Imperial College London
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Prof Michael Fertleman

Faculty of Engineering, Department of Bioengineering

Professor of Practice
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 9046m.fertleman

 
 
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Location

 

6.24Sir Michael Uren HubWhite City Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Koizia:2021:10.1177/2151459320987702,
author = {Koizia, L and Dani, M and Brown, H and Lee, M and Reilly, P and Fertleman, M},
doi = {10.1177/2151459320987702},
journal = {Geriatric Orthopaedic Surgery and Rehabilitation},
pages = {1--6},
title = {Does the weather contribute to admissions of neck of femur fractures?},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2151459320987702},
volume = {12},
year = {2021}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - Background: The effects of weather on overall mortality are well documented. Anecdotally, icy conditions are perceived to result in more falls and admissions for neck of femur (NOF) fractures. The aim of this pilot study was to determine whether relationships could be extracted or at least not ruled out by analysing a small dataset, and so give impetus to a larger project.  Methods: Seven trauma units across North West London were identified and NOF fracture data extracted for five years. Visual inspection of the time series, consideration of the weather on specific days and correlation analysis were used to assess associations between fracture numbers and a variety of weather parameters (temperature, rainfall, wind and ice risk). Results: Overall, 10929 individuals with hip fractures were admitted over the five-year period.  The highest number of admissions in a day was 14. No clear association was found between a weather parameter and daily admissions. However, when accumulated to a weekly timescale, a negative relationship with maximum temperature was found. No seasonal cycle was detected.Conclusion: The lack of a daily relationship and presence of a weekly relationship points to a possible delayed response to weather or insufficient daily data to extract a signal. The inconclusive results also indicate a larger data sample is required in future studies. In addition, even in cold weather an urban environment may not create icy conditions, being ameliorated by the heat island effect and gritting.
AU  - Koizia,L
AU  - Dani,M
AU  - Brown,H
AU  - Lee,M
AU  - Reilly,P
AU  - Fertleman,M
DO  - 10.1177/2151459320987702
EP  - 6
PY  - 2021///
SN  - 2151-4585
SP  - 1
TI  - Does the weather contribute to admissions of neck of femur fractures?
T2  - Geriatric Orthopaedic Surgery and Rehabilitation
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2151459320987702
UR  - https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2151459320987702
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/86325
VL  - 12
ER  -
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