Selected Publications
Journal Articles
Monod M, Blenkinsop A, Xi X, et al.Monod M, Blenkinsop A, Xi X, Hebert D, Bershan S, Tietze S, Baguelin M, Bradley VC, Chen Y, Coupland H, Filippi S, Ish-Horowicz J, McManus M, Mellan T, Gandy A, Hutchinson M, Unwin HJT, van Elsland SL, Vollmer MAC, Weber S, Zhu H, Bezancon A, Ferguson NM, Mishra S, Flaxman S, Bhatt S, Ratmann O, Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team close, 2021, Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States., Science
Vollmer MAC, Glampson B, Mellan TA, et al.Vollmer MAC, Glampson B, Mellan TA, Mishra S, Mercuri L, Costello C, Klaber R, Cooke G, Flaxman S, Bhatt S close, 2021, A unified machine learning approach to time series forecasting applied to demand at emergency departments, Bmc Emergency Medicine, Vol:21, ISSN:1471-227X, Pages:1-14
Lavezzo E, Franchin E, Ciavarella C, et al.Lavezzo E, Franchin E, Ciavarella C, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Barzon L, Del Vecchio C, Rossi L, Manganelli R, Loregian A, Navarin N, Abate D, Sciro M, Merigliano S, De Canale E, Vanuzzo MC, Besutti V, Saluzzo F, Onelia F, Pacenti M, Parisi SG, Carretta G, Donato D, Flor L, Cocchio S, Masi G, Sperduti A, Cattarino L, Salvador R, Nicoletti M, Caldart F, Castelli G, Nieddu E, Labella B, Fava L, Drigo M, Gaythorpe KAM, Brazzale AR, Toppo S, Trevisan M, Baldo V, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM, Dorigatti I, Crisanti A, Crisanti A close, 2021, Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo' (vol 584, pg 425, 2020), Nature, ISSN:0028-0836
Flaxman S, Mishra S, Scott J, et al.Flaxman S, Mishra S, Scott J, Ferguson N, Gandy A, Bhatt S close, 2020, The effect of interventions on COVID-19, Nature, Vol:588, ISSN:0028-0836, Pages:E29-E32
Unwin H, Mishra S, Bradley V, et al.Unwin H, Mishra S, Bradley V, Gandy A, Mellan T, Coupland H, Ish-Horowicz J, Vollmer M, Whittaker C, Filippi S, Xi X, Monod M, Ratmann O, Hutchinson M, Valka F, Zhu H, Hawryluk I, Milton P, Ainslie K, Baguelin M, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau N, Cattarino L, Cucunuba Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dorigatti I, Eales O, Eaton J, van Elsland S, Fitzjohn R, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Hinsley W, Jeffrey B, Knock E, Laydon D, Lees J, Nedjati-Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Okell L, Parag K, Siveroni I, Thompson H, Walker P, Walters C, Watson O, Whittles L, Ghani A, Ferguson N, Riley S, Donnelly C, Bhatt S, Flaxman S close, 2020, State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States, Nature Communications, ISSN:2041-1723
Hawryluk I, Mellan T, Helfer Hoeltgebaum H, et al.Hawryluk I, Mellan T, Helfer Hoeltgebaum H, Mishra S, Parolin Schnekenberg R, Whittaker C, Zhu H, Gandy A, Flaxman S, Bhatt S close, 2020, Inference of COVID-19 epidemiological distributions from Brazilian hospital data, Journal of the Royal Society Interface, ISSN:1742-5662
Okell LC, Verity R, Katzourakis A, et al.Okell LC, Verity R, Katzourakis A, Volz EM, Watson OJ, Mishra S, Walker P, Whittaker C, Donnelly CA, Riley S, Ghani AC, Gandy A, Flaxman S, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S close, 2020, Host or pathogen-related factors in COVID-19 severity? Reply, The Lancet, Vol:396, ISSN:0140-6736, Pages:1397-1397
