Imperial College London
Alternate

DrMariachiaraDi Cesare

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Honorary Research Fellow
 
 
 
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Contact

 

m.di-cesare

 
 
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Location

 

524Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Carrillo:2020:10.1371/journal.pone.0240494,
author = {Carrillo, Larco R and Bennett, JE and Di, Cesare M and Gregg, EW and Bernabe-Ortiz, A},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0240494},
journal = {PLoS One},
title = {The contribution of specific non-communicable diseases to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goal 3.4 in Peru},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0240494},
volume = {15},
year = {2020}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - BackgroundNon-communicable diseases (NCDs) have received political attention and commitment, yet surveillance is needed to measure progress and set priorities. Building on global estimates suggesting that Peru is not on target to meet the Sustainable Development Goal 3.4, we estimated the contribution of various NCDs to the change in unconditional probability of dying from NCDs in 25 regions in Peru.MethodsUsing national death registries and census data, we estimated the unconditional probability of dying between ages 30 and 69 from any and from each of the following NCDs: cardiovascular, cancer, diabetes, chronic respiratory diseases and chronic kidney disease. We estimated the contribution of each NCD to the change in the unconditional probability of dying from any of these NCDs between 2006 and 2016.ResultsThe overall unconditional probability of dying improved for men (21.4%) and women (23.3%). Cancer accounted for 10.9% in men and 13.7% in women of the overall reduction; cardiovascular diseases also contributed substantially: 11.3% in men) and 9.8% in women. Consistently in men and women and across regions, diabetes moved in the opposite direction of the overall reduction in the unconditional probability of dying from any selected NCD. Diabetes contributed a rise in the unconditional probability of 3.6% in men and 2.1% in women.ConclusionsAlthough the unconditional probability of dying from any selected NCD has decreased, diabetes would prevent Peru from meeting international targets. Policies are needed to prevent diabetes and to strengthen healthcare to avoid diabetes-related complications and delay mortality.
AU  - Carrillo,Larco R
AU  - Bennett,JE
AU  - Di,Cesare M
AU  - Gregg,EW
AU  - Bernabe-Ortiz,A
DO  - 10.1371/journal.pone.0240494
PY  - 2020///
SN  - 1932-6203
TI  - The contribution of specific non-communicable diseases to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goal 3.4 in Peru
T2  - PLoS One
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0240494
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/84239
VL  - 15
ER  -
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