Imperial College London

ProfessorFrankKelly

Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Battcock Chair in Community Health and Policy
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 8098 ext 48098frank.kelly Website

 
 
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Location

 

Building E - Sir Michael UrenWhite City Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Publication Type
Year
to

581 results found

Xue T, Wang R, Tong M, Kelly FJ, Liu H, Li J, Li P, Qiu X, Gong J, Shang J, Zhu Tet al., 2023, Estimating the exposure-response function between long-term ozone exposure and under-5 mortality in 55 low-income and middle-income countries: a retrospective, multicentre, epidemiological study., Lancet Planet Health, Vol: 7, Pages: e736-e746

BACKGROUND: In 2021, WHO suggested new target concentration limits for long-term exposure to ambient ozone. However, the harmful effects of ozone on vulnerable children have not been sufficiently studied. We aimed to evaluate the association between long-term ozone exposure and mortality in children younger than 5 years (hereafter denoted under-5 mortality) in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) and to estimate this mortality burden for 97 LMICs. METHODS: By combining information from 128 Demographic and Health Surveys, we evaluated the association between the survival status of more than 1·2 million children younger than 5 years from 2457 sampling strata in 55 LMICs and the average peak-season ozone concentration during the life course, using a fixed-effects Cox model. A non-linear exposure-response function was developed by integrating the marginal effects of within-strata variation in exposure. We extrapolated the function obtained from the 55 LMICs to estimate the under-5 mortality burden attributable to ozone exposure in 97 LMICs, in which more than 95% of global deaths in this age group occur. FINDINGS: The fixed-effects model showed a robust association between ozone and under-5 mortality. According to the fully adjusted linear model, an increment of 10 ppb in the life-course average peak-season ozone concentration was associated with a 6·4% (95% CI 2·4-10·7) increase in the risk of under-5 mortality. The non-linear exposure-response function showed a sublinear curvature with a threshold, suggesting that the effect of ozone exposure was non-significant at concentrations lower than the first-stage interim target (100 μg/m3) recommended by WHO. Using this function, we estimate that, in 2010, long-term ozone exposure contributed to 153 361 (95% CI 17 077-276 768; 2·3% [0·3-4·1]) deaths of children younger than 5 years in 97 LMICs, which is equivalent to 56·8% of all ozone-related deaths in adu

Journal article

Scales J, Chavda J, Ikeda E, Tsocheva I, Dove RE, Wood HE, Kalsi H, Colligan G, Griffiths L, Day B, Crichlow C, Keighley A, Fletcher M, Newby C, Tomini F, Balkwill F, Mihaylova B, Grigg J, Beevers S, Eldridge S, Sheikh A, Gauderman J, Kelly F, Randhawa G, Mudway IS, van Sluijs E, Griffiths CJet al., 2023, Device-Measured Change in Physical Activity in Primary School Children During the UK COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown: A Longitudinal Study., J Phys Act Health, Vol: 20, Pages: 639-647

BACKGROUND: Lockdown measures, including school closures, due to the COVID-19 pandemic have caused widespread disruption to children's lives. The aim of this study was to explore the impact of a national lockdown on children's physical activity using seasonally matched accelerometry data. METHODS: Using a pre/post observational design, 179 children aged 8 to 11 years provided physical activity data measured using hip-worn triaxial accelerometers worn for 5 consecutive days prepandemic and during the January to March 2021 lockdown. Multilevel regression analyses adjusted for covariates were used to assess the impact of lockdown on time spent in sedentary and moderate to vigorous physical activity. RESULTS: A 10.8-minute reduction in daily time spent in moderate to vigorous physical activity (standard error: 2.3 min/d, P < .001) and a 33.2-minute increase in daily sedentary activity (standard error: 5.5 min/d, P < .001) were observed during lockdown. This reflected a reduction in daily moderate to vigorous physical activity for those unable to attend school (-13.1 [2.3] min/d, P < .001) during lockdown, with no significant change for those who continued to attend school (0.4 [4.0] min/d, P < .925). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that the loss of in-person schooling was the single largest impact on physical activity in this cohort of primary school children in London, Luton, and Dunstable, United Kingdom.