Candido DS, Claro IM, de Jesus JG, et al.Candido DS, Claro IM, de Jesus JG, Souza WM, Moreira FRR, Dellicour S, Mellan TA, du Plessis L, Pereira RHM, Sales FCS, Manuli ER, Theze J, Almeida L, Menezes MT, Voloch CM, Fumagalli MJ, Coletti TM, Silva CAM, Ramundo MS, Amorim MR, Hoeltgebaum HH, Mishra S, Gill MS, Carvalho LM, Buss LF, Prete Jr CA, Ashworth J, Nakaya H, Peixoto PS, Brady OJ, Nicholls SM, Tanuri A, Rossi AD, Braga CK, Gerber AL, Guimaraes APDC, Gaburo Jr N, Alencar CS, Ferreira ACS, Lima CX, Levi JE, Granato C, Ferreira GM, Francisco Jr RS, Granja F, Garcia MT, Moretti ML, Perroud Jr MW, Castineiras TMPP, Lazari CS, Hill SC, de Souza Santos AA, Simeoni CL, Forato J, Sposito AC, Schreiber AZ, Santos MNN, de Sa CZ, Souza RP, Resende-Moreira LC, Teixeira MM, Hubner J, Leme PAF, Moreira RG, Nogueira ML, Ferguson NM, Costa SF, Proenca-Modena JL, Vasconcelos ATR, Bhatt S, Lemey P, Wu C-H, Rambaut A, Loman NJ, Aguiar RS, Pybus OG, Sabino EC, Faria NR close, 2020, Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil, Science, Vol:369, ISSN:0036-8075, Pages:1255-1260
Hogan A, Jewell B, Sherrard-Smith E, et al.Hogan A, Jewell B, Sherrard-Smith E, Watson O, Whittaker C, Hamlet A, Smith J, Winskill P, Verity R, Baguelin M, Lees J, Whittles L, Ainslie K, Bhatt S, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau N, Cattarino L, Cooper L, Coupland H, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dighe A, Djaafara A, Donnelly C, Eaton J, van Elsland S, Fitzjohn R, Fu H, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Haw D, Hayes S, Hinsley W, Imai N, Laydon D, Mangal T, Mellan T, Mishra S, Parag K, Thompson H, Unwin H, Vollmer M, Walters C, Wang H, Ferguson N, Okell L, Churcher T, Arinaminpathy N, Ghani A, Walker P, Hallett T close, 2020, Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, TB and malaria in low- and middle-income countries: a modelling study, The Lancet Global Health, Vol:8, ISSN:2214-109X, Pages:e1132-e1141
Lavezzo E, Franchin E, Ciavarella C, et al.Lavezzo E, Franchin E, Ciavarella C, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Barzon L, Del Vecchio C, Rossi L, Manganelli R, Loregian A, Navarin N, Abate D, Sciro M, Merigliano S, De Canale E, Vanuzzo MC, Besutti V, Saluzzo F, Onelia F, Pacenti M, Parisi S, Carretta G, Donato D, Flor L, Cocchio S, Masi G, Sperduti A, Cattarino L, Salvador R, Nicoletti M, Caldart F, Castelli G, Nieddu E, Labella B, Fava L, Drigo M, Gaythorpe KAM, Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, Brazzale AR, Toppo S, Trevisan M, Baldo V, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM, Dorigatti I, Crisanti A close, 2020, Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo'., Nature, Vol:584, ISSN:0028-0836, Pages:425-429
Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, et al.Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, Unwin HJT, Mellan TA, Coupland H, Whittaker C, Zhu H, Berah T, Eaton JW, Monod M, Perez Guzman PN, Schmit N, Cilloni L, Ainslie K, Baguelin M, Boonyasiri A, Boyd O, Cattarino L, Cucunuba Perez Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dighe A, Djaafara A, Dorigatti I, van Elsland S, Fitzjohn R, Gaythorpe K, Geidelberg L, Grassly N, Green W, Hallett T, Hamlet A, Hinsley W, Jeffrey B, Knock E, Laydon D, Nedjati Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Parag K, Siveroni I, Thompson H, Verity R, Volz E, Walters C, Wang H, Watson O, Winskill P, Xi X, Walker P, Ghani AC, Donnelly CA, Riley SM, Vollmer MAC, Ferguson NM, Okell LC, Bhatt S close, 2020, Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe, Nature, Vol:584, ISSN:0028-0836, Pages:257-261
Unwin HJT, Routledge I, Flaxman S, et al.Unwin HJT, Routledge I, Flaxman S, Rizoiu M-A, Lai S, Cohen J, Weiss DJ, Mishra S, Bhatt S close, 2020, Using Hawkes Processes to model imported and local malaria cases in near-elimination settings
