Imperial College London


Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Visiting Reader







UG 11Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus





My current research focuses on developing statistical methods to estimate relevant parameters within complex ecological setting by integrating various sources of information in order to better understand the dynamics of diseases’ transmission and mitigate their public health risk.

The focus of my current work concentrates on 3 themes:

  • Vector-borne and zoonotic diseases, with a strong focus on rabies and Chagas disease.
  • Emerging diseases, with a strong focus on MERS-CoV, Ebola, Zika and antibiotic resistance.
  • Rapid response to outbreaks and real-time analysis, with a strong focus on developing tools and capacity ahead of future outbreaks.

In each of those 3 themes, my interests broadly sit at the interface between ecology and epidemiology where the potential for endemic and (re-)emerging zoonotic diseases lies.

Broadly speaking, I would define myself as a quantitative biologist and epidemiologist, as I seek to resolve concrete ecological and epidemiological problems using mathematical formalisation. Importantly, I see myself as belonging to the data-driven branch of modelling, and I strongly believe that models not only need to be fed with data, but also that in turn the analysis of data is greatly enhanced by modelling.



Waxman D, Nouvellet P, 2019, Sub- or supercritical transmissibilities in a finite disease outbreak: Symmetry in outbreak properties of a disease conditioned on extinction., J Theor Biol

Cori A, Nouvellet P, Garske T, et al., 2018, A graph-based evidence synthesis approach to detecting outbreak clusters: An application to dog rabies, Plos Computational Biology, Vol:14, ISSN:1553-7358

Hay JA, Nouvellet P, Donnelly CA, et al., 2018, Potential inconsistencies in Zika surveillance data and our understanding of risk during pregnancy, Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases, Vol:12, ISSN:1935-2735

Ahuka-Mundeke S, Ahmed YA, Allarangar Y, et al., 2018, Outbreak of Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, April-May, 2018: an epidemiological study, Lancet, Vol:392, ISSN:0140-6736, Pages:213-221

Cucunuba ZM, Nouvellet P, Peterson JK, et al., 2018, Complementary Paths to Chagas Disease Elimination: The Impact of Combining Vector Control With Etiological Treatment, Clinical Infectious Diseases, Vol:66, ISSN:1058-4838, Pages:S293-S300

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