Imperial College London
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ProfessorJoeriRogelj

Faculty of Natural Sciences, Centre for Environmental Policy

Professor of Climate Science and Policy
 
 
 
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Contact

 

j.rogelj Website

 
 
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Location

 

304Weeks BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Riahi:2021:rs.3.rs-127847/v1,
author = {Riahi, K and Bertram, C and Huppmann, D and Rogelj, J and Bosetti, V and Cabardos, A-M and Deppermann, A and Drouet, L and Frank, S and Fricko, O and Fujimori, S and Harmsen, M and Hasegawa, T and Krey, V and Luderer, G and Paroussos, L and Schaeffer, R and Weitzel, M and Zwaan, BVD and Vrontisi, Z and Longa, FD and Després, J and Fosse, F and Fragkiadakis, K and Gusti, M and Humpenöder, F and Keramidas, K and Kishimoto, P and Kriegler, E and Meinshausen, M and Nogueira, LP and Oshiro, K and Popp, A and Rochedo, P and Unlu, G and Ruijven, BV and Takakura, J and Tavoni, M and Vuuren, DV and Zakeri, B},
doi = {rs.3.rs-127847/v1},
title = {Long-term economic benefits of stabilizing warming without overshoot – the ENGAGE model intercomparison},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-127847/v1},
year = {2021}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>        <jats:p>Global emissions scenarios play a critical role in the assessment of strategies to mitigate climate change and their related societal transformations. The current generation of scenarios, however, are criticized because they rely heavily on net negative CO2 emissions (NNCE) that result from allowing temperature limits to be temporarily exceeded. In this study we present a new set of emissions scenarios that exclude NNCE. We show that such scenarios require a more rapid near-term transformation with significant long-term gains for the economy (even without considering the benefits of avoided climate impacts). Scenarios that avoid temperature overshoot and NNCE are thus not only economically more attractive over the long term, they also involve lower climate risks. Our study further identifies possible alternative configurations of net-zero CO2 emissions systems and the distinct roles of different sectors and regions in order to balance emissions sources and sinks.</jats:p>
AU  - Riahi,K
AU  - Bertram,C
AU  - Huppmann,D
AU  - Rogelj,J
AU  - Bosetti,V
AU  - Cabardos,A-M
AU  - Deppermann,A
AU  - Drouet,L
AU  - Frank,S
AU  - Fricko,O
AU  - Fujimori,S
AU  - Harmsen,M
AU  - Hasegawa,T
AU  - Krey,V
AU  - Luderer,G
AU  - Paroussos,L
AU  - Schaeffer,R
AU  - Weitzel,M
AU  - Zwaan,BVD
AU  - Vrontisi,Z
AU  - Longa,FD
AU  - Després,J
AU  - Fosse,F
AU  - Fragkiadakis,K
AU  - Gusti,M
AU  - Humpenöder,F
AU  - Keramidas,K
AU  - Kishimoto,P
AU  - Kriegler,E
AU  - Meinshausen,M
AU  - Nogueira,LP
AU  - Oshiro,K
AU  - Popp,A
AU  - Rochedo,P
AU  - Unlu,G
AU  - Ruijven,BV
AU  - Takakura,J
AU  - Tavoni,M
AU  - Vuuren,DV
AU  - Zakeri,B
DO  - rs.3.rs-127847/v1
PY  - 2021///
TI  - Long-term economic benefits of stabilizing warming without overshoot – the ENGAGE model intercomparison
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-127847/v1
ER  -
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