Imperial College London

ProfessorJenniferQuint

Faculty of MedicineNational Heart & Lung Institute

Professor of Respiratory Epidemiology
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 8821j.quint

 
 
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Location

 

.922Building E - Sir Michael UrenWhite City Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Publication Type
Year
to

519 results found

Graul E, Stone P, Massen G, Hatam S, Adamson A, Denaxas S, Peters N, Quint Jet al., 2023, Determining prescriptions in electronic healthcare record data: methods for development of standardized, reproducible drug codelists, JAMIA Open, Vol: 6, Pages: 1-11, ISSN: 2574-2531

Objective:To develop a standardizable, reproducible method for creating drug codelists that incorporates clinical expertise and is adaptable to other studies and databases. Materials and Methods: We developed methods to generate drug codelists and tested this using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum database. accounting for missing data in the database. We generated codelists for 1) cardiovascular disease and 2) inhaled Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) therapies, applying them to a sample cohort of 335,931 COPD patients. We compared comprehensively searching on all search variables (A) to B) chemical and C) ontological information only.Results: In Search A we determined 165,150 patients prescribed cardiovascular drugs(49.2% of cohort), and 317,963 prescribed COPD inhalers (94.7% of cohort). Considering output per value set, Search C missed substantial prescriptions, including vasodilator anti-hypertensives (A and B:19,696 prescriptions; C:1,145) and SAMA inhalers (A and B:35,310; C:564).Discussion: We recommend the full methods (A) for comprehensiveness. There are special considerations when generating adaptable and generalizable drug codelists, including fluctuating status, cohort-specific drug indications, underlying hierarchical ontology, and statistical analyses. Conclusions: Methods must have end-to-end clinical input, and be standardizable, reproducible, and understandable to all researchers across data contexts.

Journal article

Vauterin D, Van Vaerenbergh F, Vanoverschelde A, Quint JK, Verhamme K, Lahousse Let al., 2023, Methods to assess COPD medications adherence in healthcare databases: a systematic review, European Respiratory Review, Vol: 32, Pages: 230103-230103, ISSN: 0905-9180

<jats:sec><jats:title>Background:</jats:title><jats:p>The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease 2023 report recommends medication adherence assessment in COPD as an action item. Healthcare databases provide opportunities for objective assessments; however, multiple methods exist. We aimed to systematically review the literature to describe existing methods to assess adherence in COPD in healthcare databases and to evaluate the reporting of influencing variables.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Method:</jats:title><jats:p>We searched MEDLINE, Web of Science and Embase for peer-reviewed articles evaluating adherence to COPD medication in electronic databases, written in English, published up to 11 October 2022 (PROSPERO identifier CRD42022363449). Two reviewers independently conducted screening for inclusion and performed data extraction. Methods to assess initiation (dispensing of medication after prescribing), implementation (extent of use over a specific time period) and/or persistence (time from initiation to discontinuation) were listed descriptively. Each included study was evaluated for reporting variables with an impact on adherence assessment: inpatient stays, drug substitution, dose switching and early refills.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results:</jats:title><jats:p>160 studies were included, of which four assessed initiation, 135 implementation and 45 persistence. Overall, one method was used to measure initiation, 43 methods for implementation and seven methods for persistence. Most of the included implementation studies reported medication possession ratio, proportion of days covered and/or an alteration of these methods. Only 11% of the included studies mentioned the potential impact of the evaluated variables.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusion:</jats:title><jats:p>Va

Journal article

Kelly JD, Curteis T, Rawal A, Murton M, Clark LJ, Jafry Z, Shah-Gupta R, Berry M, Espinueva A, Chen L, Abdelghany M, Sweeney DA, Quint JKet al., 2023, SARS-CoV-2 post-acute sequelae in previously hospitalised patients: systematic literature review and meta-analysis., Eur Respir Rev, Vol: 32

BACKGROUND: Many individuals hospitalised with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection experience post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), sometimes referred to as "long COVID". Our objective was to conduct a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to identify PASC-associated symptoms in previously hospitalised patients and determine the frequency and temporal nature of PASC. METHODS: Searches of MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library (2019-2021), World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform and reference lists were performed from November to December 2021. Articles were assessed by two reviewers against eligibility criteria and a risk of bias tool. Symptom data were synthesised by random effects meta-analyses. RESULTS: Of 6942 records, 52 studies with at least 100 patients were analysed; ∼70% were Europe-based studies. Most data were from the first wave of the pandemic. PASC symptoms were analysed from 28 days after hospital discharge. At 1-4 months post-acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, the most frequent individual symptoms were fatigue (29.3% (95% CI 20.1-40.6%)) and dyspnoea (19.6% (95% CI 12.8-28.7%)). Many patients experienced at least one symptom at 4-8 months (73.1% (95% CI 44.2-90.3%)) and 8-12 months (75.0% (95% CI 56.4-87.4%)). CONCLUSIONS: A wide spectrum of persistent PASC-associated symptoms were reported over the 1-year follow-up period in a significant proportion of participants. Further research is needed to better define PASC duration and determine whether factors such as disease severity, vaccination and treatments have an impact on PASC.

