Imperial College London


Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Research Associate



s.mishra CV




Norfolk PlaceSt Mary's Campus




Selected Publications

Journal Articles

Mishra S, Mindermann S, Sharma M, et al., 2021, Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in England, Eclinicalmedicine, Vol:39

Mishra S, Scott JA, Laydon DJ, et al., 2021, Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modelling, Scientific Reports, Vol:11, ISSN:2045-2322, Pages:1-9

Mohler G, Mishra S, Ray B, et al., 2021, A modified two-process Knox test for investigating the relationship between law enforcement opioid seizures and overdoses, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences, Vol:477, ISSN:1364-5021

Faria NR, Mellan TA, Whittaker C, et al., 2021, Genomics and epidemiology of the P.1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil, Science, Vol:372, ISSN:0036-8075, Pages:815-821

Volz E, Mishra S, Chand M, et al., 2021, Assessing transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England, Nature, Vol:593, ISSN:0028-0836, Pages:266-269

Laydon D, Mishra S, Hinsley W, et al., 2021, Modelling the impact of the Tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns, Bmj Open, Vol:11, ISSN:2044-6055

Unwin HJT, Routledge I, Flaxman S, et al., 2021, Using Hawkes Processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settings, PLOS Computational Biology, Vol:17, ISSN:1553-734X

Monod M, Blenkinsop A, Xi X, et al., 2021, Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States, Science, Vol:371, ISSN:0036-8075

Unwin H, Mishra S, Bradley V, et al., 2020, State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States, Nature Communications, Vol:11, ISSN:2041-1723, Pages:1-9

Mishra S, Scott J, Zhu H, et al., 2020, A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom

Candido DS, Claro IM, de Jesus JG, et al., 2020, Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil, Science, Vol:369, ISSN:0036-8075, Pages:1255-1260

Lavezzo E, Franchin E, Ciavarella C, et al., 2020, Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo', Nature, Vol:584, ISSN:0028-0836, Pages:425-429

Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, et al., 2020, Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe, Nature, Vol:584, ISSN:0028-0836, Pages:257-261

Okell LC, Verity R, Watson OJ, et al., 2020, Have deaths from COVID-19 in Europe plateaued due to herd immunity?, Lancet, Vol:395, Pages:e110-e111

Walker PGT, Whittaker C, Watson OJ, et al., 2020, The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries, Science, Vol:369, ISSN:0036-8075, Pages:413-422

Hawryluk I, Mellan TA, Hoeltgebaum H, et al., 2020, Inference of COVID-19 epidemiological distributions from Brazilian hospital data, Journal of the Royal Society Interface, Vol:17, ISSN:1742-5662, Pages:20200596-20200596

Hawryluk I, Mishra S, Flaxman S, et al., Referenced Thermodynamic Integration for Bayesian Model Selection: Application to COVID-19 Model Selection

Rizoiu M-A, Lee Y, Mishra S, et al., A Tutorial on Hawkes Processes for Events in Social Media

Mishra S, Rizoiu M-A, Xie L, Modeling Popularity in Asynchronous Social Media Streams with Recurrent Neural Networks

Mishra S, Flaxman S, Berah T, et al., $π$VAE: Encoding stochastic process priors with variational autoencoders

Mishra S, Berah T, Mellan TA, et al., On the derivation of the renewal equation from an age-dependent branching process: an epidemic modelling perspective

Bhatt S, Ferguson N, Flaxman S, et al., Semi-Mechanistic Bayesian Modeling of COVID-19 with Renewal Processes

Hawryluk I, Hoeltgebaum H, Mishra S, et al., Gaussian Process Nowcasting: Application to COVID-19 Mortality Reporting


Rizoiu M-A, Lee Y, Mishra S, 2017, Hawkes processes for events in social media, Frontiers of Multimedia Research, ACM, Pages:191-218


Mishra S, 2019, Bridging Models for Popularity Prediction on Social Media, 12th ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining (WSDM), ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY, Pages:810-811

Rizoiu M-A, Mishra S, Kong Q, et al., 2018, SIR-Hawkes: Linking Epidemic Models and Hawkes Processes to Model Diffusions in Finite Populations, 27th World Wide Web (WWW) Conference, ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY, Pages:419-428

Mishra S, Rizoiu M-A, Xie L, 2016, Feature Driven and Point Process Approaches for Popularity Prediction, 25th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management (CIKM), ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY, Pages:1069-1078

Buntine WL, Mishra S, 2014, Experiments with Non-parametric Topic Models, 20th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD), ASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY, Pages:881-890


Mellan T, Hoeltgebaum H, Mishra S, et al., 2020, Report 21: Estimating COVID-19 cases and reproduction number in Brazil

Vollmer M, Mishra S, Unwin H, et al., 2020, Report 20: A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of Covid-19 in Italy

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