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@article{Jit:2020:10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000632,
author = {Jit, M and Jombart, T and Nightingale, ES and Endo, A and Abbott, S and Edmunds, WJ},
doi = {10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000632},
journal = {Eurosurveillance},
pages = {6--10},
title = {Estimating number of cases and spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using critical care admissions, United Kingdom, February to March 2020},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000632},
volume = {25},
year = {2020}
}

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TY  - JOUR
AB  - An exponential growth model was fitted to critical care admissions from two surveillance databases to determine likely coronavirus disease (COVID-19) case numbers, critical care admissions and epidemic growth in the United Kingdom before the national lockdown. We estimate, on 23 March, a median of 114,000 (95% credible interval (CrI): 78,000–173,000) new cases and 258 (95% CrI: 220–319) new critical care reports, with 527,000 (95% CrI: 362,000–797,000) cumulative cases since 16 February.
AU  - Jit,M
AU  - Jombart,T
AU  - Nightingale,ES
AU  - Endo,A
AU  - Abbott,S
AU  - Edmunds,WJ
DO  - 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000632
EP  - 10
PY  - 2020///
SN  - 1025-496X
SP  - 6
TI  - Estimating number of cases and spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using critical care admissions, United Kingdom, February to March 2020
T2  - Eurosurveillance
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000632
UR  - http://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000531159700002&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=1ba7043ffcc86c417c072aa74d649202
UR  - https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000632
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/83990
VL  - 25
ER  -

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