Imperial College London
Alternate

Professor Andy Purvis

Faculty of Natural Sciences, Department of Life Sciences (Silwood Park)

Research Investigator
 
 
 
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Contact

 

+44 (0)20 7942 5686a.purvis Website

 
 
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Location

 

Silwood ParkSilwood Park

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Summary

 

Publications

Citation

BibTex format

@article{Pereira:2020:10.1101/2020.04.14.031716,
author = {Pereira, HM and Rosa, IMD and Martins, IS and Kim, H and Leadley, P and Popp, A and van, Vuuren DP and Hurtt, G and Anthoni, P and Arneth, A and Baisero, D and Chaplin-Kramer, R and Chini, L and Di, Fulvio F and Di, Marco M and Ferrier, S and Fujimori, S and Guerra, CA and Harfoot, M and Harwood, TD and Hasegawa, T and Haverd, V and Havlík, P and Hellweg, S and Hilbers, JP and Hill, SLL and Hirata, A and Hoskins, AJ and Humpenöder, F and Janse, JH and Jetz, W and Johnson, JA and Krause, A and Leclère, D and Matsui, T and Meijer, JR and Merow, C and Obsersteiner, M and Ohashi, H and Poulter, B and Purvis, A and Quesada, B and Rondinini, C and Schipper, AM and Settele, J and Sharp, R and Stehfest, E and Strassburg, BBN and Takahashi, K and Talluto, MV and Thuiller, W and Titeux, N and Visconti, P and Ware, C and Wolf, F and Alkemade, R},
doi = {10.1101/2020.04.14.031716},
title = {Global trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.031716},
year = {2020}
}
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RIS format (EndNote, RefMan)

TY  - JOUR
AB  - <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Despite the scientific consensus on the extinction crisis and its anthropogenic origin, the quantification of historical trends and of future scenarios of biodiversity and ecosystem services has been limited, due to the lack of inter-model comparisons and harmonized scenarios. Here, we present a multi-model analysis to assess the impacts of land-use and climate change from 1900 to 2050. During the 20th century provisioning services increased, but biodiversity and regulating services decreased. Similar trade-offs are projected for the coming decades, but they may be attenuated in a sustainability scenario. Future biodiversity loss from land-use change is projected to keep up with historical rates or reduce slightly, whereas losses due to climate change are projected to increase greatly. Renewed efforts are needed by governments to meet the 2050 vision of the Convention on Biological Diversity.</jats:p><jats:sec><jats:title>One Sentence Summary</jats:title><jats:p>Development pathways exist that allow for a reduction of the rates of biodiversity loss from land-use change and improvement in regulating services but climate change poses an increasing challenge.</jats:p></jats:sec>
AU  - Pereira,HM
AU  - Rosa,IMD
AU  - Martins,IS
AU  - Kim,H
AU  - Leadley,P
AU  - Popp,A
AU  - van,Vuuren DP
AU  - Hurtt,G
AU  - Anthoni,P
AU  - Arneth,A
AU  - Baisero,D
AU  - Chaplin-Kramer,R
AU  - Chini,L
AU  - Di,Fulvio F
AU  - Di,Marco M
AU  - Ferrier,S
AU  - Fujimori,S
AU  - Guerra,CA
AU  - Harfoot,M
AU  - Harwood,TD
AU  - Hasegawa,T
AU  - Haverd,V
AU  - Havlík,P
AU  - Hellweg,S
AU  - Hilbers,JP
AU  - Hill,SLL
AU  - Hirata,A
AU  - Hoskins,AJ
AU  - Humpenöder,F
AU  - Janse,JH
AU  - Jetz,W
AU  - Johnson,JA
AU  - Krause,A
AU  - Leclère,D
AU  - Matsui,T
AU  - Meijer,JR
AU  - Merow,C
AU  - Obsersteiner,M
AU  - Ohashi,H
AU  - Poulter,B
AU  - Purvis,A
AU  - Quesada,B
AU  - Rondinini,C
AU  - Schipper,AM
AU  - Settele,J
AU  - Sharp,R
AU  - Stehfest,E
AU  - Strassburg,BBN
AU  - Takahashi,K
AU  - Talluto,MV
AU  - Thuiller,W
AU  - Titeux,N
AU  - Visconti,P
AU  - Ware,C
AU  - Wolf,F
AU  - Alkemade,R
DO  - 10.1101/2020.04.14.031716
PY  - 2020///
TI  - Global trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.031716
ER  -
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