Okell LC, Verity R, Watson OJ, et al.Okell LC, Verity R, Watson OJ, Mishra S, Walker P, Whittaker C, Katzourakis A, Donnelly CA, Riley S, Ghani AC, Gandy A, Flaxman S, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S close, 2020, Have deaths from COVID-19 in Europe plateaued due to herd immunity?, Lancet, Vol:395, Pages:e110-e111
Walker PGT, Whittaker C, Watson OJ, et al.Walker PGT, Whittaker C, Watson OJ, Baguelin M, Winskill P, Hamlet A, Djafaara BA, Cucunubá Z, Olivera Mesa D, Green W, Thompson H, Nayagam S, Ainslie KEC, Bhatia S, Bhatt S, Boonyasiri A, Boyd O, Brazeau NF, Cattarino L, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dighe A, Donnelly CA, Dorigatti I, van Elsland SL, FitzJohn R, Fu H, Gaythorpe KAM, Geidelberg L, Grassly N, Haw D, Hayes S, Hinsley W, Imai N, Jorgensen D, Knock E, Laydon D, Mishra S, Nedjati-Gilani G, Okell LC, Unwin HJ, Verity R, Vollmer M, Walters CE, Wang H, Wang Y, Xi X, Lalloo DG, Ferguson NM, Ghani AC close, 2020, The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries, Science, Vol:369, ISSN:0036-8075, Pages:413-422
Routledge I, Lai S, Battle KE, et al.Routledge I, Lai S, Battle KE, Ghani AC, Gomez-Rodriguez M, Gustafson KB, Mishra S, Unwin J, Proctor JL, Tatem AJ, Li Z, Bhatt S close, 2020, Tracking progress towards malaria elimination in China: Individual-level estimates of transmission and its spatiotemporal variation using a diffusion network approach, PLOS Computational Biology, Vol:16, ISSN:1553-734X, Pages:1-20
Hawryluk I, Mishra S, Flaxman S, et al.Hawryluk I, Mishra S, Flaxman S, Bhatt S, Mellan TA close, Referenced Thermodynamic Integration for Bayesian Model Selection: Application to COVID-19 Model Selection
Mishra S, Berah T, Mellan TA, et al.Mishra S, Berah T, Mellan TA, Unwin HJT, Vollmer MA, Parag KV, Gandy A, Flaxman S, Bhatt S close, On the derivation of the renewal equation from an age-dependent branching process: an epidemic modelling perspective
Laydon DJ, Mishra S, Hinsley WR, et al.Laydon DJ, Mishra S, Hinsley WR, Samartsidis P, Flaxman S, Gandy A, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S close, Impact of the Tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns
Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, et al.Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, Unwin HJT, Coupland H, Mellan TA, Zhu H, Berah T, Eaton JW, Guzman PNP, Schmit N, Callizo L, Team ICCR, Whittaker C, Winskill P, Xi X, Ghani A, Donnelly CA, Riley S, Okell LC, Vollmer MAC, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S close, Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in European countries: technical description update
Hawryluk I, Hoeltgebaum H, Mishra S, et al.Hawryluk I, Hoeltgebaum H, Mishra S, Miscouridou X, Schnekenberg RP, Whittaker C, Vollmer M, Flaxman S, Bhatt S, Mellan TA close, Gaussian Process Nowcasting: Application to COVID-19 Mortality Reporting
Conference
Mishra S, 2019, Bridging Models for Popularity Prediction on Social Media, WSDM '19: The Twelfth ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, ACM
Rizoiu M-A, Mishra S, Kong Q, et al.Rizoiu M-A, Mishra S, Kong Q, Carman M, Xie L close, 2018, SIR-Hawkes, the 2018 World Wide Web Conference, ACM Press
Mishra S, Rizoiu M-A, Xie L, 2016, Feature Driven and Point Process Approaches for Popularity Prediction, CIKM'16: ACM Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, ACM
Buntine WL, Mishra S, 2014, Experiments with non-parametric topic models, KDD '14: The 20th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, ACM
Reports