Journal article

Bos B, Barratt B, Batalle D, Gale-Grant O, Hughes EJ, Beevers S, Cordero-Grande L, Price AN, Hutter J, Hajnal JV, Kelly FJ, David Edwards A, Counsell SJet al., 2023, Prenatal exposure to air pollution is associated with structural changes in the neonatal brain., Environ Int, Vol: 174

BACKGROUND: Prenatal exposure to air pollution is associated with adverse neurologic consequences in childhood. However, the relationship between in utero exposure to air pollution and neonatal brain development is unclear. METHODS: We modelled maternal exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) at postcode level between date of conception to date of birth and studied the effect of prenatal air pollution exposure on neonatal brain morphology in 469 (207 male) healthy neonates, with gestational age of ≥36 weeks. Infants underwent MR neuroimaging at 3 Tesla at 41.29 (36.71-45.14) weeks post-menstrual age (PMA) as part of the developing human connectome project (dHCP). Single pollutant linear regression and canonical correlation analysis (CCA) were performed to assess the relationship between air pollution and brain morphology, adjusting for confounders and correcting for false discovery rate. RESULTS: Higher exposure to PM10 and lower exposure to NO2 was strongly canonically correlated to a larger relative ventricular volume, and moderately associated with larger relative size of the cerebellum. Modest associations were detected with higher exposure to PM10 and lower exposure to NO2 and smaller relative cortical grey matter and amygdala and hippocampus, and larger relaive brainstem and extracerebral CSF volume. No associations were found with white matter or deep grey nuclei volume. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that prenatal exposure to air pollution is associated with altered brain morphometry in the neonatal period, albeit with opposing results for NO2 and PM10. This finding provides further evidence that reducing levels of maternal exposure to particulate matter during pregnancy should be a public health priority and highlights the importance of understanding the impacts of air pollution on this critical development window.

Journal article

Page J, Whaley P, Bellingham M, Birnbaum LS, Cavoski A, Fetherston Dilke D, Garside R, Harrad S, Kelly F, Kortenkamp A, Martin O, Stec A, Woolley Tet al., 2023, A new consensus on reconciling fire safety with environmental & health impacts of chemical flame retardants., Environ Int, Vol: 173

Flame retardants are chemical substances that are intended to mitigate fire safety risks posed by a range of goods including furniture, electronics, and building insulation. There are growing concerns about their effectiveness in ensuring fire safety and the potential harms they pose to human health and the environment. In response to these concerns, on 13 June 2022, a roundtable of experts was convened by the UKRI Six Clean Air Strategic Priorities Fund programme 7. The meeting produced a Consensus Statement that summarises the issues around the use of flame retardants, laying out a series of policy recommendations that should lead to more effective fire safety measures and reduce the human and environmental health risks posed by these potentially toxic chemicals.

Journal article

Karamanos A, Lu Y, Mudway IS, Ayis S, Kelly FJ, Beevers SD, Dajnak D, Fecht D, Elia C, Tandon S, Webb AJ, Grande AJ, Molaodi OR, Maynard MJ, Cruickshank JK, Harding Set al., 2023, Associations between air pollutants and blood pressure in an ethnically diverse cohort of adolescents in London, England, PLoS One, Vol: 18, Pages: 1-18, ISSN: 1932-6203

Longitudinal evidence on the association between air pollution and blood pressure (BP) in adolescence is scarce. We explored this association in an ethnically diverse cohort of schoolchildren. Sex-stratified, linear random-effects modelling was used to examine how modelled residential exposure to annual average nitrogen dioxide (NO2), particulate matter (PM2.5, PM10) and ozone (O3), measures in μg/m3, associated with blood pressure. Estimates were based on 3,284 adolescents; 80% from ethnic minority groups, recruited from 51 schools, and followed up from 11–13 to 14–16 years old. Ethnic minorities were exposed to higher modelled annual average concentrations of pollution at residential postcode level than their White UK peers. A two-pollutant model (NO2 & PM2.5), adjusted for ethnicity, age, anthropometry, and pubertal status, highlighted associations with systolic, but not diastolic BP. A μg/m3 increase in NO2 was associated with a 0.30 mmHg (95% CI 0.18 to 0.40) decrease in systolic BP for girls and 0.19 mmHg (95% CI 0.07 to 0.31) decrease in systolic BP for boys. In contrast, a 1 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with 1.34 mmHg (95% CI 0.85 to 1.82) increase in systolic BP for girls and 0.57 mmHg (95% CI 0.04 to 1.03) increase in systolic BP for boys. Associations did not vary by ethnicity, body size or socio-economic advantage. Associations were robust to adjustments for noise levels and lung function at 11–13 years. In summary, higher ambient levels of NO2 were associated with lower and PM2.5 with higher systolic BP across adolescence, with stronger associations for girls.

