Imperial College London
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ProfessorMajidEzzati

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Chair in Global Environmental Health
 
 
 
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Contact

 

majid.ezzati Website

 
 
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Location

 

Sir Michael Uren HubWhite City Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Bennett:2023:10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100580,
author = {Bennett, J and Rashid, T and Zolfaghari, A and Doyle, Y and Suel, E and Pearson-Stuttard, J and Davies, B and Fecht, D and Muller, ES and Nathvani, RS and Sportiche, N and Daby, H and Johnson, E and Li, G and Flaxman, S and Toledano, M and Asaria, M and Ezzati, M},
doi = {10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100580},
journal = {The Lancet Regional Health Europe},
pages = {1--13},
title = {Changes in life expectancy and house prices in London from 2002 to 2019: Hyper-resolution spatiotemporal analysis of death registration and real estate data},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100580},
volume = {27},
year = {2023}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - Background:London has outperformed smaller towns and rural areas in terms of life expectancy increase. Our aim was to investigate life expectancy change at very-small-area level, and its relationship with house prices and their change.Methods:We performed a hyper-resolution spatiotemporal analysis from 2002 to 2019 for 4835 London Lower-layer Super Output Areas (LSOAs). We used population and death counts in a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate age- and sex-specific death rates for each LSOA, converted to life expectancy at birth using life table methods. We used data from the Land Registry via the real estate website Rightmove (www.rightmove.co.uk), with information on property size, type and land tenure in a hierarchical model to estimate house prices at LSOA level. We used linear regressions to summarise how much life expectancy changed in relation to the combination of house prices in 2002 and their change from 2002 to 2019. We calculated the correlation between change in price and change in sociodemographic characteristics of the resident population of LSOAs and population turnover.Findings:In 134 (2.8%) of London's LSOAs for women and 32 (0.7%) for men, life expectancy may have declined from 2002 to 2019, with a posterior probability of a decline >80% in 41 (0.8%, women) and 14 (0.3%, men) LSOAs. The life expectancy increase in other LSOAs ranged from <2 years in 537 (11.1%) LSOAs for women and 214 (4.4%) for men to >10 years in 220 (4.6%) for women and 211 (4.4%) for men. The 2.5th-97.5th-percentile life expectancy difference across LSOAs increased from 11.1 (10.7–11.5) years in 2002 to 19.1 (18.4–19.7) years for women in 2019, and from 11.6 (11.3–12.0) years to 17.2 (16.7–17.8) years for men. In the 20% (men) and 30% (women) of LSOAs where house prices had been lowest in 2002, mainly in east and outer west London, life expectancy increased only in proportion to the rise in house prices. In contrast, in the 30% (men) and
AU  - Bennett,J
AU  - Rashid,T
AU  - Zolfaghari,A
AU  - Doyle,Y
AU  - Suel,E
AU  - Pearson-Stuttard,J
AU  - Davies,B
AU  - Fecht,D
AU  - Muller,ES
AU  - Nathvani,RS
AU  - Sportiche,N
AU  - Daby,H
AU  - Johnson,E
AU  - Li,G
AU  - Flaxman,S
AU  - Toledano,M
AU  - Asaria,M
AU  - Ezzati,M
DO  - 10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100580
EP  - 13
PY  - 2023///
SN  - 2666-7762
SP  - 1
TI  - Changes in life expectancy and house prices in London from 2002 to 2019: Hyper-resolution spatiotemporal analysis of death registration and real estate data
T2  - The Lancet Regional Health Europe
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100580
UR  - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666776222002769?via%3Dihub
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/102715
VL  - 27
ER  -
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