Imperial College London

Dr Marc Stettler

Faculty of EngineeringDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering

Senior Lecturer
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 2094m.stettler Website

 
 
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Location

 

614Skempton BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@inproceedings{Chen:2019:10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883831,
author = {Chen, T and Liu, YH and Li, L and Stettler, M and Ding, H and Zeng, X},
doi = {10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883831},
pages = {888--896},
title = {Scenario analysis of CO<inf>2</inf> emission peak in road transport of Chinese provinces: A case study of Guangdong},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883831},
year = {2019}
}

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - CPAPER
AB - © 2019 IEEE. Guangdong, a developed province of China, attaches great importance to CO2 emissions in transport these years, especially in road transport. To explore the way to achieve CO2 emission peak of road transport in such a typical province, multiple scenarios were designed, including a baseline scenario, four single mitigation scenarios, and three combined mitigation scenarios. The peaking regularity and scale of provincial CO2 emissions and mitigation potential until 2035 were quantitatively evaluated. The assessment results showed that CO2 emissions kept rapid growth without control and reached 315.4 Mt in 2035. The peak of CO2 emission by 2030 could not be addressed by single mitigation measures. But combination of four single mitigation scenarios could drive CO2 emissions to peak in 2030 at the level of 171.3 Mt. The peak appeared later at higher level of CO2 emissions compared with UK (30.5%) and Australian (45.6%). Therefore, the CO2 emissions from road transport in such a developed province should be constrained in the future. A strong policy combination to constrain provincial CO2 emissions is necessary for sharing the target of CO2 emission reduction in China.
AU - Chen,T
AU - Liu,YH
AU - Li,L
AU - Stettler,M
AU - Ding,H
AU - Zeng,X
DO - 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883831
EP - 896
PY - 2019///
SP - 888
TI - Scenario analysis of CO<inf>2</inf> emission peak in road transport of Chinese provinces: A case study of Guangdong
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883831
ER -