Imperial College London
Alternate

DrRobertVerity

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Lecturer
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 3946r.verity Website

 
 
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Location

 

UG12Praed StreetSt Mary's Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@techreport{Knock:2020:10.25561/85146,
author = {Knock, E and Whittles, L and Lees, J and Perez, Guzman P and Verity, R and Fitzjohn, R and Gaythorpe, K and Imai, N and Hinsley, W and Okell, L and Rosello, A and Kantas, N and Walters, C and Bhatia, S and Watson, O and Whittaker, C and Cattarino, L and Boonyasiri, A and Djaafara, A and Fraser, K and Fu, H and Wang, H and Xi, X and Donnelly, C and Jauneikaite, E and Laydon, D and White, P and Ghani, A and Ferguson, N and Cori, A and Baguelin, M},
doi = {10.25561/85146},
title = {Report 41: The 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England: key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.25561/85146},
year = {2020}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - RPRT
AB  - England has been severely affected by COVID-19. We fitted a model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in care homes and the community to regional 2020 surveillance data. Only national lockdown brought the reproduction number below 1 consistently; introduced one week earlier in the first wave it could have reduced mortality by 23,300 deaths on average. The mean infection fatality ratio was initially ~1.3% across all regions except London and halved following clinical care improvements. The infection fatality ratio was two-fold lower throughout in London, even when adjusting for demographics. The infection fatality ratio in care homes was 2.5-times that in the elderly in the community. Population-level infection-induced immunity in England is still far from herd immunity, with regional mean cumulative attack rates ranging between 4.4% and 15.8%.
AU  - Knock,E
AU  - Whittles,L
AU  - Lees,J
AU  - Perez,Guzman P
AU  - Verity,R
AU  - Fitzjohn,R
AU  - Gaythorpe,K
AU  - Imai,N
AU  - Hinsley,W
AU  - Okell,L
AU  - Rosello,A
AU  - Kantas,N
AU  - Walters,C
AU  - Bhatia,S
AU  - Watson,O
AU  - Whittaker,C
AU  - Cattarino,L
AU  - Boonyasiri,A
AU  - Djaafara,A
AU  - Fraser,K
AU  - Fu,H
AU  - Wang,H
AU  - Xi,X
AU  - Donnelly,C
AU  - Jauneikaite,E
AU  - Laydon,D
AU  - White,P
AU  - Ghani,A
AU  - Ferguson,N
AU  - Cori,A
AU  - Baguelin,M
DO  - 10.25561/85146
PY  - 2020///
TI  - Report 41: The 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England: key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.25561/85146
UR  - https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-12-22-COVID19-Report-41.pdf
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/85146
ER  -
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