Journal article

Kelly F, 2023, How to fight Air Pollution: The London Way, Global Sustainable Cities, Pages: 150-161

Book chapter

Yang T, Wang J, Huang J, Kelly FJJ, Li Get al., 2023, Long-term Exposure to Multiple Ambient Air Pollutants and Association With Incident Depression and Anxiety, JAMA PSYCHIATRY, ISSN: 2168-622X

Journal article

Tandon S, Grande AJ, Karamanos A, Cruickshank JK, Roever L, Mudway IS, Kelly FJ, Ayis S, Harding Set al., 2023, Association of Ambient Air Pollution with Blood Pressure in Adolescence: A Systematic-review and Meta-analysis., Curr Probl Cardiol, Vol: 48

We systematically reviewed the association of ambient air pollution with blood pressure (BP) as a primary outcome in adolescents (10-19 years). Five databases (Ovid Medline, Ovid Embase, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library, and LILACS) were searched for relevant articles published up to August 2022. Meta-analyses were conducted using STATA v17 (Protocol - OSF Registries https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/96G5Q). Eight studies (5 cohort, 3 cross-sectional) with approximately 15,000 adolescents were included. Data from 6 studies were suitable for inclusion in the meta-analyses. In sub-group analyses, non-significant positive associations were observed for cohort studies assessing long-term exposure to PM10, PM2.5, and NO2 on systolic and diastolic BP. At age 12 years old (3702 adolescents), we found significant positive associations for long-term exposure to PM2.5(β=5.33 (1.56, 9.09) mmHg) and PM10 (β=2.47 (0.10, 4.85) mmHg) on diastolic BP. Significant positive associations were observed (3,592 adolescents) for long-term exposure to PM10(β=0.34 (0.19, 0.50) mmHg) and NO2 on diastolic BP (β=0.40 (0.09, 0.71) mmHg), and PM10 on systolic BP (β=0.48 (0.19, 0.77) mmHg). The overall quality of evidence analysed was graded as "low/very low." Insufficient data for short-term exposures to PM2.5, PM10, NO2, CO on BP led to their exclusion from the meta-analysis. Inconsistent associations were reported for gender-stratified results. The evidence, though of low-quality and limited, indicated that ambient air pollution was positively associated with adolescent BP. Future studies need improved measures of air pollutant exposures, consideration of gender and socio-economic circumstances on the observed pollution effects, as well as adjustment for other potential confounding factors.

Journal article

Xu Z, Jin J, Yang T, Wang Y, Huang J, Pan X, Frank K, Li Get al., 2022, Outdoor light at night, genetic predisposition and type 2 diabetes mellitus: A prospective cohort study, ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH, Vol: 219, ISSN: 0013-9351

Journal article

Kanagasabai T, Carter E, Yan L, Chan Q, Elliott P, Ezzati M, Kelly F, Xie G, Yang X, Zhao L, Guo D, Daskalopoulou SS, Wu Y, Baumgartner Jet al., 2022, Cross-sectional study of household solid fuel use and renal function in older adults in China, Environmental Research, Vol: 219, Pages: 1-11, ISSN: 0013-9351

