369 results found
Schutzer-Weissmann J, Wojcikiewicz T, Karmali A, et al., 2023, Apnoeic oxygenation in morbid obesity: a randomised controlled trial comparing facemask and high-flow nasal oxygen delivery, British Journal of Anaesthesia, Vol: 130, Pages: 103-110, ISSN: 0007-0912
BackgroundObesity is a risk factor for airway-related incidents during anaesthesia. High flow nasal oxygen has been advocated to improve safety in high-risk groups but its effectiveness in the obese population is uncertain. This study compared the effect of high flow nasal oxygen and low flow facemask oxygen delivery on duration of apnoea in morbidly-obese patients.MethodsPatients undergoing bariatric surgery were randomly allocated to receive either high flow nasal (70 L min-1) or facemask (15 L min-1) oxygen. Following induction of anaesthesia, morbidly-obese patients were apnoeic for 18 minutes or until oxygen saturation dropped to 92%.ResultsEighty patients were studied (41 high flow nasal oxygen, 39 facemask). Median apnoea duration was 18 minutes in both the high flow nasal oxygen (IQR 18-18 minutes) and the facemask (IQR 4.1-18 minutes) groups. Five patients in the high flow nasal oxygen group and 14 patients in the facemask group desaturated to 92% within 18 minutes. The risk of desaturation was lower in the high flow nasal oxygen group (Hazard Ratio 0.27, 95% CI 0.11-0.65, p=0.007). ConclusionsIn experienced hands, apnoeic oxygenation is possible in the morbidly-obese and was tolerated for 18 minutes by the majority of patients, whether oxygen delivery was high flow nasal or low flow facemask. High flow nasal oxygen reduced desaturation risk compared to facemask oxygen. Desaturation risk is a more clinically relevant outcome than duration of apnoea. Individual physiological factors are likely to be the primary determinant of risk rather than method of oxygen delivery.
Kowalka AM, Alexiadou K, Cuenco J, et al., 2022, The postprandial secretion of peptide YY1-36 and (3-36) in obesity is differentially increased after gastric bypass versus sleeve gastrectomy, CLINICAL ENDOCRINOLOGY, ISSN: 0300-0664
- Author Web Link
- Citations: 1
Lam K, Lo FP-W, An Y, et al., 2022, Deep Learning for Instrument Detection and Assessment of Operative Skill in Surgical Videos, IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON MEDICAL ROBOTICS AND BIONICS, Vol: 4, Pages: 1068-1071
Penney N, Yeung K, Garcia Perez I, et al., 2022, Multi-omic phenotyping reveals host-microbe responses to bariatric surgery, glycaemic control and obesity, communications medicine, Vol: 2, Pages: 1-18, ISSN: 2730-664X
Background: Resolution of type 2 diabetes (T2D) is common following bariatric surgery, particularly Roux-en-Y gastric bypass. However, the underlying mechanisms have not been fully elucidated.Methods: To address this we compare the integrated serum, urine and faecal metabolic profiles of participants with obesity +/- T2D (n=80, T2D=42) with participants who underwent Roux-en-Y gastric bypass or sleeve gastrectomy (pre and 3-months post-surgery; n=27), taking diet into account. We co-model these data with shotgun metagenomic profiles of the gut microbiota to provide a comprehensive atlas of host-gut microbe responses to bariatric surgery, weight-loss and glycaemic control at the systems level.Results: Here we show that bariatric surgery reverses several disrupted pathways characteristic of T2D. The differential metabolite set representative of bariatric surgery overlaps with both diabetes (19.3% commonality) and body mass index (18.6% commonality). However, the percentage overlap between diabetes and body mass index is minimal (4.0% commonality), consistent with weight-independent mechanisms of T2D resolution. The gut microbiota is more strongly correlated to body mass index than T2D, although we identify some pathways such as amino acid metabolism that correlate with changes to the gut microbiota and which influence glycaemic control.Conclusion: We identify multi-omic signatures associated with responses to surgery, body mass index, and glycaemic control. Improved understanding of gut microbiota - host co-metabolism may lead to novel therapies for weight-loss or diabetes. However, further experiments are required to provide mechanistic insight into the role of the gut microbiota in host metabolism and establish proof of causality.