Journal article

Kallis C, Morgan A, Fleming L, Quint Jet al., 2023, Prevalence of poorly controlled asthma and factors associated with specialist referral in those with poorly controlled asthma in a paediatric asthma population, Journal of Asthma and Allergy, ISSN: 1178-6965

Journal article

Kallis C, Calvo R, Schuller B, Quint Jet al., 2023, Development of an asthma exacerbation risk prediction model for conversational use by adults in England, Pragmatic and Observational Research, ISSN: 1179-7266

Journal article

Barnett JL, Maher TM, Quint JK, Adamson A, Wu Z, Smith DJF, Rawal B, Nair A, Walsh SL, Desai SR, George PM, Kokosi M, Jenkins G, Kouranos V, Renzoni EA, Rice A, Nicholson AG, Chua F, Wells AU, Molyneaux PL, Devaraj Aet al., 2023, Combination of Bronchoalveolar Lavage and CT Differentiates Progressive and Non-Progressive Fibrotic Lung Diseases., Am J Respir Crit Care Med

RATIONALE: Identifying patients with pulmonary fibrosis (PF) at risk of progression can guide management. We explore the utility of combining baseline bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) and CT in differentiating progressive and non-progressive PF. METHODS: The derivation cohort consisted of incident cases of PF, for whom BAL was performed as part of diagnostic work-up. A validation cohort were prospectively recruited with identical inclusion criteria. Baseline thoracic CTs were scored for fibrosis extent and UIP pattern. BAL lymphocyte proportion was recorded. Annualized forced vital capacity decline >10% or death within one year defined disease progression. Multivariable logistic regression identified determinants of outcome. Optimum binary thresholds (maximal Wilcoxon rank statistic) at which CT fibrosis extent and BAL lymphocyte proportion could distinguish disease progression were identified. RESULTS: BAL lymphocyte proportion, UIP pattern and fibrosis extent were significantly and independently associated with disease progression in the derivation cohort (n=240 individuals). Binary thresholds for raised BAL lymphocyte proportion and extensive fibrosis were identified as 25% and 20% respectively. Raised BAL lymphocyte proportion was rare in patients with a UIP pattern (8/135[5.9%]) or with extensive fibrosis (7/144[4.9%]). In the validation cohort (n=290 subjects), a raised BAL lymphocyte proportion was associated with a significantly lower probability of disease progression in patients with non-extensive fibrosis or a non-UIP pattern. CONCLUSIONS: BAL lymphocytosis is rare in patients with extensive fibrosis or a UIP pattern on CT. In patients without a UIP pattern or with limited fibrosis, a BAL lymphocyte proportion of ≥ 25% was associated with a lower likelihood of progression.

Journal article

Zhang X, Quint J, Zhang X, 2023, Online survey to investigate asthma medication prescription and adherence from the perspective of patients and healthcare practitioners in England, Journal of Asthma and Allergy, ISSN: 1178-6965

Journal article

Meme H, Amukoye E, Bowyer C, Chakaya J, Dobson R, Fuld J, Gray CM, Kiplimo R, Lesosky M, Mortimer K, Ndombi A, Obasi A, Orina F, Quint JK, Semple S, West SE, Zurba L, Devereux Get al., 2023, Preterm birth, birth weight, infant weight gain and their associations with childhood asthma and spirometry: a cross-sectional observational study in Nairobi, Kenya., BMJ Open Respir Res, Vol: 10

BACKGROUND: In sub-Saharan Africa, the origins of asthma and high prevalence of abnormal lung function remain unclear. In high-income countries (HICs), associations between birth measurements and childhood asthma and lung function highlight the importance of antenatal and early life factors in the aetiology of asthma and abnormal lung function in children. We present here the first study in sub-Saharan Africa to relate birth characteristics to both childhood respiratory symptoms and lung function. METHODS: Children attending schools in two socioeconomically contrasting but geographically close areas of Nairobi, Kenya, were recruited to a cross-sectional study of childhood asthma and lung function. Questionnaires quantified respiratory symptoms and preterm birth; lung function was measured by spirometry; and parents were invited to bring the child's immunisation booklet containing records of birth weight and serial weights in the first year. RESULTS: 2373 children participated, 52% girls, median age (IQR), 10 years (8-13). Spirometry data were available for 1622. Child immunisation booklets were available for 500 and birth weight and infant weight gain data were available for 323 and 494 children, respectively. In multivariable analyses, preterm birth was associated with the childhood symptoms 'wheeze in the last 12 months'; OR 1.64, (95% CI 1.03 to 2.62), p=0.038; and 'trouble breathing' 3.18 (95% CI 2.27 to 4.45), p<0.001. Birth weight (kg) was associated with forced expiratory volume in 1 s z-score, regression coefficient (β) 0.30 (0.08, 0.52), p=0.008, FVC z-score 0.29 (95% CI 0.08 to 0.51); p=0.008 and restricted spirometry, OR 0.11 (95% CI 0.02 to 0.78), p=0.027. CONCLUSION: These associations are in keeping with those in HICs and highlight antenatal factors in the aetiology of asthma and lung function abnormalities in sub-Saharan Africa.

Journal article

Attar-Zadeh D, Capstick T, Leese D, Arnetorp S, Rapsomaniki E, Da Costa KP, Maslova E, Xu Y, Gibson D, Quint JKet al., 2023, Healthcare costs associated with short-acting β2-agonists in asthma: observational UK SABINA study., BJGP Open, Vol: 7

BACKGROUND: Poor asthma control is associated with high short-acting β2-agonist (SABA) use. AIM: To assess asthma-related healthcare resource utilisation (HCRU) and medication costs associated with high versus low SABA prescriptions in the UK. DESIGN & SETTING: Analysis of SABINA I (SABA use IN Asthma I), a retrospective longitudinal study using UK electronic health records (Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD 2008-2019 and Hospital Episode Statistics database). METHOD: Eligible patients were ≥12 years old with SABA prescriptions in the past year. SABA prescriptions (number of canisters per year) were defined as high (≥3) or low (1-2). Association of SABA prescriptions with HCRU was assessed by negative binominal model adjusted for covariates. The UK unit costs from the NHS were applied to estimate total healthcare costs (2020). Medication costs were based on the annual average number of canisters per year per patient. RESULTS: Overall, 186 061 patients with SABA prescriptions were included, of whom 51% were prescribed high SABA. Total annual average costs (HCRU and medication) were 52% higher in the high SABA group versus the low SABA group (£2 256 091 per 1000 patients/year versus £1 480 640 per 1000 patients/year). Medication costs accounted for the majority of asthma-related costs. Across both groups, most HCRU costs were for non-exacerbation-related primary care or hospital outpatient visits. The annual average HCRU cost difference for high SABA versus low SABA was the greatest for hospitalisations (+230%; £15 521 per 1000 patients/year versus £4697 per 1000 patients/year) and exacerbation-related primary care visits (+162%; £18 770 per 1000 patients/year versus £7160 per 1000 patients/year). Asthma-related HCRU extrapolated to the broader UK asthma population was £108.5 million per year higher with high SABA versus low SABA. CONCLUSION: High SABA versus low SABA prescriptions are associated with hig

