DrPablo NoelPerez Guzman

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Research Postgraduate

Contact

Location

G31Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus

Summary

I am a Research Postgraduate at the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Diseases Analysis, School of Public Health. I currently study the drivers of pandemic disease severity, with a focus on COVID-19, and its effects on health systems, with a focus on low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).

Before the start of my academic career path,I trained as infectious diseases physician and practiced clinically for over 10 years in my home country, Mexico. My MSc degree is in International Health and Tropical Medicine (University of Oxford).

Prior to the start of my PhD at Imperial, I worked as research assistant analysing the Covid-19 epidemic dynamics in the UK with the Imperial College COVID-19 response team, and in projects to model population multi-morbidity by HIV status in LMICs. I also hold a honorary clinical contract at Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, where I collaborate on analyses of patient health data.

I am interested in the use of statistical and mathematical modelling methods to better understand:

Drivers or disease severity
Burden of multi-morbidity in populations
Effects of endemic, epidemic and pandemic diseases on population health and health systems
Potential impact of integrated healthcare interventions
The costs and benefits of implementing health interventions

Research interests

Clinical research

Emerging infectious diseases

HIV and other chronic infectious diseases

Multi-morbidity and non-communicalbe diseases

Anti-microbial resistance

Global health

Health systems and implementation research

Systems dynamics for health sciences

Publications

Journals

Gaythorpe K, Fitzjohn R, Hinsley W, et al.Gaythorpe K, Fitzjohn R, Hinsley W, Imai N, Knock E, Perez Guzman P, Djaafara B, Fraser K, Baguelin M, Ferguson N close, 2023, Data pipelines in a public health emergency: the human in the machine, Epidemics: the Journal of Infectious Disease Dynamics, ISSN:1755-4365

Sonabend R, Whittles LK, Imai N, et al.Sonabend R, Whittles LK, Imai N, Perez Guzman PN, Knock E, Rawson T, Gaythorpe KA, Djaafara A, Hinsley W, Fitzjohn R, Lees JA, Thekke Kanapram D, Volz E, Ghani A, Ferguson NM, Baguelin M, Cori A close, 2021, Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination, and the SARS-CoV-2 delta variant in England: a mathematical modelling study, The Lancet, Vol:398, ISSN:0140-6736, Pages:1825-1835

Vollmer MAC, Radhakrishnan S, Kont MD, et al.Vollmer MAC, Radhakrishnan S, Kont MD, Flaxman S, Bhatt SJ, Costelloe C, Honeyford K, Aylin P, Cooke G, Redhead J, Sanders A, Mangan H, White PJ, Ferguson N, Hauck K, Perez Guzman PN, Nayagam S close, 2021, The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on patterns of attendance at emergency departments in two large London hospitals: an observational study, Bmc Health Services Research, Vol:21, ISSN:1472-6963, Pages:1-9

Davis K, Perez-Guzman P, Hoyer A, et al.Davis K, Perez-Guzman P, Hoyer A, Brinks R, Gregg E, Althoff KN, Justice AC, Reiss P, Gregson S, Smit M close, 2021, Correction to: Association between HIV infection and hypertension: a global systematic review and meta-analysis of cross-sectional studies., Bmc Medicine, Vol:19, ISSN:1741-7015, Pages:228-228

Knock ES, Whittles LK, Lees JA, et al.Knock ES, Whittles LK, Lees JA, Perez-Guzman PN, Verity R, FitzJohn RG, Gaythorpe KAM, Imai N, Hinsley W, Okell LC, Rosello A, Kantas N, Walters CE, Bhatia S, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Cattarino L, Boonyasiri A, Djaafara BA, Fraser K, Fu H, Wang H, Xi X, Donnelly CA, Jauneikaite E, Laydon DJ, White PJ, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM, Cori A, Baguelin M close, 2021, Key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions in the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England, Science Translational Medicine, Vol:13, ISSN:1946-6234, Pages:1-12

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