Imperial College London

ProfessorSalmanRawaf

Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Director of WHO Collaborating Centre
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 8814s.rawaf

 
 
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Assistant

 

Ms Ela Augustyniak +44 (0)20 7594 8603

 
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Location

 

311Reynolds BuildingCharing Cross Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Graetz:2021:10.1186/s12916-020-01876-4,
author = {Graetz, N and Woyczynski, L and Wilson, KF and Hall, JB and Abate, KH and Abd-Allah, F and Adebayo, OM and Adekanmbi, V and Afshari, M and Ajumobi, O and Akinyemiju, T and Alahdab, F and Al-Aly, Z and Alcalde, Rabanal JE and Alijanzadeh, M and Alipour, V and Altirkawi, K and Amiresmaili, M and Anber, NH and Andrei, CL and Anjomshoa, M and Antonio, CAT and Arabloo, J and Aremu, O and Aryal, KK and Asadi-Aliabadi, M and Atique, S and Ausloos, M and Awasthi, A and Ayala, Quintanilla BP and Azari, S and Badawi, A and Banoub, JAM and Barker-Collo, SL and Barnett, A and Bedi, N and Bennett, DA and Bhattacharjee, NV and Bhattacharyya, K and Bhattarai, S and Bhutta, ZA and Bijani, A and Bikbov, B and Britton, G and Burstein, R and Butt, ZA and Cardenas, R and Carvalho, F and Castaneda-Orjuela, CA and Castro, F and Cerin, E and Chang, J-C and Collison, ML and Cooper, C and Cork, MA and Daoud, F and Das, Gupta R and Weaver, ND and De, Neve J-W and Deribe, K and Desalegn, BB and Deshpande, A and },
doi = {10.1186/s12916-020-01876-4},
journal = {BMC Medicine},
pages = {1--25},
title = {Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin American countries with incomplete vital registration systems},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01876-4},
volume = {19},
year = {2021}
}

RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB - BackgroundHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains a public health priority in Latin America. While the burden of HIV is historically concentrated in urban areas and high-risk groups, subnational estimates that cover multiple countries and years are missing. This paucity is partially due to incomplete vital registration (VR) systems and statistical challenges related to estimating mortality rates in areas with low numbers of HIV deaths. In this analysis, we address this gap and provide novel estimates of the HIV mortality rate and the number of HIV deaths by age group, sex, and municipality in Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Guatemala, and Mexico.MethodsWe performed an ecological study using VR data ranging from 2000 to 2017, dependent on individual country data availability. We modeled HIV mortality using a Bayesian spatially explicit mixed-effects regression model that incorporates prior information on VR completeness. We calibrated our results to the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.ResultsAll countries displayed over a 40-fold difference in HIV mortality between municipalities with the highest and lowest age-standardized HIV mortality rate in the last year of study for men, and over a 20-fold difference for women. Despite decreases in national HIV mortality in all countries—apart from Ecuador—across the period of study, we found broad variation in relative changes in HIV mortality at the municipality level and increasing relative inequality over time in all countries. In all six countries included in this analysis, 50% or more HIV deaths were concentrated in fewer than 10% of municipalities in the latest year of study. In addition, national age patterns reflected shifts in mortality to older age groups—the median age group among decedents ranged from 30 to 45 years of age at the municipality level in Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico in 2017.ConclusionsOur subnational estimates of HIV mortality revealed significant spatial variati
AU - Graetz,N
AU - Woyczynski,L
AU - Wilson,KF
AU - Hall,JB
AU - Abate,KH
AU - Abd-Allah,F
AU - Adebayo,OM
AU - Adekanmbi,V
AU - Afshari,M
AU - Ajumobi,O
AU - Akinyemiju,T
AU - Alahdab,F
AU - Al-Aly,Z
AU - Alcalde,Rabanal JE
AU - Alijanzadeh,M
AU - Alipour,V
AU - Altirkawi,K
AU - Amiresmaili,M
AU - Anber,NH
AU - Andrei,CL
AU - Anjomshoa,M
AU - Antonio,CAT
AU - Arabloo,J
AU - Aremu,O
AU - Aryal,KK
AU - Asadi-Aliabadi,M
AU - Atique,S
AU - Ausloos,M
AU - Awasthi,A
AU - Ayala,Quintanilla BP
AU - Azari,S
AU - Badawi,A
AU - Banoub,JAM
AU - Barker-Collo,SL
AU - Barnett,A
AU - Bedi,N
AU - Bennett,DA
AU - Bhattacharjee,NV
AU - Bhattacharyya,K
AU - Bhattarai,S
AU - Bhutta,ZA
AU - Bijani,A
AU - Bikbov,B
AU - Britton,G
AU - Burstein,R
AU - Butt,ZA
AU - Cardenas,R
AU - Carvalho,F
AU - Castaneda-Orjuela,CA
AU - Castro,F
AU - Cerin,E
AU - Chang,J-C
AU - Collison,ML
AU - Cooper,C
AU - Cork,MA
AU - Daoud,F
AU - Das,Gupta R
AU - Weaver,ND
AU - De,Neve J-W
AU - Deribe,K
AU - Desalegn,BB
AU - Deshpande,A
AU - Desta,M
AU - Dhimal,M
AU - Diaz,D
AU - Dinberu,MT
AU - Djalalinia,S
AU - Dubey,M
AU - Dubljanin,E
AU - Duraes,AR
AU - Dwyer-Lindgren,L
AU - Earl,L
AU - Kalan,ME
AU - El-Khatib,Z
AU - Eshrati,B
AU - Faramarzi,M
AU - Fareed,M
AU - Faro,A
AU - Fereshtehnejad,S-M
AU - Fernandes,E
AU - Filip,I
AU - Fischer,F
AU - Fukumoto,T
AU - Garcia,JA
AU - Gill,PS
AU - Gill,TK
AU - Gona,PN
AU - Gopalani,SV
AU - Grada,A
AU - Guo,Y
AU - Gupta,R
AU - Gupta,V
AU - Haj-Mirzaian,A
AU - Haj-Mirzaian,A
AU - Hamadeh,RR
AU - Hamidi,S
AU - Hasan,M
AU - Hassen,HY
AU - Hendrie,D
AU - Henok,A
AU - Henry,NJ
AU - Hernandez,Prado B
AU - Herteliu,C
AU - Hole,MK
AU - Hossain,N
AU - Hosseinzadeh,M
AU - Hu,G
AU - Ilesanmi,OS
AU - Irvani,SSN
AU - Islam,SMS
AU - Izadi,N
AU - Jakovljevic,M
AU - Jha,RP
AU - Ji,JS
AU - Jonas,JB
AU - Shushtari,ZJ
AU - Jozwiak,JJ
AU - Kanchan,T
AU - Kasaeian,A
AU - Karyani,AK
AU - Keiyoro,PN
AU - Kesavachandran,CN
AU - Khader,YS
AU - Khafaie,MA
AU - Khan,EA
AU - Khater,MM
AU - Kiadaliri,AA
AU - Kiirithio,DN
AU - Kim,YJ
AU - Kimokoti,RW
AU - Kinyoki,DK
AU - Kisa,A
AU - Kosen,S
AU - Koyanagi,A
AU - Krishan,K
AU - Defo,BK
AU - Kumar,M
AU - Kumar,P
AU - Lami,FH
AU - Lee,PH
AU - Levine,AJ
AU - Li,S
AU - Liao,Y
AU - Lim,L-L
AU - Listl,S
AU - Lopez,JCF
AU - Majdan,M
AU - Majdzadeh,R
AU - Majeed,A
AU - Malekzadeh,R
AU - Mansournia,MA
AU - Martins-Melo,FR
AU - Masaka,A
AU - Massenburg,BB
AU - Mayala,BK
AU - Mehta,KM
AU - Mendoza,W
AU - Mensah,GA
AU - Meretoja,TJ
AU - Mestrovic,T
AU - Miller,TR
AU - Mini,GK
AU - Mirrakhimov,EM
AU - Moazen,B
AU - Mohammad,DK
AU - Darwesh,AM
AU - Mohammed,S
AU - Mohebi,F
AU - Mokdad,AH
AU - Monasta,L
AU - Moodley,Y
AU - Moosazadeh,M
AU - Moradi,G
AU - Mo
DO - 10.1186/s12916-020-01876-4
EP - 25
PY - 2021///
SN - 1741-7015
SP - 1
TI - Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin American countries with incomplete vital registration systems
T2 - BMC Medicine
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01876-4
UR - http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000608170600001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
UR - https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-020-01876-4
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/86848
VL - 19
ER -