Imperial College London
Alternate

ProfessorAnnaHansell

Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health

Visiting Professor
 
 
 
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Contact

 

a.hansell

 
 
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Location

 

UG42Medical SchoolSt Mary's Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Gulliver:2011:10.1021/es103821y,
author = {Gulliver, J and Morris, C and Lee, K and Vienneau, D and Briggs, D and Hansell, A},
doi = {10.1021/es103821y},
journal = {Environmental Science and Technology},
pages = {3526--3532},
title = {Land Use Regression Modeling To Estimate Historic (1962-1991) Concentrations of Black Smoke and Sulfur Dioxide for Great Britain},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/es103821y},
volume = {45},
year = {2011}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - Land-use regression modeling was used to develop maps of annual average black smoke (BS) and sulfur dioxide (SO2) concentrations in 1962, 1971, 1981, and 1991 for Great Britain on a 1 km grid for use in epidemiological studies. Models were developed in a GIS using data on land cover, the road network, and population, summarized within circular buffers around air pollution monitoring sites, together with altitude and coordinates of monitoring sites to consider global trend surfaces. Models were developed against the log-normal (LN) concentration, yielding R2 values of 0.68 (n = 534), 0.68 (n = 767), 0.41 (n = 771), and 0.39 (n = 155) for BS and 0.61 (n = 482), 0.65 (n = 733), 0.38 (n = 756), and 0.24 (n = 153) for SO2 in 1962, 1971, 1981, and 1991, respectively. Model evaluation was undertaken using concentrations at an independent set of monitoring sites. For BS, values of R2 were 0.56 (n = 133), 0.41 (n = 191), 0.38 (n = 193), and 0.34 (n = 37), and for SO2 values of R2 were 0.71 (n = 121), 0.57 (n = 183), 0.26 (n = 189), and 0.31 (n = 38) for 1962, 1971, 1981, and 1991, respectively. Models slightly underpredicted (fractional bias: 0∼−0.1) monitored concentrations of both pollutants for all years. This is the first study to produce historic concentration maps at a national level going back to the 1960s.
AU  - Gulliver,J
AU  - Morris,C
AU  - Lee,K
AU  - Vienneau,D
AU  - Briggs,D
AU  - Hansell,A
DO  - 10.1021/es103821y
EP  - 3532
PY  - 2011///
SN  - 0013-936X
SP  - 3526
TI  - Land Use Regression Modeling To Estimate Historic (1962-1991) Concentrations of Black Smoke and Sulfur Dioxide for Great Britain
T2  - Environmental Science and Technology
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/es103821y
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/52112
VL  - 45
ER  -
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