Beatty JW, Gan J, Robb H, et al., 2022, Back to the future: Re-introducing Reusable gowns to achieve #NetZeroSurgery, Annual Congress of the Association-of-Surgeons-of-Great-Britain-and-Ireland, Publisher: OXFORD UNIV PRESS, ISSN: 0007-1323
Robb H, Gan J, Winter-Beatty J, et al., 2022, Back to the future: Does increasing the proportion of local anaesthetic inguinal hernia repairs help achieve a #NetZeroNHS?, Annual Congress of the Association-of-Surgeons-of-Great-Britain-and-Ireland, Publisher: OXFORD UNIV PRESS, ISSN: 0007-1323
Kamocka A, Chidambaram S, Erridge S, et al., 2022, Length of biliopancreatic limb in Roux-en-Y gastric bypass and its impact on post-operative outcomes in metabolic and obesity surgery-systematic review and meta-analysis, International Journal of Obesity, Vol: 46, Pages: 1983-1991, ISSN: 0307-0565
BackgroundRoux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) is a gold-standard procedure for treatment of obesity and associated comorbidities. No consensus on the optimal design of this operation has been achieved, with various lengths of bypassed small bowel limb lengths being used by bariatric surgeons. This aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to determine whether biliopancreatic limb (BPL) length in RYGB affects postoperative outcomes including superior reduction in weight, body mass index (BMI), and resolution of metabolic comorbidities associated with obesity.MethodsA systematic search of the literature was conducted up until 1st June 2021. Meta-analysis of primary outcomes was performed utilising a random-effects model. Statistical significance was determined by p value < 0.05.ResultsTen randomised controlled trials were included in the final quantitative analysis. No difference in outcomes following short versus long BLP in RYGB was identified at 12–72 months post-operatively, namely in BMI reduction, remission or improvement of type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidaemia, and complications (p > 0.05). Even though results of four studies showed superior total body weight loss in the long BPL cohorts at 24 months post-operatively (pooled mean difference −6.92, 95% CI –12.37, −1.48, p = 0.01), this outcome was not observed at any other timepoint.ConclusionBased on the outcomes of the present study, there is no definitive evidence to suggest that alteration of the BPL affects the quantity of weight loss or resolution of co-existent metabolic comorbidities associated with obesity.
Kamocka A, Ilesanmi I, Miras A, et al., 2022, THREE-YEAR OUTCOMES OF THE LONG LIMB TRIAL. LONG VS STANDARD BILIOPANCREATIC LIMB IN THE ROUXEN-Y GASTRIC BYPASS, Publisher: SPRINGER, Pages: 567-567, ISSN: 0960-8923
Yeung K, Penney N, Whiley L, et al., 2022, SERUM AMINO ACID RATIOS AS PROXIES TO MECHANISMS CONTRIBUTING TO IMPROVED METABOLIC HEALTH AFTER BARIATRIC SURGERY Basic science and research in bariatric surgery, 25th IFSO World Congress, Publisher: SPRINGER, Pages: 483-483, ISSN: 0960-8923
Yeung K, Whiley L, Penney N, et al., 2022, SERUM LIPIDOMIC SIGNATURES OF TYPE 2 DIABETES AND EARLY SURGICAL DIABETES RESOLUTION Basic science and research in bariatric surgery, Publisher: SPRINGER, Pages: 485-485, ISSN: 0960-8923
Winter Beatty J, Chidambaram S, Erridge S, et al., 2022, O020 Does real-time surgical training on auxiliary screens affect performance and cognitive demands during surgery? a randomised crossover study on VR-simulated laparoscopic cholecystectomies., Annual Scientific Meeting of the Surgical-Research-Society, Publisher: OXFORD UNIV PRESS, ISSN: 0007-1323
Lam K, Abramoff M, Balibrea J, et al., 2022, A Delphi consensus statement for digital surgery, npj Digital Medicine, Vol: 5, Pages: 1-9, ISSN: 2398-6352
The use of digital technology is increasing rapidly across surgical specialities, yet there is noconsensus for the term ‘digital surgery’. This is critical as digital health technologies present technical, governance, and legal challenges which are unique to the surgeon and surgical patient. We aim to define the term digital surgery and the ethical issues surrounding its clinical application, and to identify barriers and research goals for future practice. 38 international experts, across the fields of surgery, AI, industry, law, ethics and policy, participated in a four-round Delphi exercise. Issues were generated by an expert panel and public panel through a scoping questionnaire around key themes identified from the literature and voted upon in two subsequent questionnaire rounds. Consensus was defined if >70% of the panel deemed the statement important and <30% unimportant. A final online meeting was held to discuss consensus statements. The definition of digital surgery as the use of technology for the enhancement of preoperative planning, surgical performance, therapeutic support, or training, to improve outcomes and reduce harm achieved 100% consensus agreement. We highlight key ethical issues concerning data, privacy, confidentiality and public trust, consent, law; litigation and liability, and commercial partnerships within digital surgery and identify barriers and research goals for future practice. Developers and users of digital surgery must not only have an awareness of the ethical issues surrounding digital applications in healthcare, but also the ethical considerations unique to digital surgery. Future research into these issues must involve all digital surgery stakeholders including patients.
