Imperial College London

Steven Riley

Faculty of MedicineSchool of Public Health

Professor of Infectious Disease Dynamics



+44 (0)20 7594 2452s.riley




UG8Medical SchoolSt Mary's Campus





Steven studies the transmission of human pathogens. He conducts field studies, analyses data and uses mathematical models to look at scientific questions that are relevant to public health: how does our pattern of social contacts affect the transmission of respiratory infections? How much more severe is one strain of influenza than another? How far does influenza penetrate into rural areas after it sweeps through cities?



Eales O, Ainslie KEC, Walters CE, et al., 2022, Appropriately smoothing prevalence data to inform estimates of growth rate and reproduction number, Epidemics, Vol:40, ISSN:1755-4365

Eales O, Wang H, Haw D, et al., 2022, Trends in SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence during England's roadmap out of lockdown, January to July 2021

Cann A, Clarke C, Brown J, et al., 2022, Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) antibody lateral flow assay for antibody prevalence studies following vaccination: a diagnostic accuracy study [version 2; peer review: 2 approved], Wellcome Open Research, Vol:6, ISSN:2398-502X

Ainslie KEC, Riley S, 2022, Is annual vaccination best? A modelling study of influenza vaccination strategies in children, Vaccine, Vol:40, ISSN:0264-410X, Pages:2940-2948

Cramer EY, Ray EL, Lopez VK, et al., 2022, Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol:119, ISSN:0027-8424

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