Imperial College London
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DrRobinLamboll

Faculty of Natural Sciences, Centre for Environmental Policy

Imperial College Research Fellow
 
 
 
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Contact

 

r.lamboll

 
 
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Location

 

Weeks BuildingSouth Kensington Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Forster:2020:10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0,
author = {Forster, PM and Forster, HI and Evans, MJ and Gidden, MJ and Jones, CD and Keller, CA and Lamboll, RD and Quere, CL and Rogelj, J and Rosen, D and Schleussner, C-F and Richardson, TB and Smith, CJ and Turnock, ST},
doi = {10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
pages = {913--919},
title = {Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0},
volume = {10},
year = {2020}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - The global response to the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a sudden reduction of both GHG emissions and air pollutants. Here, using national mobility data, we estimate global emission reductions for ten species during the period February to June 2020. We estimate that global NOx emissions declined by as much as 30% in April, contributing a short-term cooling since the start of the year. This cooling trend is offset by ~20% reduction in global SO2 emissions that weakens the aerosol cooling effect, causing short-term warming. As a result, we estimate that the direct effect of the pandemic-driven response will be negligible, with a cooling of around 0.01 ± 0.005 °C by 2030 compared to a baseline scenario that follows current national policies. In contrast, with an economic recovery tilted towards green stimulus and reductions in fossil fuel investments, it is possible to avoid future warming of 0.3 °C by 2050.
AU  - Forster,PM
AU  - Forster,HI
AU  - Evans,MJ
AU  - Gidden,MJ
AU  - Jones,CD
AU  - Keller,CA
AU  - Lamboll,RD
AU  - Quere,CL
AU  - Rogelj,J
AU  - Rosen,D
AU  - Schleussner,C-F
AU  - Richardson,TB
AU  - Smith,CJ
AU  - Turnock,ST
DO  - 10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0
EP  - 919
PY  - 2020///
SN  - 1758-678X
SP  - 913
TI  - Current and future global climate impacts resulting from COVID-19
T2  - Nature Climate Change
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0883-0
UR  - http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000557111200001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
UR  - https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-0883-0
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/85400
VL  - 10
ER  -
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