Omar I, Miller K, Madhok B, et al., 2022, The first international Delphi consensus statement on Laparoscopic Gastrointestinal surgery, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SURGERY, Vol: 104, ISSN: 1743-9191
- Author Web Link
- Citations: 1
Fehervari M, Ortega P, Muir C, et al., 2022, Single Anastomosis Gastric Bypass as a revision of failed Gastric Band, Publisher: SPRINGER, Pages: 19-19, ISSN: 0960-8923
Ortega PM, Fehervari M, Hakky S, et al., 2022, Refractory Pain Post Roux-en Y Gastric Bypass: defining a management strategy, Publisher: SPRINGER, Pages: 22-23, ISSN: 0960-8923
Mitra A, Chidambaram S, Satheeskaran M, et al., 2022, The Clinical and Metabolic Impact of Alimentary Limb Length on Patient Outcomes in Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass; A Systematic Review & Meta-analysis of the Literature, Publisher: SPRINGER, Pages: 24-24, ISSN: 0960-8923
Patel K, li X, xu X, et al., 2022, Increasing adiposity is associated with QTc interval prolongation and increased ventricular arrhythmic risk in the context of metabolic dysfunction: results from the UK Biobank, Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine, Vol: 9, Pages: 1-11, ISSN: 2297-055X
Background: Small-scale studies have linked obesity (Ob) and metabolic ill-health with proarrhythmic repolarisation abnormalities. Whether these are observed at a population-scale, modulated by individuals’ genetics and confer higher risks of ventricular arrhythmias (VA) are not known. Methods and Results: Firstly, using the UK Biobank, the association between adiposity and QTc interval was assessed in participants with resting 12-lead ECG (n=23,683), and a polygenic risk score was developed to investigate any modulatory effect of genetics. Participants were also categorised into four phenotypes according to presence (+) or absence (-) of Ob, and if they were metabolically unhealthy (MU+) or not (MU-). QTc was positively associated with body mass index, body fat, waist:hip ratio, and hip and waist girths. Individuals’ genetics had no significant modulatory effect on QTc-prolonging effects of increasing adiposity. QTc was comparably longer in those with metabolic perturbationwithout obesity (Ob-MU+) and obesity alone (Ob+MU-) compared to individuals with neither (Ob-MU-), and their co-existence (Ob+MU+) had an additive effect on QTc interval. Secondly, for 502,536 participants in the UK Biobank, odds ratios (OR) for ventricular arrhythmias (VA) were computed for the four clinical phenotypes above using their past medical records. Referenced to Ob-MU-, ORs for VA in Ob-MU+ males and females were 5.96 (95%CI: 4.70-7.55) and 5.10 (95%CI: 3.34-7.80), respectively. OR for Ob+MU+ were 6.99 (95%CI: 5.72-8.54) and 3.56 (95%CI: 2.66-4.77) in males and females, respectively. Conclusion: Adiposity and metabolic perturbation increase QTc to a similar degree, and their co-existence exerts an additive effect. These effects are not modulated by individuals’ genetics. Metabolic ill-health is associated with higher OR for VA than obesity.