Journal article

Taquet M, Skorniewska Z, Hampshire A, Chalmers JD, Ho L-P, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Elneima O, McAuley HJC, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Greening NJ, Mansoori P, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Lone NI, Quint J, Sattar N, Brightling CE, Wain LV, Evans RE, Geddes JR, Harrison PJ, PHOSP-COVID Study Collaborative Groupet al., 2023, Acute blood biomarker profiles predict cognitive deficits 6 and 12 months after COVID-19 hospitalization., Nat Med

Post-COVID cognitive deficits, including 'brain fog', are clinically complex, with both objective and subjective components. They are common and debilitating, and can affect the ability to work, yet their biological underpinnings remain unknown. In this prospective cohort study of 1,837 adults hospitalized with COVID-19, we identified two distinct biomarker profiles measured during the acute admission, which predict cognitive outcomes 6 and 12 months after COVID-19. A first profile links elevated fibrinogen relative to C-reactive protein with both objective and subjective cognitive deficits. A second profile links elevated D-dimer relative to C-reactive protein with subjective cognitive deficits and occupational impact. This second profile was mediated by fatigue and shortness of breath. Neither profile was significantly mediated by depression or anxiety. Results were robust across secondary analyses. They were replicated, and their specificity to COVID-19 tested, in a large-scale electronic health records dataset. These findings provide insights into the heterogeneous biology of post-COVID cognitive deficits.

Journal article

Lenoir A, Whittaker H, Gayle A, Jarvis D, Quint Jet al., 2023, Mortality in non-exacerbating COPD: a longitudinal analysis of UK primary care data, Thorax, Vol: 78, Pages: 904-911, ISSN: 0040-6376

Introduction: Non-exacerbating patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are a less studied phenotype. We investigated clinical characteristics, mortality rates and causes of death among non-exacerbating compared with exacerbating patients with COPD.Methods: We used data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, Hospital Episode Statistics and Office for National Statistics between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2018. Ever smokers with a COPD diagnosis with minimum 3 years of baseline information were included. We compared overall using Cox regression and cause-specific mortality rates using competing risk analysis, adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, smoking status, body mass index, GOLD stage and comorbidities. Causes of death were identified using International Classification of Diseases-10 codes.Results: Among 67 516 patients, 17.3% did not exacerbate during the 3-year baseline period. Mean follow-up was 4 years. Non-exacerbators were more likely to be male (63.3% vs 52.4%, p<0.001) and less often had a history of asthma (33.9% vs 43.6%, p<0.001) or FEV1<50% predicted (23.7 vs 31.8%) compared with exacerbators. Adjusted HR for overall mortality in non-exacerbators compared with exacerbators was 0.62 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.70) in the first year of follow-up and 0.87 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.91) thereafter. Non-exacerbating patients with COPD died less of respiratory causes than exacerbators (29.2% vs 40.3%) and more of malignancies (29.4% vs 23.4%) and cardiovascular diseases (26.2% vs 22.9%). HRs for malignant and circulatory causes of death were increased after the first year of follow-up.Discussion: In this primary care cohort, non-exacerbators showed distinct clinical characteristics and lower mortality rates. Non-exacerbators were equally likely to die of respiratory, malignant or cardiovascular diseases.

Journal article

Jackson C, Stewart ID, Plekhanova T, Cunningham PS, Hazel AL, Al-Sheklly B, Aul R, Bolton CE, Chalder T, Chalmers JD, Chaudhuri N, Docherty AB, Donaldson G, Edwardson CL, Elneima O, Greening NJ, Hanley NA, Harris VC, Harrison EM, Ho L-P, Houchen-Wolloff L, Howard LS, Jolley CJ, Jones MG, Leavy OC, Lewis KE, Lone NI, Marks M, McAuley HJC, McNarry MA, Patel BV, Piper-Hanley K, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Richardson M, Rivera-Ortega P, Rowland-Jones SL, Rowlands AV, Saunders RM, Scott JT, Sereno M, Shah AM, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Stanel SC, Thorpe M, Wootton DG, Yates T, Gisli Jenkins R, Singh SJ, Man WD-C, Brightling CE, Wain LV, Porter JC, Thompson AAR, Horsley A, Molyneaux PL, Evans RA, Jones SE, Rutter MK, Blaikley JF, PHOSP-COVID Study Collaborative Groupet al., 2023, Effects of sleep disturbance on dyspnoea and impaired lung function following hospital admission due to COVID-19 in the UK: a prospective multicentre cohort study, The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, Vol: 11, Pages: 673-684, ISSN: 2213-2600

