Imperial College London

ProfessorApostolosVoulgarakis

Faculty of Natural SciencesDepartment of Physics

Professor in Global Climate and Environmental Change
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.voulgarakis Website

 
 
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Location

 

Huxley 709BHuxley BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Teixeira:2022:10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1671,
author = {Teixeira, J and Burton, C and Kelley, DI and Folberth, G and O'Connor, FM and Betts, R and Voulgarakis, A},
doi = {10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1671},
title = {Representing socio-economic factors in INFERNO using the Human Development Index},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1671},
year = {2022}
}

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB - <jats:p>&lt;p&gt;INFERNO human fire ignitions and fire suppression functions excluded the representation of socio-economic factors (aside population density) that can affect anthropogenic behaviour regarding fire ignitions. To address this, we implement a socio-economic factor in the fire ignition and suppression parametrisation in INFERNO based on an Human Development Index (HDI) term. The HDI is calculated based on three indicators designed to capture the income, health, and education dimensions of human development. Therefore, we assume this leads to a representation where if there is more effort in improving human development, there is also investment on higher fire suppression by the population. Including this representation of socio-economic factors in INFERNO we were able to reduce large positive biases that were found for the regions of Temperate North America, Central America, Europe and Southern Hemisphere South America without significant impact to other regions, improving the model performance at a regional level and better representing processes that drive fire behaviour in the Earth System.&lt;/p&gt;</jats:p>
AU - Teixeira,J
AU - Burton,C
AU - Kelley,DI
AU - Folberth,G
AU - O'Connor,FM
AU - Betts,R
AU - Voulgarakis,A
DO - 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1671
PY - 2022///
TI - Representing socio-economic factors in INFERNO using the Human Development Index
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1671
ER -