Patel K, Bajaj N, Statton B, et al., 2022, BARIATRIC SURGERY REVERSES VENTRICULAR REPOLARISATION HETEROGENEITY - MECHANISTIC INSIGHTS INTO FAT-RELATED ARRHYTHMIC RISK, Publisher: BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP, Pages: A60-A61, ISSN: 1355-6037
Lam K, Nazarian S, Gadi N, et al., 2022, Patient perspectives on surgeon-specific outcome reports in bariatric surgery, Surgery for Obesity and Related Diseases, Vol: 18, Pages: 704-713, ISSN: 1550-7289
BACKGROUND: Surgeon specific outcome reports (SSOR) in the UK can be accessed freely by the general public to promote transparency and informed decision-making. However, the views amongst bariatric patients concerning these data are unknown. OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to determine patient awareness, views and priorities for outcome reporting in bariatric surgery, and to provide recommendations for future surgeon-specific outcome reporting through the United Kingdom National Bariatric Surgery Registry. SETTING: Bariatric surgical unit in a UK university teaching hospital. METHODS: We adapted a previously validated questionnaire and surveyed the views of 150 patients in a single bariatric surgical unit. We collected data concerning awareness, views, and future priorities for outcome reporting. RESULTS: A full 73% of participants were unaware they could access SSOR. Of the participants that were unaware, 75% stated that they would have accessed SSOR had they been aware they could. Of the participants that had previously accessed SSOR, 86% stated they understood the data, although 61% indicated it did not influence their choice of surgeon. The majority of participants favored public release of outcome reports at the surgeon-level (75%) and hospital-level (83%). The 3 main priorities indicated by participants for future outcome reporting were complication rates (91%), patient reported outcome measures (90%), and reoperation rate (89%), all at the surgeon level. CONCLUSION: Patient awareness of outcome reporting is poor. Efforts must be made to increase awareness of SSOR. Patients should be incorporated as key stakeholders in determining future outcome reporting in bariatric surgery.
Lam K, Nazarian S, Gadi N, et al., 2022, PATIENT PERSPECTIVES ON SURGEON-SPECIFIC OUTCOME REPORTS IN BARIATRIC SURGERY, Digestive Disease Week (DDW), Publisher: W B SAUNDERS CO-ELSEVIER INC, Pages: S1314-S1314, ISSN: 0016-5085
Hillier M, Dani M, Fertleman M, et al., 2022, Weight loss surgery in the elderly: is this the future, Clinics in Surgery, Vol: 7, Pages: 1-5, ISSN: 2474-1647
The UK population is ageing rapidly, and the proportion of people living with obesity is increasing.Obesity is a risk factor for diabetes, coronary artery disease, stroke and cancer. Older patientsare admitted for obesity related complications at a similar rate compared to younger patients.However, the operations for people over 70-years are extremely infrequent. In this scoping reviewwe summarize the recent data on bariatric operations in people over 70-years and the possible riskbenefit ratio of bariatric surgery for this population.
Lam K, Chen J, Wang Z, et al., 2022, Machine learning for technical skill assessment in surgery: a systematic review, npj Digital Medicine, Vol: 5, ISSN: 2398-6352
Accurate and objective performance assessment is essential for both trainees and certified surgeons. However, existing methods can be time consuming, labor intensive and subject to bias. Machine learning (ML) has the potential to provide rapid, automated and reproducible feedback without the need for expert reviewers. We aimed to systematically review the literature and determine the ML techniques used for technical surgical skill assessment and identify challenges and barriers in the field. A systematic literature search, in accordance with the PRISMA statement, was performed to identify studies detailing the use of ML for technical skill assessment in surgery. Of the 1896 studies that were retrieved, 66 studies were included. The most common ML methods used were Hidden Markov Models (HMM, 14/66), Support Vector Machines (SVM, 17/66) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN, 17/66). 40/66 studies used kinematic data, 19/66 used video or image data, and 7/66 used both. Studies assessed performance of benchtop tasks (48/66), simulator tasks (10/66), and real-life surgery (8/66). Accuracy rates of over 80% were achieved, although tasks and participants varied between studies. Barriers to progress in the field included a focus on basic tasks, lack of standardization between studies, and lack of datasets. ML has the potential to produce accurate and objective surgical skill assessment through the use of methods including HMM, SVM, and ANN. Future ML-based assessment tools should move beyond the assessment ofbasic tasks and towards real-life surgery and provide interpretable feedback with clinical value for the surgeon.