BackgroundEmerging evidence links outdoor air pollution and declined renal function but the relationship between household air pollution and renal function is not well understood.MethodsUsing cross-sectional data from the multi-provincial INTERMAP-China Prospective Study, we collected blood samples and questionnaire information on stove use and socio-demographic factors. We calculated estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from serum creatinine to assess renal function. Participants with eGFR <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 were defined as having chronic kidney disease (CKD) in this analysis. Generalized estimating equations were used to estimate the association of household fuel with renal function and prevalent CKD in models adjusting for confounders.ResultsAmong the 646 enrolled adults (40-79y; 56% female), one-third exclusively used clean fuel (gas and electric) cookstoves and 11% of northern China participants (n = 49 of 434) used only clean fuel heaters, whereas the rest used solid fuel. In multivariable models, use of solid fuel cookstoves was associated with 0.17 ml/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI: −0.30, 0.64) higher eGFR and 19% (0.86, 1.64) higher prevalence of CKD than exclusive clean fuel use. Greater intensity of solid fuel use was associated with 0.25 ml/min/1.73 m2 (−0.71, 0.21) lower eGFR per 5 stove-use years, though the confidence intervals included the null, while greater current intensity of indoor solid fuel use was associated with 1.02 (1.00, 1.04) higher prevalent CKD per 100 stove-use days per year. Larger associations between current solid fuel use and intensity of use with lower eGFR and prevalent CKD were observed among participants in southern China, those with hypertension or diabetes (eGFR only), and females (CKD only), through these groups had small sample sizes and some confidence intervals included the null.ConclusionWe found inconsistent evidence associating household solid fuel use and renal function in this cross-sectional study o

Journal article

Chatzidiakou L, Krause A, Kellaway M, Han Y, Li Y, Martin E, Kelly FJ, Zhu T, Barratt B, Jones RLet al., 2022, Automated classification of time-activity-location patterns for improved estimation of personal exposure to air pollution, ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH, Vol: 21

Journal article

Vu TV, Stewart GB, Kitwiroon N, Lim S, Barratt B, Kelly FJ, Thompson R, Smith RB, Toledano MB, Beevers SDet al., 2022, Assessing the contributions of outdoor and indoor sources to air quality in London homes of the SCAMP cohort, Building and Environment, Vol: 222, Pages: 1-8, ISSN: 0360-1323

Given that many people typically spend the majority of their time at home, accurate measurement and modelling of the home environment is critical in estimating their exposure to air pollution. This study investigates the fate and impact on human exposure of outdoor and indoor pollutants in London homes, using a combination of sensor measurements, outdoor air pollution estimated from the CMAQ-urban model and indoor mass balance models. Averaged indoor concentrations of PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 were 14.6, 24.7 and 14.2 μg m−3 while the outdoor concentrations were 14.4, 22.6 and 21.4 μg m−3, respectively. Mean infiltration factors of particles (0.6–0.7) were higher than those of NO2 (0.4). In contrast, higher loss rates were found for NO2 (0.5–0.8 h−1) compared to those for particles (0.1–0.3 h−1). The average concentrations of PM2.5, PM10 and NO2 in kitchen environments were 22.0, 33.7 and 20.8 μg m−3, with highest hourly concentrations (437, 644 and 136 μg m−3, respectively) during cooking times (6–7 pm). Indoor sources increased the indoor concentrations of particles and NO2 by an average of 26–37% in comparison to the indoor background level without indoor sources. Outdoor and indoor air exchange plays an important role in reducing air pollution indoors by 65–86% for particles and 42–65% for NO2.

Journal article

Zhang H, Fan Y, Han Y, Yan L, Zhou B, Chen W, Cai Y, Chan Q, Zhu T, Kelly FJ, Barratt B, AIRLESS Team Bet al., 2022, Partitioning indoor-generated and outdoor-generated PM2.5 from real-time residential measurements in urban and peri-urban Beijing, SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, Vol: 845, ISSN: 0048-9697

Journal article

Vayghan AH, Rasta M, Zakeri M, Kelly FJet al., 2022, Spatial distribution of microplastics pollution in sediments and surface waters of the Aras River and reservoir: An international river in Northwestern Iran, SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, Vol: 843, ISSN: 0048-9697

Journal article

Tayal U, 2022, Exposure to elevated nitrogen dioxide concentrations and cardiac remodelling in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy, Journal of Cardiac Failure, Vol: 28, Pages: 924-934, ISSN: 1071-9164