BACKGROUND: Sleep disturbance is common following hospital admission both for COVID-19 and other causes. The clinical associations of this for recovery after hospital admission are poorly understood despite sleep disturbance contributing to morbidity in other scenarios. We aimed to investigate the prevalence and nature of sleep disturbance after discharge following hospital admission for COVID-19 and to assess whether this was associated with dyspnoea. METHODS: CircCOVID was a prospective multicentre cohort substudy designed to investigate the effects of circadian disruption and sleep disturbance on recovery after COVID-19 in a cohort of participants aged 18 years or older, admitted to hospital for COVID-19 in the UK, and discharged between March, 2020, and October, 2021. Participants were recruited from the Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID). Follow-up data were collected at two timepoints: an early time point 2-7 months after hospital discharge and a later time point 10-14 months after hospital discharge. Sleep quality was assessed subjectively using the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index questionnaire and a numerical rating scale. Sleep quality was also assessed with an accelerometer worn on the wrist (actigraphy) for 14 days. Participants were also clinically phenotyped, including assessment of symptoms (ie, anxiety [Generalised Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale questionnaire], muscle function [SARC-F questionnaire], dyspnoea [Dyspnoea-12 questionnaire] and measurement of lung function), at the early timepoint after discharge. Actigraphy results were also compared to a matched UK Biobank cohort (non-hospitalised individuals and recently hospitalised individuals). Multivariable linear regression was used to define associations of sleep disturbance with the primary outcome of breathlessness and the other clinical symptoms. PHOSP-COVID is registered on the ISRCTN Registry (ISRCTN10980107). FINDINGS: 2320 of 2468 participants in the PHOSP-COVID study attended

Journal article

Zhang X, Buttery S, Quint J, 2023, Patient experiences of communication with healthcare professionals to support better shared decision making on their healthcare management around chronic respiratory diseases, Healthcare, Vol: 11, Pages: 1-13, ISSN: 2227-9032

Background: Communication is an important clinical tool for the prevention and control of diseases, to advise and inform patients and the public, providing them with essential knowledge regarding healthcare and disease management. This study explored the experience of communication between healthcare professionals (HCPs) and people with long-term lung conditions, from the patient perspective. Methods: This qualitative study analyzed the experience of people with chronic lung disease, recruited via Asthma & Lung UK (A&LUK) and COPD research databases. A&LUK invited people who had expressed a desire to be involved in research associated with their condition via their Expert Patient Panel and associated patients’ groups. Two focus group interviews (12 participants) and one individual interview (1 participant) were conducted. Thematic analysis was used for data analysis. Results: Two main themes were identified and we named them ‘involving communication’ and ‘communication needs to be improved. ‘They included seven subthemes: community-led support increased the patients’ social interaction with peers; allied-HCP-led support increased patients’ satisfaction; disliking being repeatedly asked the same basic information; feeling communication was unengaging, lacking personal specifics and the use of medical terminology and jargon. Conclusions: The study has identified what most matters in the process of communication with HCPs in people with long-term respiratory diseases of their healthcare management. The findings of the study can be used to improve the patient–healthcare professional relationship and facilitate a better communication flow in long-term healthcare management.

Journal article

Kallis C, Maslova E, Morgan A, Sinha I, Roberts G, van der Valk R, Quint J, Tran Tet al., 2023, Recent trends in asthma diagnosis, pre-school wheeze diagnosis, and asthma exacerbations in English children and adolescents: A SABINA Jr study, Thorax, ISSN: 0040-6376

Background: Asthma-related burden remains poorly characterised in children in the UnitedKingdom (UK). We quantified recent trends in asthma prevalence and burden in a UKpopulation-based cohort (1‒17-year-olds).Methods: The Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum database (2008‒2018) was utilisedto assess annual asthma incidence and prevalence in 1‒17-year-olds and pre-school wheeze in1‒5-year-olds, stratified by gender and age. During the same period, annual asthmaexacerbation rates were assessed in those with either a diagnosis of pre-school wheeze orasthma.Results: Annual asthma incidence rates decreased by 51% from 1403.4 (95% confidenceinterval 1383.7‒1423.2) in 2008 to 688.0 (676.3‒699.9) per 105 person-years (PYs) in 2018,with the most pronounced decrease observed in 1‒5-year-olds (decreasing by 65%, from2556.9 [2509.8‒2604.7] to 892.3 [866.9‒918.3] per 105 PYs). The corresponding decreasesfor the 6‒11- and 12‒17-year-olds were 36% (1139.9 [1110.6‒1169.7] to 739.9[720.5‒759.8]) and 20% (572.3 [550.4‒594.9] to 459.5 [442.9‒476.4]) per 105 PYs,respectively. The incidence of pre-school wheeze decreased over time and was slightly morepronounced in the 1‒3-year-olds than in the 4-year-olds. Prevalence of asthma and pre-schoolwheeze also decreased over time, from 18.0% overall in 2008 to 10.2% in 2018 for asthma.Exacerbation rates increased over time from 1.33 (1.31‒1.35) per 10 PYs in 2008 to 1.81(1.78‒1.83) per 10 PYs in 2018.Conclusion: Paediatric asthma incidence decreased in the UK since 2008, particularly in 1–5-year-olds; this was accompanied by a decline in asthma prevalence. Pre-school wheezeincidence also decreased in this age group. However, exacerbation rates have beenincreasing.

Journal article

Dawson C, Clunie G, Evison F, Duncan S, Whitney J, Houchen-Wolloff L, Bolton CE, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Omer E, McAuley H, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Greening NJ, Nolan CM, Wootton DG, Daynes E, Donaldson G, Sargent J, Scott J, Pimm J, Bishop L, McNarry M, Hart N, Evans RA, Singh S, Yates T, Chalder T, Man W, Harrison E, Docherty A, Lone NI, Quint JK, Chalmers J, Ho L-P, Horsley AR, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Wain LV, Brightling C, PHOSP-COVID collaborative Group, Sharma N, Coffey M, Kulkarni A, Wallace Set al., 2023, Prevalence of swallow, communication, voice and cognitive compromise following hospitalisation for COVID-19: the PHOSP-COVID analysis, BMJ Open Respiratory Research, Vol: 10, ISSN: 2052-4439