Kenkre JS, Malallah K, Davies I, et al., 2022, Patients with liver fibrosis may be less likely to remit from type 2 diabetes following bariatric surgery, Publisher: WILEY, ISSN: 0742-3071
Moussa O, Ardissino M, Vincent M, et al., 2022, Long-term cardiovascular outcomes after orlistat therapy in patients with obesity: a nationwide, propensity score matched cohort study, European Heart Journal - Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy, Vol: 8, Pages: 179-186, ISSN: 2055-6845
Aims:The rising prevalence of obesity and its associated comorbidities represent a growing public health issue; in particular, obesity is known to be a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Despite the evidence behind the efficacy of orlistat in achieving weight loss in patients with obesity, no study thus far has quantified its long-term effect on cardiovascular outcomes. The purpose of this study is to explore long-term cardiovascular outcomes after orlistat therapy.Methods and results:A propensity-score matched cohort study was conducted on the nation-wide electronic primary and integrated secondary healthcare records of the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). The 36 876 patients with obesity in the CPRD database who had completed a course of orlistat during follow-up were matched on a 1:1 basis with equal numbers of controls who had not taken orlistat. Patients were followed up for a median of 6 years for the occurrence of the primary composite endpoint of major adverse cardiovascular events (fatal or non-fatal myocardial infarction or ischaemic stroke), and a number of secondary endpoints including primary endpoint components individually, the occurrence of new-onset heart failure, coronary revascularization, new chronic kidney disease stage III+ (CKD3+), and all-cause mortality. During the median study follow-up of 6 years, the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events was lower in the orlistat cohort [hazard ratio (HR) 0.74; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.66–0.83, P < 0.001]. Patients who took orlistat experienced lower rates of myocardial infarction (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.66–0.88, P < 0.001) and ischaemic stroke (HR 0.68; 95% CI 0.56 to −0.84, P < 0.001) as well as new-onset heart failure (HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.67–0.94, P = 0.007). There was no differences in revascularization rates (HR 1.12; 95% CI 0.91–1.38, P = 0.27)
Jones B, Sands C, Alexiadou K, et al., 2022, The metabolomic effects of tripeptide gut hormone infusion compared to Roux-en-Y gastric bypass and caloric restriction, Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism, Vol: 107, Pages: e767-e782, ISSN: 0021-972X
Context: The gut-derived peptide hormones glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1), oxyntomodulin (OXM), and peptide YY (PYY) are regulators of energy intake and glucose homeostasis, and are thought to contribute to the glucose-lowering effects of bariatric surgery. Objective: To establish the metabolomic effects of a combined infusion of GLP-1, OXM and PYY (tripeptide “GOP”) in comparison to a placebo infusion, Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) surgery, and a very low-calorie diet (VLCD). Design and setting: Sub-analysis of a single-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled study of GOP infusion (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01945840), including VLCD and RYGB comparator groups. Patients and interventions: 25 obese patients with type 2 diabetes or prediabetes were randomly allocated to receive a 4-week subcutaneous infusion of GOP (n=14) or 0.9% saline control (SAL; n=11). An additional 22 patients followed a VLCD, and 21 underwent RYGB surgery. Main outcome measures: Plasma and urine samples collected at baseline and 4 weeks into each intervention were subjected to cross-platform metabolomic analysis, followed by unsupervised and supervised modelling approaches to identify similarities and differences between the effects of each intervention. Results: Aside from glucose, very few metabolites were affected by GOP, contrasting with major metabolomic changes seen with VLCD and RYGB. Conclusions: Treatment with GOP provides a powerful glucose-lowering effect but does not replicate the broader metabolomic changes seen with VLCD and RYGB. The contribution of these metabolomic changes to the clinical benefits of RYGB remains to be elucidated.
Yeung KTD, Penney N, Whiley L, et al., 2022, The impact of bariatric surgery on serum tryptophan-kynurenine pathway metabolites, Scientific Reports, Vol: 12, ISSN: 2045-2322
Objectives: This study aims to explore the immediate effects of bariatric surgery on serum tryptophan – kynurenine pathway metabolites in individuals with type 2 diabetes and BMI >30. With the goal of providing insight into the link between tryptophan pathway metabolites, type 2 diabetes, and chronic obesity-induced inflammation. Methods: This longitudinal study included 20 participants. Half were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes. 11 and 9 underwent RYGB and SG respectively. Blood samples were obtained at pre-operative and three months post-operative timepoints. Tryptophan and downstream metabolites of the kynurenine pathway were quantified with an ultrahigh-performance liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry with electrospray ionisation method. Results: At 3 months post-operation, RYGB led to significant reductions in tryptophan, kynurenic acid and xanthurenic acid levels when compared to baseline. Significant reductions of the same metabolites after surgery were also observed in individuals with T2D irrespective of surgical procedure. These metabolites were significantly correlated with serum HbA1c levels and BMI. Conclusions: Bariatric surgery, in particular RYGB reduces serum levels of tryptophan and its downstream kynurenine metabolites. These metabolites are associated with T2D and thought to be potentially mechanistic in the systemic processes of obesity induced inflammation leading to insulin resistance. Its reduction after surgery is associated with an improvement in glycaemic control (HbA1c).
