Imperial College London
Portrait Picture

DrJianHuang

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Honorary Research Associate
 
 
 
//

Contact

 

jian.huang Website

 
 
//

Location

 

155Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus

//

Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Wu:2020:10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100329,
author = {Wu, H-L and Huang, J and Zhang, CJP and He, Z and Ming, W-K},
doi = {10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100329},
journal = {EClinicalMedicine},
pages = {100329--100329},
title = {Facemask shortage and the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak: Reflections on public health measures.},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100329},
volume = {21},
year = {2020}
}
Download

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - Background: A novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak due to the severe respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) infection occurred in China in late December 2019. Facemask wearing with proper hand hygiene is considered an effective measure to prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission, but facemask wearing has become a social concern due to the global facemask shortage. China is the major facemask producer in the world, contributing to 50% of global production. However, a universal facemask wearing policy would put an enormous burden on the facemask supply. Methods: We performed a policy review concerning facemasks using government websites and mathematical modelling shortage analyses based on data obtained from the National Health Commission (NHC), the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and General Administration of Customs (GAC) of the People's Republic of China. Three scenarios with respect to wearing facemasks were considered: (1) a universal facemask wearing policy implementation in all regions of mainland China; (2) a universal facemask wearing policy implementation only in the epicentre (Hubei province, China); and (3) no implementation of a universal facemask wearing policy. Findings: Regardless of different universal facemask wearing policy scenarios, facemask shortage would occur but eventually end during our prediction period (from 20 Jan 2020 to 30 Jun 2020). The duration of the facemask shortage described in the scenarios of a country-wide universal facemask wearing policy, a universal facemask wearing policy in the epicentre, and no universal facemask wearing policy were 132, seven, and four days, respectively. During the prediction period, the largest daily facemask shortages were predicted to be 589·5, 49·3, and 37·5 million in each of the three scenarios, respectively. In any scenario, an N95 mask shortage was predicted to occur on 24 January 2020 with a
AU  - Wu,H-L
AU  - Huang,J
AU  - Zhang,CJP
AU  - He,Z
AU  - Ming,W-K
DO  - 10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100329
EP  - 100329
PY  - 2020///
SN  - 2589-5370
SP  - 100329
TI  - Facemask shortage and the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak: Reflections on public health measures.
T2  - EClinicalMedicine
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100329
UR  - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32292898
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/82588
VL  - 21
ER  -
Download