, Vuuren DP},
doi = {10.1016/j.energy.2015.05.145},
journal = {Energy},
pages = {739--756},
title = {Assessing current and future techno-economic potential of concentrated solar power and photovoltaic electricity generation},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.05.145},
volume = {89},
year = {2015}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - CSP and PV technologies represent energy sources with large potentials. We present cost-supply curves for both technologies using a consistent methodology for 26 regions, based on geoexplicit information on solar radiation, land cover type and slope, exploring individual potential and interdependencies. For present day, both CSP and PV supply curves start at $0.18/kWh, in North Africa, South America, and Australia. Applying accepted learning rates to official capacity targets, we project prices to drop to $0.11/kWh for both technologies by 2050. In an alternative “fast-learning” scenario, generation costs drop to $0.06–0.07/kWh for CSP, and $0.09/kWh for PV. Competition between them for best areas is explored along with sensitivities of their techno-economic potentials to land use restrictions and land cover type. CSP was found to be more competitive in desert sites with highest direct solar radiation. PV was a clear winner in humid tropical regions, and temperate northern hemisphere. Elsewhere, no clear winner emerged, highlighting the importance of competition in assessments of potentials. Our results show there is ample potential globally for both technologies even accounting for land use restrictions, but stronger support for RD&D and higher investments are needed to make CSP and PV cost-competitive with established power technologies by 2050.
AU  - Koberle,AC
AU  - Gernaat,DEHJ
AU  - van,Vuuren DP
DO  - 10.1016/j.energy.2015.05.145
EP  - 756
PY  - 2015///
SN  - 0360-5442
SP  - 739
TI  - Assessing current and future techno-economic potential of concentrated solar power and photovoltaic electricity generation
T2  - Energy
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2015.05.145
UR  - http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000361252500067&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
UR  - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0360544215007690?via%3Dihub
VL  - 89
ER  -
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