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@article{Wang:2020:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30977-6,
author = {Wang, H and Abbas, KM and Abbasifard, M and Abbasi-Kangevari, M and Abbastabar, H and Abd-Allah, F and Abdelalim, A and Abolhassani, H and Abreu, LG and Abrigo, MRM and Abushouk, AI and Adabi, M and Adair, T and Adebayo, OM and Adedeji, IA and Adekanmbi, V and Adeoye, AM and Adetokunboh, OO and Advani, SM and Afshin, A and Aghaali, M and Agrawal, A and Ahmadi, K and Ahmadieh, H and Ahmed, MB and Al-Aly, Z and Alam, K and Alam, T and Alanezi, FM and Alanzi, TM and Alcalde-Rabanal, JE and Ali, M and Alicandro, G and Alijanzadeh, M and Alinia, C and Alipour, V and Alizade, H and Aljunid, SM and Allebeck, P and Almadi, MAH and Almasi-Hashiani, A and Al-Mekhlafi, HM and Altirkawi, KA and Alumran, AK and Alvis-Guzman, N and Amini-Rarani, M and Aminorroaya, A and Amit, AML and Ancuceanu, R and Andrei, CL and Androudi, S and Angus, C and Anjomshoa, M and Ansari, F and Ansari, I and Ansari-Moghaddam, A and Antonio, CAT and Antony, CM and Anvari, D and Appiah, SCY and Arabloo, J and Arab-Zozani,},
doi = {10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30977-6},
journal = {The Lancet},
pages = {1160--1203},
title = {Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30977-6},
volume = {396},
year = {2020}
}

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TY  - JOUR
AB  - BackgroundAccurate and up-to-date assessment of demographic metrics is crucial for understanding a wide range of social, economic, and public health issues that affect populations worldwide. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 produced updated and comprehensive demographic assessments of the key indicators of fertility, mortality, migration, and population for 204 countries and territories and selected subnational locations from 1950 to 2019.Methods8078 country-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 938 surveys, 349 censuses, and 238 other sources were identified and used to estimate age-specific fertility. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate age-specific fertility rates for 5-year age groups between ages 15 and 49 years. With extensions to age groups 10–14 and 50–54 years, the total fertility rate (TFR) was then aggregated using the estimated age-specific fertility between ages 10 and 54 years. 7417 sources were used for under-5 mortality estimation and 7355 for adult mortality. ST-GPR was used to synthesise data sources after correction for known biases. Adult mortality was measured as the probability of death between ages 15 and 60 years based on vital registration, sample registration, and sibling histories, and was also estimated using ST-GPR. HIV-free life tables were then estimated using estimates of under-5 and adult mortality rates using a relational model life table system created for GBD, which closely tracks observed age-specific mortality rates from complete vital registration when available. Independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated by an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys and antenatal clinic serosurveillance and other sources were incorporated into the estimates in countries with large epidemics. Annual and single-year age estimates of net migration and population for each country and territory were generated usin
