I am a statistician and modeller working primarily on malaria. The main aim of the research is to better parameterise malaria transmission models, both in terms of the development of acquired immunity and also the impact of interventions in different settings. I am now a lecturer in the School of Mathematical Sciences at Queen Mary University of London. I previously held an MRC Methodology research fellowship at Imperial College.
I have programmed a flexible individual-based model of malaria transmission, which along with others in in the research group of Professor Azra Ghani, we have used to model the potential impact on transmission of all the principal current interventions in various different sub-Saharan African settings.
In collaboration with people at London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, I have worked on several other malaria projects. The main one is assessing the use of serological data as a measure of malaria transmission intensity: how to compare it to other measures such as parasite prevalence, and how to correctly incorporate uncertainty.
Other research interests include inference for stochastic epidemic models, for example during the H1N1 swine flu pandemic.
Griffin JT, 2016, Is a reproduction number of one a threshold for Plasmodium falciparum malaria elimination?, Malaria Journal, Vol:15
et al., 2016, Potential for reduction of burden and local elimination of malaria by reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission: a mathematical modelling study, Lancet Infectious Diseases, Vol:16, ISSN:1473-3099, Pages:465-472
Griffin JT, 2015, The Interaction between Seasonality and Pulsed Interventions against Malaria in Their Effects on the Reproduction Number, Plos Computational Biology, Vol:11, ISSN:1553-7358
Griffin JT, Ferguson NM, Ghani AC, 2014, Estimates of the changing age-burden of Plasmodium falciparum malaria disease in sub-Saharan Africa, Nature Communications, Vol:5, ISSN:2041-1723
et al., 2011, Joint estimation of the basic reproduction number and generation time parameters for infectious disease outbreaks, Biostatistics, Vol:12, ISSN:1465-4644, Pages:303-312
et al., 2010, Reducing Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in Africa: a model-based evaluation of intervention strategies., Plos Med, Vol:7, ISSN:1549-1676, Pages:1-27
et al., 2009, Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings, Science, Vol:324, ISSN:0036-8075, Pages:1557-1561
et al., 2006, The effect on treatment comparisons of different measurement frequencies in human immunodeficiency virus observational databases, American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol:163, ISSN:0002-9262, Pages:676-683