Williams SP, Purkayastha S, Chaturvedi S, et al., 2022, The GP-OH (General Practice - Organizational Health) Survey: Development and Validation of a Novel Instrument to Measure Organizational Health in General Practice., Hosp Top, Vol: 100, Pages: 177-187
Primary care healthcare organizations are complex and multidimensional, and there has been much discussion about the potential dangers of focusing on outcomes as quality indicators in isolation without understanding the processes and system characteristics that drive them. Organizational health, as a concept, shifts the focus of measurement upstream and considers the elements needed for sustainable long-term success. This study has both designed and tested the first survey seeking to measure organizational health specifically within the context of primary care. A stepwise approach was taken to ensure that the validity and reliability of the survey was examined at multiple stages.Supplemental data for this article is available online at https://doi.org/10.1080/00185868.2021.1947164.
Williams SP, Purkayastha S, Chaturvedi S, et al., 2022, Organizational health and independent sector healthcare organizations, International Journal of Healthcare Management, Vol: 15, Pages: 196-203, ISSN: 2047-9719
With an increasing proportion of UK healthcare delivered by independent sector providers (ISPs) it is important that performance data is reviewed with a similar rigour as within the public sector. However, there is a relative paucity of work considering quotients of performance in the independent healthcare sector. This study sets out to measure organizational health within ISPs in the UK and juxtapose this with contemporaneous data taken from public sector NHS organizations. Survey data was tested for construct validity with fit of the existing factor structure of the Healthcare-OH survey examined using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). Multiple-group CFA was used to establish measurement invariance to permit comparison of latent sum scores between ISP and NHS organizations. Measurement invariance analysis evaluated the fit of sequential invariance models, proceeding iteratively to establish partial metric and scalar invariance. Latent sum scores comparisons demonstrated ISPs outperformed NHS trusts across all elements of organizational health. This is the first time organizational health has been measured in ISPs explicitly for comparison with results in the public sector. Comparative measurement and analysis in this way is novel and has the potential of fostering a two-way learning process for the ultimate benefit of both NHS and ISP organizations.
Beatty JW, Clarke JM, Sounderajah V, et al., 2021, Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on emergency adult surgical patients and surgical services: an international multi-center cohort study and department survey., Annals of Surgery, Vol: 274, Pages: 904-912, ISSN: 0003-4932
OBJECTIVES: The PREDICT study aimed to determine how the COVID-19 pandemic affected surgical services and surgical patients and to identify predictors of outcomes in this cohort. BACKGROUND: High mortality rates were reported for surgical patients with COVID-19 in the early stages of the pandemic. However, the indirect impact of the pandemic on this cohort is not understood, and risk predictors are yet to be identified. METHODS: PREDICT is an international longitudinal cohort study comprising surgical patients presenting to hospital between March and August 2020, conducted alongside a survey of staff redeployment and departmental restructuring. A subgroup analysis of 3176 adult emergency patients, recruited by 55 teams across 18 countries is presented. RESULTS: Among adult emergency surgical patients, all-cause in-hospital mortality (IHM) was 3 6%, compared to 15 5% for those with COVID-19. However, only 14 1% received a COVID-19 test on admission in March, increasing to 76 5% by July.Higher Clinical Frailty Scale scores (CFS >7 aOR 18 87), ASA grade above 2 (aOR 4 29), and COVID-19 infection (aOR 5 12) were independently associated with significantly increased IHM.The peak months of the first wave were independently associated with significantly higher IHM (March aOR 4 34; April aOR 4 25; May aOR 3 97), compared to non-peak months.During the study, UK operating theatre capacity decreased by a mean of 63 6% with a concomitant 27 3% reduction in surgical staffing. CONCLUSION: The first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted surgical patients, both directly through co-morbid infection and indirectly as shown by increasing mortality in peak months, irrespective of COVID-19 status.Higher CFS scores and ASA grades strongly predict outcomes in surgical patients and are an important risk assessment tool during the pandemic.
Kostanjsek L, Ardissino M, Moussa O, et al., 2021, Bariatric Surgery Reduces the Incidence of Heart Failure in Patients With Obesity, Scientific Sessions of the American-Heart-Association / Resuscitation Science Symposium, Publisher: LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS, ISSN: 0009-7322
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