Rationale: Empirical evidence suggests a strong link between exposure to air pollution and heart failure incidence, hospitalisations and mortality, but the biological basis of this remains unclear. Objective: To determine the relationship between differential air pollution levels and changes in cardiac structure and function in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy. Methods and Results: We undertook a prospective longitudinal observational cohort study of patients in England with dilated cardiomyopathy (enrollment 2009-2015; n=716, 66% male, 85% Caucasian) and conducted cross sectional analysis at the time of study enrollment. Annual average air pollution exposure estimates for nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particulate matter with diameter ≤ 2.5µm (PM2.5) at enrolment were assigned to each residential postcode (on average 12 households). The relationship between air pollution and cardiac morphology was assessed using linear regression modelling. Greater ambient exposure to NO2 was associated with higher indexed left ventricular mass (4.3 g/m2 increase per interquartile range (IQR) increase in NO2, 95% CI 1.9 to 7.0 g/m2) and lower left ventricular ejection fraction (-1.5% decrease per IQR increase in NO2, 95% CI -2.7 to -0.2%), independent of age, sex, socio-economic status and clinical covariates. The associations were robust to adjustment for smoking status and geographical clustering by postcode area. The effect of air pollution on left ventricular mass was greatest in women. These effects were specific to NO2 exposure. Conclusion: Exposure to air pollution is associated with raised left ventricular mass and lower left ventricular ejection fraction, with the strongest effect in women. Whilst epidemiological associations between air pollution and heart failure have been established and supported by pre-clinical studies, our findings provide novel empirical evidence of cardiac remodelling and exposure to air pollution with important clinical and public health

Journal article

Fussell JC, Franklin M, Green DC, Gustafsson M, Harrison RM, Hicks W, Kelly FJ, Kishta F, Miller MR, Mudway IS, Oroumiyeh F, Selley L, Wang M, Zhu Yet al., 2022, A Review of road traffic-derived non-exhaust particles: emissions, physicochemical characteristics, health risks, and mitigation measures., Environmental Science and Technology (Washington), Vol: 56, ISSN: 0013-936X

Implementation of regulatory standards has reduced exhaust emissions of particulate matter from road traffic substantially in the developed world. However, nonexhaust particle emissions arising from the wear of brakes, tires, and the road surface, together with the resuspension of road dust, are unregulated and exceed exhaust emissions in many jurisdictions. While knowledge of the sources of nonexhaust particles is fairly good, source-specific measurements of airborne concentrations are few, and studies of the toxicology and epidemiology do not give a clear picture of the health risk posed. This paper reviews the current state of knowledge, with a strong focus on health-related research, highlighting areas where further research is an essential prerequisite for developing focused policy responses to nonexhaust particles.

Journal article

Lim S, Bassey E, Bos B, Makacha L, Varaden D, Arku RE, Baumgartner J, Brauer M, Ezzati M, Kelly FJ, Barratt Bet al., 2022, Comparing human exposure to fine particulate matter in low and high-income countries: A systematic review of studies measuring personal PM2.5 exposure, SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, Vol: 833, ISSN: 0048-9697

Journal article

Tseng T-WJ, Carter E, Yan L, Chan Q, Elliott P, Ezzati M, Kelly F, Schauer JJ, Wu Y, Yang X, Zhao L, Baumgartner Jet al., 2022, Household air pollution from solid fuel use as a dose-dependent risk factor for cognitive impairment in northern China, Scientific Reports, Vol: 12, ISSN: 2045-2322

The relationship between exposure to household air pollution (HAP) from solid fuel use and cognition remains poorly understood. Among 401 older adults in peri-urban northern China enrolled in the INTERMAP-China Prospective Study, we estimated the associations between exposure to HAP and z-standardized domain-specific and overall cognitive scores from the Montreal Cognitive Assessment. Interquartile range increases in exposures to fine particulate matter (53.2-µg/m3) and black carbon (0.9-µg/m3) were linearly associated with lower overall cognition [- 0.13 (95% confidence interval: - 0.22, - 0.04) and - 0.10 (- 0.19, - 0.01), respectively]. Using solid fuel indoors and greater intensity of its use were also associated with lower overall cognition (range of point estimates: - 0.13 to - 0.03), though confidence intervals included zero. Among individual cognitive domains, attention had the largest associations with most exposure measures. Our findings indicate that exposure to HAP may be a dose-dependent risk factor for cognitive impairment. As exposure to HAP remains pervasive in China and worldwide, reducing exposure through the promotion of less-polluting stoves and fuels may be a population-wide intervention strategy to lessen the burden of cognitive impairment.