AU  - Wang,H
AU  - Abbas,KM
AU  - Abbasifard,M
AU  - Abbasi-Kangevari,M
AU  - Abbastabar,H
AU  - Abd-Allah,F
AU  - Abdelalim,A
AU  - Abolhassani,H
AU  - Abreu,LG
AU  - Abrigo,MRM
AU  - Abushouk,AI
AU  - Adabi,M
AU  - Adair,T
AU  - Adebayo,OM
AU  - Adedeji,IA
AU  - Adekanmbi,V
AU  - Adeoye,AM
AU  - Adetokunboh,OO
AU  - Advani,SM
AU  - Afshin,A
AU  - Aghaali,M
AU  - Agrawal,A
AU  - Ahmadi,K
AU  - Ahmadieh,H
AU  - Ahmed,MB
AU  - Al-Aly,Z
AU  - Alam,K
AU  - Alam,T
AU  - Alanezi,FM
AU  - Alanzi,TM
AU  - Alcalde-Rabanal,JE
AU  - Ali,M
AU  - Alicandro,G
AU  - Alijanzadeh,M
AU  - Alinia,C
AU  - Alipour,V
AU  - Alizade,H
AU  - Aljunid,SM
AU  - Allebeck,P
AU  - Almadi,MAH
AU  - Almasi-Hashiani,A
AU  - Al-Mekhlafi,HM
AU  - Altirkawi,KA
AU  - Alumran,AK
AU  - Alvis-Guzman,N
AU  - Amini-Rarani,M
AU  - Aminorroaya,A
AU  - Amit,AML
AU  - Ancuceanu,R
AU  - Andrei,CL
AU  - Androudi,S
AU  - Angus,C
AU  - Anjomshoa,M
AU  - Ansari,F
AU  - Ansari,I
AU  - Ansari-Moghaddam,A
AU  - Antonio,CAT
AU  - Antony,CM
AU  - Anvari,D
AU  - Appiah,SCY
AU  - Arabloo,J
AU  - Arab-Zozani,M
AU  - Aravkin,AY
AU  - Aremu,O
AU  - Ärnlöv,J
AU  - Aryal,KK
AU  - Asadi-Pooya,AA
AU  - Asgari,S
AU  - Asghari,Jafarabadi M
AU  - Atteraya,MS
AU  - Ausloos,M
AU  - Avila-Burgos,L
AU  - Avokpaho,EFGA
AU  - Ayala,Quintanilla BP
AU  - Ayano,G
AU  - Ayanore,MA
AU  - Azarian,G
AU  - Babaee,E
AU  - Badiye,AD
AU  - Bagli,E
AU  - Bahrami,MA
AU  - Bakhtiari,A
AU  - Balassyano,S
AU  - Banach,M
AU  - Banik,PC
AU  - Barker-Collo,SL
AU  - Bärnighausen,TW
AU  - Barzegar,A
AU  - Basu,S
AU  - Baune,BT
AU  - Bayati,M
AU  - Bazmandegan,G
AU  - Bedi,N
AU  - Bell,ML
AU  - Bennett,DA
AU  - Bensenor,IM
AU  - Berhe,K
AU  - Berman,AE
AU  - Bertolacci,GJ
AU  - Bhageerathy,R
AU  - Bhala,N
AU  - Bhattacharyya,K
AU  - Bhutta,ZA
AU  - Bijani,A
AU  - Biondi,A
AU  - Bisanzio,D
AU  - Bisignano,C
AU  - Biswas,RK
AU  - Bjørge,T
AU  - Bohlouli,S
AU  - Bohluli,M
AU  - Bolla,SRR
AU  - Borzì,AM
AU  - Borzouei,S
AU  - Brady,OJ
AU  - Braithwaite,D
AU  - Brauer,M
AU  - Briko,AN
AU  - Briko,NI
AU  - Bumgarner,BR
AU  - Burugina,Nagaraja S
AU  - Butt,ZA
AU  - Caetano,dos Santos FL
AU  - Cai,T
AU  - Callender,CSKH
AU  - Cámera,LLAA
AU  - Campos-Nonato,IR
AU  - Cárdenas,R
AU  - Carreras,G
AU  - Carrero,JJ
AU  - Carvalho,F
AU  - Castaldelli-Maia,JM
AU  - Castelpietra,G
AU  - Castro,F
AU  - Catalá-López,F
AU  - Cederroth,CR
AU  - Cerin,E
AU  - Chattu,VK
AU  - Chin,KL
AU  - Chu,D-T
AU  - Ciobanu,LG
AU  - Cirillo,M
AU  - Comfort,H
AU  - Costa,VM
AU  - Cowden,RG
AU  - Cromwell,EA
AU  - Croneberger,AJ
AU  - Cunningham,M
AU  - Dahlawi,SMA
AU  - Damiani,G
AU  - D'Amico,E
AU  - Dandona,L
AU  - Dandona,R
AU  - Dargan,PI
AU  - Darwesh,AM
AU  - Daryani,A
AU  - Das,Gupta R
AU  - das,Neves J
AU  - Davletov,K
AU  - De,Leo D
AU  - Denova-Gutiérrez,E
AU  - Deribe,K
AU  - Dervenis
DO  - 10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30977-6
EP  - 1203
PY  - 2020///
SN  - 0140-6736
SP  - 1160
TI  - Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
T2  - The Lancet
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30977-6
UR  - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140673620309776?via%3Dihub
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/83437
VL  - 396
ER  -

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