Imperial College London
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DrLeonidChindelevitch

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Lecturer in Infectious Disease Epidemiology
 
 
 
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Contact

 

l.chindelevitch Website

 
 
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Location

 

Sir Michael Uren HubWhite City Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Brauner:2021:10.1126/science.abd9338,
author = {Brauner, JM and Mindermann, S and Sharma, M and Johnston, D and Salvatier, J and Gaveniak, T and Stephenson, AB and Leech, G and Altman, G and Mikulik, V and Norman, AJ and Monrad, JT and Besiroglu, T and Ge, H and Hartwick, MA and Teh, YW and Chindelevitch, L and Gal, Y and Kulveit, J},
doi = {10.1126/science.abd9338},
journal = {Science},
title = {Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abd9338},
volume = {371},
year = {2021}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - Governments are attempting to control the COVID-19 pandemic with nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). However, the effectiveness of different NPIs at reducing transmission is poorly understood. We gathered chronological data on the implementation of NPIs for several European and non-European countries between January and the end of May 2020. We estimated the effectiveness of these NPIs, which range from limiting gathering sizes and closing businesses or educational institutions to stay-at-home orders. To do so, we used a Bayesian hierarchical model that links NPI implementation dates to national case and death counts and supported the results with extensive empirical validation. Closing all educational institutions, limiting gatherings to 10 people or less, and closing face-to-face businesses each reduced transmission considerably. The additional effect of stay-at-home orders was comparatively small.
AU  - Brauner,JM
AU  - Mindermann,S
AU  - Sharma,M
AU  - Johnston,D
AU  - Salvatier,J
AU  - Gaveniak,T
AU  - Stephenson,AB
AU  - Leech,G
AU  - Altman,G
AU  - Mikulik,V
AU  - Norman,AJ
AU  - Monrad,JT
AU  - Besiroglu,T
AU  - Ge,H
AU  - Hartwick,MA
AU  - Teh,YW
AU  - Chindelevitch,L
AU  - Gal,Y
AU  - Kulveit,J
DO  - 10.1126/science.abd9338
PY  - 2021///
SN  - 0036-8075
TI  - Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19
T2  - Science
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abd9338
UR  - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33323424
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/86864
VL  - 371
ER  -
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