Journal article

Heydari S, Asgharian M, Kelly FJ, Goel Ret al., 2022, Potential health benefits of eliminating traffic emissions in urban areas, PLOS ONE, Vol: 17, ISSN: 1932-6203

Journal article

Griffiths SD, Entwistle JA, Kelly FJ, Deary MEet al., 2022, Characterising the ground level concentrations of harmful organic and inorganic substances released during major industrial fires, and implications for human health, ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL, Vol: 162, ISSN: 0160-4120

Journal article

Kanagasabai T, Xie W, Yan L, Zhao L, Carter E, Guo D, Chan Q, Daskalopoulou S, Elliott P, Ezzati M, Yang X, Xie G, Kelly F, Wu Y, Baumgartner Jet al., 2022, Household air pollution and blood pressure, vascular damage and sub-clinical indicators of cardiovascular disease in older Chinese adults, American Journal of Hypertension, Vol: 35, Pages: 121-131, ISSN: 0895-7061

BackgroundLimited data suggest that household air pollution from cooking and heating with solid fuel (i.e., coal and biomass) stoves may contribute to the development of hypertension and vascular damage.MethodsUsing mixed-effects regression models, we investigated the associations of household air pollution with blood pressure (BP) and vascular function in 753 adults (ages 40-79y) from three diverse provinces in China. We conducted repeated measures of participants’ household fuel use, personal exposure to fine particulate air pollution (PM2.5), BP, brachial-femoral pulse wave velocity (bfPWV), and augmentation index. Ultrasound images of the carotid arteries were obtained to assess intima-media thickness (CIMT) and plaques. Covariate information on socio-demographics, health behaviors, 24-h urinary sodium, and blood lipids was also obtained.ResultsAverage estimated yearly personal exposure to PM2.5 was 97.5 μg/m 3 (SD: 79.2; range: 3.5-1241), and 65% of participants cooked with solid fuel. In multivariable models, current solid fuel use was associated with higher systolic (2.4 mmHg, 95%CI: -0.4, 4.9) and diastolic BP (1.4 mmHg, 95%CI: -0.1, 3.0) and greater total area of plaques (1.7 mm 2, 95%CI: -6.5, 9.8) compared with exclusive use of electricity or gas stoves. A 1-ln(µg/m 3) increase in PM2.5 exposure was associated with higher systolic (1.5 mmHg, 95%CI: 0.2, 2.7) and diastolic BP (1.0 mmHg, 95%CI: 0.4, 1.7) and with greater CIMT (0.02 mm, 95%CI: 0.00, 0.04) and total area of plaques (4.7 mm 2, 95%CI: -2.0, 11.5). We did not find associations with arterial stiffness, except for a lower bfPWV (-1.5 m/s, 95%CI: -3.0, -0.0) among users of solid fuel heaters.ConclusionsThese findings add to limited evidence that household air pollution is associated with higher BP and with greater CIMT and total plaque area.

Journal article

Green D, 2022, Source attribution and quantification of atmospheric nickel concentrations in an industrial area in the United Kingdom (UK), Environmental Pollution, Vol: 293, Pages: 1-10, ISSN: 0269-7491

Pontardawe in South Wales, United Kingdom (UK), consistently has the highest concentrations of nickel (Ni) in PM10 in the UK and repeatedly breaches the 20 ng m−3 annual mean EU target value. Several local industries use Ni in their processes. To assist policy makers and regulators in quantifying the relative Ni contributions of these industries and developing appropriate emission reduction approaches, the hourly concentrations of 23 elements were measured using X-ray fluorescence alongside meteorological variables and black carbon during a four-week campaign in November–December 2015. Concentrations of Ni ranged between 0 and 2480 ng m−3 as hourly means. Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) was used to identify sources contributing to measured elements. Cluster analysis of bivariate polar plots of those factors containing Ni in their profile was further used to quantify the industrial processes contributing to ambient PM10 concentrations. Two sources were identified to contribute to Ni concentrations, stainless-steel (which contributed to 10% of the Ni burden) and the Ni refinery (contributing 90%). From the stainless-steel process, melting activities were responsible for 66% of the stainless-steel factor contribution.