Objective: Identify prevalence of self-reported swallow, communication, voice and cognitive compromise following hospitalisation for COVID-19.Design: Multicentre prospective observational cohort study using questionnaire data at visit 1 (2–7 months post discharge) and visit 2 (10–14 months post discharge) from hospitalised patients in the UK. Lasso logistic regression analysis was undertaken to identify associations.Setting: 64 UK acute hospital Trusts.Participants: Adults aged >18 years, discharged from an admissions unit or ward at a UK hospital with COVID-19.Main outcome measures: Self-reported swallow, communication, voice and cognitive compromise.Results: Compromised swallowing post intensive care unit (post-ICU) admission was reported in 20% (188/955); 60% with swallow problems received invasive mechanical ventilation and were more likely to have undergone proning (p=0.039). Voice problems were reported in 34% (319/946) post-ICU admission who were more likely to have received invasive (p<0.001) or non-invasive ventilation (p=0.001) and to have been proned (p<0.001). Communication compromise was reported in 23% (527/2275) univariable analysis identified associations with younger age (p<0.001), female sex (p<0.001), social deprivation (p<0.001) and being a healthcare worker (p=0.010). Cognitive issues were reported by 70% (1598/2275), consistent at both visits, at visit 1 respondents were more likely to have higher baseline comorbidities and at visit 2 were associated with greater social deprivation (p<0.001).Conclusion: Swallow, communication, voice and cognitive problems were prevalent post hospitalisation for COVID-19, alongside whole system compromise including reduced mobility and overall health scores. Research and testing of rehabilitation interventions are required at pace to explore these issues.

Journal article

Echevarria C, Steer J, Prasad A, Quint JK, Bourke SCet al., 2023, Admission blood eosinophil count, inpatient death and death at 1 year in exacerbating patients with COPD., Thorax

BACKGROUND: Blood eosinophil counts have been studied in patients with stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and are a useful biomarker to guide inhaled corticosteroid use. Less is known about eosinophil counts during severe exacerbation. METHODS: In this retrospective study, 2645 patients admitted consecutively with COPD exacerbation across six UK hospitals were included in the study, and the clinical diagnosis was confirmed by a respiratory specialist. The relationship between admission eosinophil count, inpatient death and 1-year death was assessed. In a backward elimination, Poisson regression analysis using the log-link function with robust estimates, patients' markers of acute illness and stable-state characteristics were assessed in terms of their association with eosinopenia. RESULTS: 1369 of 2645 (52%) patients had eosinopenia at admission. Those with eosinopenia had a 2.5-fold increased risk of inpatient death compared with those without eosinopenia (12.1% vs 4.9%, RR=2.50, 95% CI 1.88 to 3.31, p<0.001). The same mortality risk with eosinopenia was seen among the subgroup with pneumonic exacerbation (n=788, 21.3% vs 8.5%, RR=2.5, 95% CI 1.67 to 2.24, p<0.001). In a regression analysis, eosinopenia was significantly associated with: older age and male sex; a higher pulse rate, temperature, neutrophil count, urea and C reactive protein level; a higher proportion of patients with chest X-ray consolidation and a reduced Glasgow Coma Score; and lower systolic and diastolic blood pressure measurements and lower oxygen saturation, albumin, platelet and previous admission counts. DISCUSSION: During severe COPD exacerbation, eosinopenia is common and associated with inpatient death and several markers of acute illness. Clinicians should be cautious about using eosinophil results obtained during severe exacerbation to guide treatment decisions regarding inhaled corticosteroid use.

Journal article

Quint JK, Ariel A, Barnes PJ, 2023, Rational use of inhaled corticosteroids for the treatment of COPD., NPJ Prim Care Respir Med, Vol: 33

Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) are the mainstay of treatment for asthma, but their role in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is debated. Recent randomised controlled trials (RCTs) conducted in patients with COPD and frequent or severe exacerbations demonstrated a significant reduction (~25%) in exacerbations with ICS in combination with dual bronchodilator therapy (triple therapy). However, the suggestion of a mortality benefit associated with ICS in these trials has since been rejected by the European Medicines Agency and US Food and Drug Administration. Observational evidence from routine clinical practice demonstrates that dual bronchodilation is associated with better clinical outcomes than triple therapy in a broad population of patients with COPD and infrequent exacerbations. This reinforces guideline recommendations that ICS-containing maintenance therapy should be reserved for patients with frequent or severe exacerbations and high blood eosinophils (~10% of the COPD population), or those with concomitant asthma. However, data from routine clinical practice indicate ICS overuse, with up to 50-80% of patients prescribed ICS. Prescription of ICS in patients not fulfilling guideline criteria puts patients at unnecessary risk of pneumonia and other long-term adverse events and also has cost implications, without any clear benefit in disease control. In this article, we review the benefits and risks of ICS use in COPD, drawing on evidence from RCTs and observational studies conducted in primary care. We also provide a practical guide to prescribing ICS, based on the latest global treatment guidelines, to help primary care providers identify patients for whom the benefits of ICS outweigh the risks.

Journal article

Stone P, Osen M, Ellis A, Coaker R, Quint Jet al., 2023, Prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in England from 2000 to 2019, The International Journal of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, Vol: 2023, Pages: 1565-1574, ISSN: 1176-9106

