Imperial College London

Miss Paraskevi (Evi) Seferidi

Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Research Assistant
 
 
 
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Contact

 

paraskevi.seferidi14

 
 
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Location

 

Reynolds BuildingCharing Cross Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Publication Type
Year
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6 results found

Seferidi P, Laverty AA, Pearson-Stuttard J, Bandosz P, Collins B, Guzman-Castillo M, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Millett Cet al., 2019, Impacts of Brexit on fruit and vegetable intake and cardiovascular disease in England: a modelling study., BMJ Open, Vol: 9

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the potential impacts of different Brexit trade policy scenarios on the price and intake of fruits and vegetables (F&V) and consequent cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths in England between 2021 and 2030. DESIGN: Economic and epidemiological modelling study with probabilistic sensitivity analysis. SETTING: The model combined publicly available data on F&V trade, published estimates of UK-specific price elasticities, national survey data on F&V intake, estimates on the relationship between F&V intake and CVD from published meta-analyses and CVD mortality projections for 2021-2030. PARTICIPANTS: English adults aged 25 years and older. INTERVENTIONS: We modelled four potential post-Brexit trade scenarios: (1) free trading agreement with the EU and maintaining half of non-EU free trade partners; (2) free trading agreement with the EU but no trade deal with any non-EU countries; (3) no-deal Brexit; and (4) liberalised trade regime that eliminates all import tariffs. OUTCOME MEASURES: Cumulative coronary heart disease and stroke deaths attributed to the different Brexit scenarios modelled between 2021 and 2030. RESULTS: Under all Brexit scenarios modelled, prices of F&V would increase, especially for those highly dependent on imports. This would decrease intake of F&V between 2.5% (95% uncertainty interval: 1.9% to 3.1%) and 11.4% (9.5% to 14.2%) under the different scenarios. Our model suggests that a no-deal Brexit scenario would be the most harmful, generating approximately 12 400 (6690 to 23 390) extra CVD deaths between 2021 and 2030, whereas establishing a free trading agreement with the EU would have a lower impact on mortality, contributing approximately 5740 (2860 to 11 910) extra CVD deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Trade policy under all modelled Brexit scenarios could increase price and decrease intake of F&V, generating substantial additional CVD mortality in England. The UK government should consider the populat

JOURNAL ARTICLE

Seferidi P, Laverty AA, Pearson-Stuttard J, Guzman-Castillo M, Collins B, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Millett Cet al., 2018, Implications of Brexit on the effectiveness of the UK soft drinks industry levy upon CHD in England: a modelling study, PUBLIC HEALTH NUTRITION, Vol: 21, Pages: 3431-3439, ISSN: 1368-9800

JOURNAL ARTICLE

Seferidi S, Laverty AA, Pearson-Stuttard J, Guzman-Castillo M, Collins B, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Millett Cet al., 2018, POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF BREXIT ON CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE VIA CHANGES TO THE PRICE OF FRUITS AND VEGETABLES: A MODELLING ANALYSIS, Publisher: BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, Pages: A21-A21, ISSN: 0143-005X

CONFERENCE PAPER

Seferidi P, Millett C, Laverty AA, 2018, Sweetened beverage intake in association to energy and sugar consumption and cardiometabolic markers in children, PEDIATRIC OBESITY, Vol: 13, Pages: 195-203, ISSN: 2047-6310

JOURNAL ARTICLE

Seferidi P, Laverty AA, Pearson-Stuttard J, Guzman-Castillo M, Collins B, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Millett Cet al., 2017, Implications of Brexit for the effectiveness of the UK soft drinks industry levy on coronary heart disease in England: a modelling study, Public Health Science Conference, Publisher: ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC, Pages: S9-S9, ISSN: 0140-6736

CONFERENCE PAPER

Griep LMO, Seferidi P, Stamler J, Van Horn L, Chan Q, Tzoulaki I, Steffen LM, Miura K, Ueshima H, Okuda N, Zhao L, Soedamah-Muthu SS, Elliott Pet al., 2016, Relation of unprocessed, processed red meat and poultry consumption to blood pressure in East Asian and Western adults, JOURNAL OF HYPERTENSION, Vol: 34, Pages: 1721-1729, ISSN: 0263-6352

JOURNAL ARTICLE

This data is extracted from the Web of Science and reproduced under a licence from Thomson Reuters. You may not copy or re-distribute this data in whole or in part without the written consent of the Science business of Thomson Reuters.

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