Imperial College London
Alternate

Emeritus ProfessorGavinDonaldson

Faculty of Medicine, National Heart & Lung Institute

Emeritus Professor of Respiratory Studies
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7594 7859gavin.donaldson

 
 
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Location

 

B141Guy Scadding BuildingRoyal Brompton Campus

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Keatinge:2001:10.1006/enrs.2001.4255,
author = {Keatinge, WR and Donaldson, GC},
doi = {10.1006/enrs.2001.4255},
journal = {Environ Res},
pages = {209--216},
title = {Mortality related to cold and air pollution in London after allowance for effects of associated weather patterns},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/enrs.2001.4255},
volume = {86},
year = {2001}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - We looked for atypical weather patterns that could confound, and explain large inconsistencies in, conventional estimates of mortality due to SO(2), CO, and smoke. Using Greater London data for 1976-1995 in the linear temperature/mortality range 0-15 degrees C we determined weather patterns associated with pollutants (all deseasonalized) by single regressions of daily temperature, wind, rain, humidity, and sunshine at successive days advance and delay. Polluted days were colder (P<0.01 for SO(2), CO, and smoke) and less windy and rainy than usual, and this cold weather was more prolonged than usual with 50% maximum temperature depression 5.9 days (95% interval 4.0-7.7) before high SO(2), compared to 2.0 (1.6-2.3) days before average cold days. We also used multiple regression of mortality at 50+ years of age on all these weather factors and pollutants at 0-, 1-, 2- to 4-, 5- to 13-, and 14- to 24-day delays to allow for the atypical weather patterns. This showed cold weather associated with 2.77 excess deaths per million during 24 days following a 1 degrees C fall for 1 day, but no net excess deaths with SO(2) (mean 28.0 ppb) or CO (1.26 ppm). It suggested (P>0.05) some increase with smoke, perhaps acting as surrogate for PM(10), for which data were too scanty to analyze.
AU  - Keatinge,WR
AU  - Donaldson,GC
DO  - 10.1006/enrs.2001.4255
EP  - 216
PY  - 2001///
SN  - 0013-9351
SP  - 209
TI  - Mortality related to cold and air pollution in London after allowance for effects of associated weather patterns
T2  - Environ Res
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1006/enrs.2001.4255
VL  - 86
ER  -
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