BackgroundThere is considerable variation in reported chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) prevalence internationally, partly due to differing definitions in use. Accurate estimates of disease prevalence are important for allocation of healthcare resources, yet UK estimates of COPD prevalence have not been updated for a decade. We calculated yearly COPD prevalence in England between 2000 and 2019 using different definitions of COPD.MethodsWe used routinely collected primary care electronic healthcare record (EHR) data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum database linked with secondary care data from the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) Admitted Patient Care (APC) database. Mid-year point prevalence was calculated yearly from 2000 to 2019 in English adults aged ≥40 years using 5 definitions: (i) validated COPD, (ii) Quality and Outcomes Framework (QOF) COPD, (iii) COPD symptoms, inhaler prescription, and no asthma diagnosis, (iv) hospitalisation with COPD as any diagnosis, (v) hospitalisation with COPD as primary or secondary diagnosis. Prevalence was further stratified by gender, age group, and region.Results12,745,793 people were included over the 20-year period. Annual cohort sizes ranged from 4,373,538 in 2000 to 6,159,496 in 2019. Estimates of COPD prevalence increased every year from 2000 and the difference in estimated prevalence between the validated and QOF definitions has grown over time. In 2019, a COPD prevalence of 4.9% was found using validated events in either primary or secondary care (definition 1 or definition 5). Additionally including potentially undiagnosed cases (definition 3) in the COPD definition produced an increased prevalence of 6.7%.ConclusionCommon definitions of COPD (e.g., QOF codes), may underestimate the true prevalence. The extent of this underestimate has increased over time and could lead to under-allocation of resources where need is estimated based on these definitions. Standardisation of COPD c

Journal article

Whittaker H, Nordon C, Rubino A, Morris T, Xu Y, De Nigris E, Mullerova H, Quint Jet al., 2023, Frequency and severity of respiratory infections prior to COPD diagnosis and risk of subsequent post-diagnosis COPD exacerbations and mortality: EXACOS-UK health care data study, Thorax, Vol: 78, Pages: 760-766, ISSN: 0040-6376

ObjectiveLittle is known about how lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) before chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are associated with future exacerbations and mortality. We investigated this association in COPD patients in England. MethodsClinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum, Hospital Episode Statistics, and Office of National Statistics data were used. Start of follow-up was patient’s first ever COPD diagnosis date and a 1-year baseline period prior to start of follow-up was used to find mild LRTIs (GP events/no antibiotics), moderate LRTIs (GP events +antibiotics), and severe LRTIs (hospitalised). Patients were categorised as having: none, 1 mild only, 2+ mild only, 1 moderate, 2+ moderate, and 1+ severe. Negative binomial regression modelled the association between baseline LRTIs and subsequent COPD exacerbations and Cox regression was used to investigate mortality. ResultsIn 215,234 COPD patients, increasing frequency and severity of mild and moderate LRTIs were associated with increased rates of subsequent exacerbations compared to no recorded LRTIs (1 mild adjusted IRR 1.16, 95%CI 1.14-1.18, 2+ mild IRR 1.51, 95%CI 1.46-1.55, 1 moderate IRR 1.81, 95%CI 1.78-1.85, 2+ moderate IRR 2.55, 95%CI 2.48-2.63). Patients with 1+ severe LRTI (vs. no baseline LRTIs) also showed an increased rate of future exacerbations (adjusted IRR 1.75, 95%CI, 1.70-1.80). This pattern of association was similar for risk of all-cause and COPD-related mortality however, patients with 1+ severe LRTIs had the highest risk of all-cause and COPD mortality. ConclusionIncreasing frequency and severity of LRTIs prior to COPD diagnosis were associated with increasing rates of subsequent exacerbations, and increasing risk all-cause and COPD-related mortality.

Journal article

Morgan A, Shah R, George P, Quint Jet al., 2023, Validation of the recording of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in routinely collected electronic healthcare records in England, BMC Pulmonary Medicine, Vol: 23, Pages: 1-12, ISSN: 1471-2466

BackgroundRoutinely-collected healthcare data provide a valuable resource for epidemiological research. Validation studies have shown that for most conditions, simple lists of clinical codes can reliably be used for case finding in primary care, however, studies exploring the robustness of this approach are lacking for diseases such as idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) which are largely managed in secondary care.MethodUsing the UK’s Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum dataset, which comprises patient-level primary care records linked to national hospital admissions and cause-of-death data, we compared the positive predictive value (PPV) of eight diagnostic algorithms. Algorithms were developed based on the literature and IPF diagnostic guidelines using combinations of clinical codes in primary and secondary care (SNOMED-CT or ICD-10) with/without additional information. The positive predictive value (PPV) was estimated for each algorithm using the death record as the gold standard. Utilization of the reviewed codes across the study period was observed to evaluate any change in coding practices over time.ResultA total of 17,559 individuals had a least one record indicative of IPF in one or more of our three linked datasets between 2008 and 2018. The PPV of case-finding algorithms based on clinical codes alone ranged from 64.4% (95%CI:63.3–65.3) for a “broad” codeset to 74.9% (95%CI:72.8–76.9) for a “narrow” codeset comprising highly-specific codes. Adding confirmatory evidence, such as a CT scan, increased the PPV of our narrow code-based algorithm to 79.2% (95%CI:76.4–81.8) but reduced the sensitivity to under 10%. Adding evidence of hospitalisation to the standalone code-based algorithms also improved PPV, (PPV = 78.4 vs. 64.4%; sensitivity = 53.5% vs. 38.1%). IPF coding practices changed over time, with the increased use of specific IPF codes.ConclusionHigh diagnostic validi

Journal article

Spencer S, Quint J, Morton B, 2023, Use of hospital services by patients with chronic conditions in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, ISSN: 0042-9686

Journal article

costello R, Quint J, 2023, Ethnic differences in the indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on clinical monitoring and hospitalisations for non-COVID conditions in England: a population-based, observational cohort study using the OpenSAFELY, EClinicalMedicine, ISSN: 2589-5370

Journal article

Loebinger MR, Quint JK, van der Laan R, Obradovic M, Chawla R, Kishore A, van Ingen Jet al., 2023, Risk Factors for Nontuberculous Mycobacterial Pulmonary Disease: A Systematic Literature Review and Meta-Analysis., Chest