Journal article

Kelly FJ, 2022, COP26-time for action, AIR QUALITY ATMOSPHERE AND HEALTH, Vol: 14, Pages: 1891-1891, ISSN: 1873-9318

Journal article

Han Y, Xue T, Kelly FJ, Zheng Y, Yao Y, Li J, Li J, Fan C, Li P, Zhu Tet al., 2022, Association of PM<inf>2.5</inf> Reduction with Improved Kidney Function: A Nationwide Quasiexperiment among Chinese Adults, Health Data Science, Vol: 2022, ISSN: 2097-1095

Background. Increasing evidence from human studies has revealed the adverse impact of ambient fine particles (PM2.5) on health outcomes related to metabolic disorders and distant organs. Whether exposure to ambient PM2.5 leads to kidney impairment remains unclear. The rapid air quality improvement driven by the clean air actions in China since 2013 provides an opportunity for a quasiexperiment to investigate the beneficial effect of PM2.5 reduction on kidney function. Methods. Based on two repeated nationwide surveys of the same population of 5115 adults in 2011 and 2015, we conducted a difference-indifference study. Variations in long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 were associated with changes in kidney function biomarkers, including estimated glomerular filtration rate by serum creatinine (GFRscr) or cystatin C (GFRcys), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and uric acid (UA). Results. For a 10 μg/m3 reduction in PM2.5, a significant improvement was observed for multiple kidney functional biomarkers, including GFRscr, BUN and UA, with a change of 0.42 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.06, 0.78) mL/min/1.73m2, -0.38 (-0.64, -0.12) mg/dL, and -0.06 (-0.12, -0.00) mg/dL, respectively. A lower socioeconomic status, indicated by rural residence or low educational level, enhanced the adverse effect of PM2.5 on kidney function. Conclusions. These results support a significant nephrotoxicity of PM2.5 based on multiple serum biomarkers and indicate a beneficial effect of improved air quality on kidney function.

Journal article

Kelly F, scales J, Chavda J, Dove R, Wood H, Kalsi H, Cross L, Newby C, Hall A, Keating M, Day B, Sheikh A, Eldridge S, Grigg J, Mudway I, Griffiths C, Beevers S, Wright J, Fletcher M, Keighley A, Thomson Aet al., 2021, Investigating the impact of London’s Ultra Low Emission Zone on children’s health: Children’s Health in London and Luton (CHILL): Protocol for a prospective parallel cohort study, medRxiv

Journal article

Nematollahi MJ, Zarei F, Keshavarzi B, Zarei M, Moore F, Busquets R, Kelly FJet al., 2021, Microplastic occurrence in settled indoor dust in schools, SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, Vol: 807, ISSN: 0048-9697

Journal article

Batool I, Qadir A, Levermore JM, Kelly FJet al., 2021, Dynamics of airborne microplastics, appraisal and distributional behaviour in atmosphere; a review, SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, Vol: 806, ISSN: 0048-9697

Journal article

Lai A, Lee M, Carter E, Chan Q, Elliott P, Ezzati M, Yan L, Wu Y, Yang X, Zhao L, Baumgartner J, Schauer Jet al., 2021, A chemical investigation of household solid fuel use and outdoor air pollution contributions to personal PM2.5 exposures, Environmental Science and Technology (Washington), Vol: 55, Pages: 15969-15979, ISSN: 0013-936X

In communities with household solid fuel use, transitioning to clean stoves/fuels often results in only moderate reductions in fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposures; the chemical composition of those exposures may help explain why. We collected personal exposure (men and women) and outdoor PM2.5 samples in villages in three Chinese provinces (Shanxi, Beijing, and Guangxi) and measured chemical components, including water-soluble organic carbon (WSOC), ions, elements, and organic tracers. Source contributions from chemical mass balance modeling (biomass burning, coal combustion, vehicles, dust, and secondary inorganic aerosol) were similar between outdoor and personal PM2.5 samples. Principal component analysis of organic and inorganic components identified analogous sources, including a regional ambient source. Chemical components of PM2.5 exposures did not differ significantly by gender. Participants using coal had higher personal/outdoor (P/O) ratios of coal combustion tracers (picene, sulfate, As, and Pb) than those not using coal, but no such trend was observed for biomass burning tracers (levoglucosan, K+, WSOC). Picene and most levoglucosan P/O ratios exceeded 1 even among participants not using coal and biomass, respectively, indicating substantial indirect exposure to solid fuel emissions from other homes. Contributions of community-level emissions to exposures suggest that meaningful exposure reductions will likely require extensive fuel use changes within communities.

Journal article

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