Imperial College London
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DrArranHamlet

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Visiting Researcher
 
 
 
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Contact

 

arran.hamlet14

 
 
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Location

 

UG1247 Praed StreetSt Mary's Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@unpublished{Caicedo:2020:10.1101/2020.12.10.20247296,
author = {Caicedo, E-Y and Charniga, K and Rueda, A and Dorigatti, I and Mendez, Y and Hamlet, A and Carrera, J-P and Cucunubá, ZM},
doi = {10.1101/2020.12.10.20247296},
publisher = {Public Library of Science},
title = {The epidemiology of Mayaro virus in the Americas: A systematic review and key parameter estimates for outbreak modelling},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.10.20247296},
year = {2020}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - UNPB
AB  - <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Mayaro virus (MAYV) is an arbovirus that is endemic to tropical forests in Central and South America, particularly within the Amazon basin. In recent years, concern has increased regarding MAYV’s ability to invade urban areas and cause epidemics across the region. We conducted a systematic literature review to characterise the evolutionary history of MAYV, its transmission potential, and exposure patterns to the virus. We analysed data from the literature on MAYV infection to produce estimates of key epidemiological parameters, including the generation time and the basic reproduction number, <jats:italic>R</jats:italic><jats:sub>0</jats:sub>. We also estimated the force-of-infection (FOI) in epidemic and endemic settings. Seventy-six publications met our inclusion criteria. Evidence of MAYV infection in humans, animals, or vectors was reported in 14 Latin American countries. Nine countries reported evidence of acute infection in humans confirmed by viral isolation or reverse transcription-PCR (RT-PCR). We identified at least five MAYV outbreaks. Seroprevalence from population based cross-sectional studies ranged from 21% to 72%. The estimated mean generation time of MAYV was 15.2 days (95% CrI: 11.7-19.8) with a standard deviation of 6.3 days (95% CrI: 4.2-9.5). The per-capita risk of MAYV infection (FOI) ranged between 0.01 and 0.05 per year, producing <jats:italic>R</jats:italic><jats:sub>0</jats:sub> estimates between 1.1 and 2.9 in endemic settings. In an outbreak in Santa Cruz, Bolivia, <jats:italic>R</jats:italic><jats:sub>0</jats:sub> was estimated at 2.2 (95% CrI: 0.8-4.8). Although MAYV has been identified in urban vectors, there is not yet evidence of sustained urban transmission. MAYV’s enzootic cycle could become established in forested areas within cities similar to yellow fever virus.</jats:p><jats:sec&
AU  - Caicedo,E-Y
AU  - Charniga,K
AU  - Rueda,A
AU  - Dorigatti,I
AU  - Mendez,Y
AU  - Hamlet,A
AU  - Carrera,J-P
AU  - Cucunubá,ZM
DO  - 10.1101/2020.12.10.20247296
PB  - Public Library of Science
PY  - 2020///
TI  - The epidemiology of Mayaro virus in the Americas: A systematic review and key parameter estimates for outbreak modelling
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.10.20247296
ER  -
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