BACKGROUND: Nontuberculous pulmonary disease (NTM-PD) is widely underdiagnosed, and certain patient groups, such as those with underlying respiratory diseases, are at increased risk of developing the disease. Understanding patients at risk is essential to allow for prompt testing and diagnosis and appropriate management to prevent disease progression. RESEARCH QUESTION: What are the risk factors for NTM-PD that should prompt a physician to consider NTM testing and diagnosis? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Electronic searches of PubMed and EMBASE were conducted in July 2021 for the period 2011-2021. Inclusion criteria were studies of patients with NTM-PD with associated risk factors. Data were extracted and assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Data analysis was conducted using the R-based "meta" package. Only studies that reported association outcomes for cases with NTM-PD compared with control subjects (healthy populations or subjects without NTM-PD) were considered for the meta-analysis. RESULTS: Of the 9,530 searched publications, 99 met the criteria for the study. Of these, 24 formally reported an association between possible risk factors and the presence of NTM-PD against a control population and were included in the meta-analysis. Comorbid respiratory disease was associated with a significant increase in the OR for NTM-PD (bronchiectasis [OR, 21.43; 95% CI, 5.90-77.82], history of TB [OR, 12.69; 95% CI, 2.39-67.26], interstitial lung disease [OR, 6.39; 95% CI, 2.65-15.37], COPD [OR, 6.63; 95% CI, 4.57-9.63], and asthma [OR, 4.15; 95% CI, 2.81-6.14]). Other factors noted to be associated with an increased risk of NTM-PD were the use of inhaled corticosteroids (OR 4.46; 95% CI, 2.13-9.35), solid tumors (OR, 4.66; 95% CI, 1.04-20.94) and the presence of pneumonia (OR, 5.54; 95% CI, 2.72-11.26). INTERPRETATION: The greatest risk for NTM-PD is conferred by comorbid respiratory diseases such as bronchiectasis. These

Journal article

Whittaker H, Quint J, Rothnie K, Whittaker Het al., 2023, Cause specific mortality in COPD sub-populations: a cohort study of 339 647 people in England, Thorax, Pages: 1-7, ISSN: 0040-6376

Background Identifying correlates of cause-specific mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) may aid the targeting of therapies to reduce mortality. We determined factors associated with causes of death in a primary care COPD population.Methods Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum was linked to Hospital Episode Statistics and death certificate data. People with COPD alive between 1 January 2010 and 1 January 2020 were included. Patient characteristics were defined before the start of follow-up: (a) frequency and severity of exacerbations; (b) emphysema or chronic bronchitis; (c) Global Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) groups A–D; and (d) airflow limitation. We used Cox Proportional Hazards regression and competing risks to investigate the association between patient characteristics and risk of all-cause, COPD and cardiovascular (CV) mortality.Results 339 647 people with COPD were included of which 97 882 died during follow-up (25.7% COPD related and 23.3% CV related). Airflow limitation, GOLD group, exacerbation frequency and severity, and COPD phenotype were associated with all-cause mortality. Exacerbations, both increased frequency and severity, were associated with COPD-related mortality (≥2 exacerbations vs none adjusted HR: 1.64, 1.57–1.71; 1 severe vs none adjusted HR: 2.17, 2.04–2.31, respectively). Patients in GOLD groups B–D had a higher risk of COPD and CV mortality compared with GOLD group A (GOLD group D vs group A, adjusted HR for COPD mortality: 4.57, 4.23–4.93 and adjusted HR for CV mortality: 1.53, 1.41–1.65). Increasing airflow limitation was also associated with both COPD and CV mortality (GOLD 4 vs 1, adjusted HR: 12.63, 11.82–13.51 and adjusted HR: 1.75, 1.60–1.91, respectively).Conclusion Poorer airflow limitation, worse functional status and exacerbations had substantial associations with risk of all-cause mortality. Differing results for CV and

Journal article

Shah R, 2023, Incidence and prevalence of interstitial lung diseases worldwide: a systematic literature review, BMJ Open Respiratory Research, Vol: 10, Pages: 1-11, ISSN: 2052-4439

Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a collective term representing a diverse group of pulmonary fibrotic and inflammatory conditions. Due to the diversity of ILD conditions, paucity of guidance and updates to diagnostic criteria over time, it has been challenging to precisely determine ILD incidence and prevalence. This systematic review provides a synthesis of published data at a global level and highlights gaps in the current knowledge base. Medline and Embase databases were searched systematically for studies reporting incidence and prevalence of various ILDs. Randomised controlled trials, case reports and conference abstracts were excluded. 80 studies were included, the most described subgroup was autoimmune-related ILD, and the most studied conditions were rheumatoid arthritis (RA)-associated ILD, systemic sclerosis associated (SSc) ILD and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). The prevalence of IPF was mostly established using healthcare datasets, whereas the prevalence of autoimmune ILD tended to be reported in smaller autoimmune cohorts. The prevalence of IPF ranged from 7 to 1650 per 100 000 persons. Prevalence of SSc ILD and RA ILD ranged from 26.1% to 88.1% and 0.6% to 63.7%, respectively. Significant heterogeneity was observed in the reported incidence of various ILD subtypes. This review demonstrates the challenges in establishing trends over time across regions and highlights a need to standardise ILD diagnostic criteria.PROSPERO registration number: CRD42020203035.