Unwin H, Mishra S, Bradley VC, et al.Unwin H, Mishra S, Bradley VC, Gandy A, Vollmer M, Mellan T, Coupland H, Ainslie K, Whittaker C, Ish-Horowicz J, Filippi S, Xi X, Monod M, Ratmann O, Hutchinson M, Valka F, Zhu H, Hawryluk I, Milton P, Baguelin M, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau N, Cattarino L, Charles G, Cooper L, Cucunuba Perez Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Djaafara A, Dorigatti I, Eales O, Eaton J, van Elsland S, Fitzjohn R, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Hallett T, Hinsley W, Imai N, Jeffrey B, Knock E, Laydon D, Lees J, Nedjati Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Okell L, Ower A, Parag K, Siveroni I, Thompson H, Verity R, Walker P, Walters C, Wang Y, Watson O, Whittles L, Ghani A, Ferguson N, Riley S, Donnelly C, Bhatt S, Flaxman S close, 2020, Report 23: State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States
Mellan T, Hoeltgebaum H, Mishra S, et al.Mellan T, Hoeltgebaum H, Mishra S, Whittaker C, Schnekenberg R, Gandy A, Unwin H, Vollmer M, Coupland H, Hawryluk I, Rodrigues Faria N, Vesga J, Zhu H, Hutchinson M, Ratmann O, Monod M, Ainslie K, Baguelin M, Bhatia S, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau N, Charles G, Cooper L, Cucunuba Perez Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dighe A, Djaafara A, Eaton J, van Elsland S, Fitzjohn R, Fraser K, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Hayes S, Imai N, Jeffrey B, Knock E, Laydon D, Lees J, Mangal T, Mousa A, Nedjati Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Olivera Mesa D, Parag K, Pickles M, Thompson H, Verity R, Walters C, Wang H, Wang Y, Watson O, Whittles L, Xi X, Okell L, Dorigatti I, Walker P, Ghani A, Riley S, Ferguson N, Donnelly C, Flaxman S, Bhatt S close, 2020, Report 21: Estimating COVID-19 cases and reproduction number in Brazil
Vollmer M, Mishra S, Unwin H, et al.Vollmer M, Mishra S, Unwin H, Gandy A, Melan T, Bradley V, Zhu H, Coupland H, Hawryluk I, Hutchinson M, Ratmann O, Monod M, Walker P, Whittaker C, Cattarino L, Ciavarella C, Cilloni L, Ainslie K, Baguelin M, Bhatia S, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau N, Charles G, Cooper L, Cucunuba Perez Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dighe A, Djaafara A, Eaton J, van Elsland S, Fitzjohn R, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Hayes S, Imai N, Jeffrey B, Knock E, Laydon D, Lees J, Mangal T, Mousa A, Nedjati Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Olivera Mesa D, Parag K, Pickles M, Thompson H, Verity R, Walters C, Wang H, Wang Y, Watson O, Whittles L, Xi X, Ghani A, Riley S, Okell L, Donnelly C, Ferguson N, Dorigatti I, Flaxman S, Bhatt S close, 2020, Report 20: A sub-national analysis of the rate of transmission of Covid-19 in Italy
Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, et al.Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, Unwin H, Coupland H, Mellan T, Zhu H, Berah T, Eaton J, Perez Guzman P, Schmit N, Cilloni L, Ainslie K, Baguelin M, Blake I, Boonyasiri A, Boyd O, Cattarino L, Ciavarella C, Cooper L, Cucunuba Perez Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dighe A, Djaafara A, Dorigatti I, van Elsland S, Fitzjohn R, Fu H, Gaythorpe K, Geidelberg L, Grassly N, Green W, Hallett T, Hamlet A, Hinsley W, Jeffrey B, Jorgensen D, Knock E, Laydon D, Nedjati Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Parag K, Siveroni I, Thompson H, Verity R, Volz E, Walters C, Wang H, Wang Y, Watson O, Winskill P, Xi X, Whittaker C, Walker P, Ghani A, Donnelly C, Riley S, Okell L, Vollmer M, Ferguson N, Bhatt S close, 2020, Report 13: Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries
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