Journal article

Meme H, Amukoye E, Bowyer C, Chakaya J, Das D, Dobson R, Dragosits U, Fuld J, Gray C, Hahn M, Kiplimo R, Lesosky M, Loh MM, McKendree J, Mortimer K, Ndombi A, Netter L, Obasi A, Orina F, Pearson C, Price H, Quint JK, Semple S, Twigg M, Waelde C, Walnycki A, Warwick M, Wendler J, West SE, Wilson M, Zurba L, Devereux Get al., 2023, Asthma symptoms, spirometry and air pollution exposure in schoolchildren in an informal settlement and an affluent area of Nairobi, Kenya., Thorax

BACKGROUND: Although 1 billion people live in informal (slum) settlements, the consequences for respiratory health of living in these settlements remain largely unknown. This study investigated whether children living in an informal settlement in Nairobi, Kenya are at increased risk of asthma symptoms. METHODS: Children attending schools in Mukuru (an informal settlement in Nairobi) and a more affluent area (Buruburu) were compared. Questionnaires quantified respiratory symptoms and environmental exposures; spirometry was performed; personal exposure to particulate matter (PM2.5) was estimated. RESULTS: 2373 children participated, 1277 in Mukuru (median age, IQR 11, 9-13 years, 53% girls), and 1096 in Buruburu (10, 8-12 years, 52% girls). Mukuru schoolchildren were from less affluent homes, had greater exposure to pollution sources and PM2.5. When compared with Buruburu schoolchildren, Mukuru schoolchildren had a greater prevalence of symptoms, 'current wheeze' (9.5% vs 6.4%, p=0.007) and 'trouble breathing' (16.3% vs 12.6%, p=0.01), and these symptoms were more severe and problematic. Diagnosed asthma was more common in Buruburu (2.8% vs 1.2%, p=0.004). Spirometry did not differ between Mukuru and Buruburu. Regardless of community, significant adverse associations were observed with self-reported exposure to 'vapours, dusts, gases, fumes', mosquito coil burning, adult smoker(s) in the home, refuse burning near homes and residential proximity to roads. CONCLUSION: Children living in informal settlements are more likely to develop wheezing symptoms consistent with asthma that are more severe but less likely to be diagnosed as asthma. Self-reported but not objectively measured air pollution exposure was associated with increased risk of asthma symptoms.

Journal article

Halpin DMG, Dickens AP, Skinner D, Murray R, Singh M, Hickman K, Carter V, Couper A, Evans A, Pullen R, Menon S, Morris T, Muellerova H, Bafadhel M, Chalmers J, Devereux G, Gibson M, Hurst JR, Jones R, Kostikas K, Quint J, Singh D, van Melle M, Wilkinson T, Price Det al., 2023, Identification of key opportunities for optimising the management of high-risk COPD patients in the UK using the CONQUEST quality standards: an observational longitudinal study, The Lancet Regional Health - Europe, Vol: 29

Background: This study compared management of high-risk COPD patients in the UK to national and international management recommendations and quality standards, including the COllaboratioN on QUality improvement initiative for achieving Excellence in STandards of COPD care (CONQUEST). The primary comparison was in 2019, but trends from 2000 to 2019 were also examined. Methods: Patients identified in the Optimum Patient Care Research Database were categorised as newly diagnosed (≤12 months after diagnosis), already diagnosed, and potential COPD (smokers having exacerbation-like events). High-risk patients had a history of ≥2 moderate or ≥1 severe exacerbations in the previous 12 months. Findings: For diagnosed patients, the median time between diagnosis and first meeting the high-risk criteria was 617 days (Q1-Q3: 3246). The use of spirometry for diagnosis increased dramatically after 2004 before plateauing and falling in recent years. In 2019, 41% (95% CI 39–44%; n = 550/1343) of newly diagnosed patients had no record of spirometry in the previous year, and 45% (95% CI 43–48%; n = 352/783) had no record of a COPD medication review within 6 months of treatment initiation or change. In 2019, 39% (n = 6893/17,858) of already diagnosed patients had no consideration of exacerbation rates, 46% (95% CI 45–47%; n = 4942/10,725) were not offered or referred for pulmonary rehabilitation, and 41% (95% CI 40–42%; n = 3026/7361) had not had a COPD review within 6 weeks of respiratory hospitalization. Interpretation: Opportunities for early diagnosis of COPD patients at high risk of exacerbations are being missed. Newly and already diagnosed patients at high-risk are not being assessed or treated promptly. There is substantial scope to improve the assessment and treatment optimisation of these patients. Funding: This study is conducted by the Observational & Pragmatic Research International Ltd and was co-funded by Optimum Patient Care and Astr

Journal article

Massen GM, Allen RJ, Leavy OC, Selby NM, Aithal GP, Oliver N, Parfrey H, Wain LV, Jenkins G, Stewart I, Quint JK, DEMISTIFI consortiumet al., 2023, Classifying the unclassifiable – A Delphi study to reach consensus on the fibrotic nature of diseases, QJM: an international journal of medicine, Vol: 116, Pages: 429-435, ISSN: 1460-2393

BackgroundTraditionally, clinical research has focused on individual fibrotic diseases or fibrosis in a particular organ. However, it is possible for people to have multiple fibrotic diseases. While multi-organ fibrosis may suggest shared pathogenic mechanisms, yet there is no consensus on what constitutes a fibrotic disease and therefore fibrotic multimorbidity.AimA Delphi study was performed to reach consensus on which diseases may be described as fibrotic.MethodsParticipants were asked to rate a list of diseases, sub-grouped according to eight body regions, as ‘fibrotic manifestation always present’, ‘can develop fibrotic manifestations’, ‘associated with fibrotic manifestations’ or ‘not fibrotic nor associated’. Classifications of ‘fibrotic manifestation always present’ and ‘can develop fibrotic manifestations’ were merged and termed ‘fibrotic’. Clinical consensus was defined according to the interquartile range, having met a minimum number of responses. Clinical agreement was used for classification where diseases did not meet the minimum number of responses (required for consensus measure), were only classified if there was 100% consensus on disease classification.ResultsAfter consulting experts, searching the literature and coding dictionaries, a total of 323 non-overlapping diseases which might be considered fibrotic were identified; 92 clinical specialists responded to the first round of the survey. Over three survey rounds, 240 diseases were categorized as fibrotic via clinical consensus and 25 additional diseases through clinical agreement.ConclusionUsing a robust methodology, an extensive list of diseases was classified. The findings lay the foundations for studies estimating the burden of fibrotic multimorbidity, as well as investigating shared mechanisms and therapies.

Journal article

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